Bank rate eases



The Emirates interbank offered rate (Eibor) has fallen to 3.1 per cent in a sign that banks are lending to each other again. However, companies and consumers are yet to feel the benefits, with borrowing still difficult to find. "The rate is still pretty elevated and stressed, but it is coming down and that is a good sign," said Stephen Andrews, an analyst at UBS in Dubai. Nevertheless, analysts said it remained difficult to tell how much liquidity was changing hands at that rate. Early last month, Eibor was still at 4.2 per cent. Last August, Eibor for US dollar and euro transactions rose as high as 4.8 per cent following the departure of hot money from the country, when the financial crisis first started to bite around the world. In December, the Central Bank introduced dollar-dirham swap facilities, easing the pronounced pressures on interbank lending of foreign currencies. In addition, the Central Bank has injected Dh65 billion (US$17.69bn) into the banking system from two separate lending facilities. Banks in the country are finding themselves awash with cash, according to Malcolm D'Souza, the former president of the UAE's Financial Markets Association. "The interbank market is flushed with cash," he told Dow Jones. "Every bank is now a lender but demand has slowed down because there's been an asset price deflation. "Businesses are slowing down and are taking a cautious view of the market, they are taking a step back and viewing their future projects. They don't want to spend money in a market that might be in recession." Still, most local banks have seen their loan-to-deposit ratios rise above 100 per cent and are restricting their lending. Some economists say a lower Eibor reflects the liquidity trapped in the interbank market instead of being lent out into the real economy. Total deposits held at banks in the country fell 1.8 per cent last month from the month earlier, further widening a mismatch between deposits and loans, Central Bank data showed yesterday. Total deposits fell to Dh905.7bn from Dh922.5bn in December, the Central Bank said. Loans and advances climbed to Dh1.02 trillion, compared with Dh1.01 trillion in December, it said. Funding loan growth, however, remains an issue for banks across the UAE and the Gulf. "The elevated levels of Eibor indicate that competition for what funds are available remains high," said Mr Andrews. The Central Bank Governor, Sultan al Suwaidi, said last week that the credit shortage had eased as banks were no longer borrowing funds from the emergency facility. "[The emergency facility] has not been needed at this point in time because liquidity is better," Mr al Suwaidi said, adding that the banks had reduced their borrowings to "zero". Economists say that banks have stopped using the emergency facility because it fails to address their needs, and some are calling for the Government to inject more deposits into banks to restart their lending. "We need more deposits injected and more clarity on repo activities, only then can liquidity be untrapped from the interbank market into the real economy," said Marios Maratheftis, the regional head of research at Standard Chartered Bank. If banks completely trusted each other, Eibor would get much closer to the repurchase [repo] rate set by the Central Bank. The repo rate, currently at 1.5 per cent, is the interest the Central Bank charges banks for cash against their collateral, often in terms of certificates of deposit (CDs). Typically, Eibor and the repo rate should be fairly close. The fact that they were still apart suggested that banks still applied a risk premium when lending to and borrowing from each other, analysts said. Economists also would like to see the Central Bank revamp its repo system by holding more regular auctions and clarifying the rules on what it accepts as collateral. "Repurchase activities should become business as usual. Instead, banks are asking themselves whether it is a regular mechanism and what can be used as collateral," said Mr Maratheftis. * with agencies uharnischfeger@thenational.ae

The specs

Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel

Power: 579hp

Torque: 859Nm

Transmission: Single-speed automatic

Price: From Dh825,900

On sale: Now

Shooting Ghosts: A U.S. Marine, a Combat Photographer, and Their Journey Back from War by Thomas J. Brennan and Finbarr O’Reilly

The%C2%A0specs%20
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Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia

Director: Shady Ali
Cast: Boumi Fouad , Mohamed Tharout and Hisham Ismael
Rating: 3/5

The Lowdown

Us

Director: Jordan Peele

Starring: Lupita Nyong'o, Winston Duke, Shahadi Wright Joseqph, Evan Alex and Elisabeth Moss

Rating: 4/5

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Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh158,000 (Cooper), Dh168,000 (Aceman), Dh132,000 (Countryman)
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THREE
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MORE FROM CON COUGHLIN
The%20specs
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Director: Laxman Utekar

Cast: Vicky Kaushal, Akshaye Khanna, Diana Penty, Vineet Kumar Singh, Rashmika Mandanna

Rating: 1/5

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Dr Afridi's warning signs of digital addiction

Spending an excessive amount of time on the phone.

Neglecting personal, social, or academic responsibilities.

Losing interest in other activities or hobbies that were once enjoyed.

Having withdrawal symptoms like feeling anxious, restless, or upset when the technology is not available.

Experiencing sleep disturbances or changes in sleep patterns.

What are the guidelines?

Under 18 months: Avoid screen time altogether, except for video chatting with family.

Aged 18-24 months: If screens are introduced, it should be high-quality content watched with a caregiver to help the child understand what they are seeing.

Aged 2-5 years: Limit to one-hour per day of high-quality programming, with co-viewing whenever possible.

Aged 6-12 years: Set consistent limits on screen time to ensure it does not interfere with sleep, physical activity, or social interactions.

Teenagers: Encourage a balanced approach – screens should not replace sleep, exercise, or face-to-face socialisation.

Source: American Paediatric Association
A State of Passion

Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi

Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah

Rating: 4/5

Our legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants

Name: Peter Dicce

Title: Assistant dean of students and director of athletics

Favourite sport: soccer

Favourite team: Bayern Munich

Favourite player: Franz Beckenbauer

Favourite activity in Abu Dhabi: scuba diving in the Northern Emirates 

 

THE BIO

Family: I have three siblings, one older brother (age 25) and two younger sisters, 20 and 13 

Favourite book: Asking for my favourite book has to be one of the hardest questions. However a current favourite would be Sidewalk by Mitchell Duneier

Favourite place to travel to: Any walkable city. I also love nature and wildlife 

What do you love eating or cooking: I’m constantly in the kitchen. Ever since I changed the way I eat I enjoy choosing and creating what goes into my body. However, nothing can top home cooked food from my parents. 

Favorite place to go in the UAE: A quiet beach.

Hidden killer

Sepsis arises when the body tries to fight an infection but damages its own tissue and organs in the process.

The World Health Organisation estimates it affects about 30 million people each year and that about six million die.

Of those about three million are newborns and 1.2 are young children.

Patients with septic shock must often have limbs amputated if clots in their limbs prevent blood flow, causing the limbs to die.

Campaigners say the condition is often diagnosed far too late by medical professionals and that many patients wait too long to seek treatment, confusing the symptoms with flu. 

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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