Creative realism needed for property



Dubai's property woes are not intractable, despite the prevailing opinion. Some creative thinking and a sense of reality will go a long way to unlocking billions of dollars stuck in the market. The new contracts being signed by investors in the Park Towers project in Dubailand will see them become co-owners of the land with the developer, Gulf Investments, and are a small step towards breaking the deadlock.

With property prices down by more than 50 per cent in some areas of Dubai and transactions slowed dramatically, most of the people involved are going to lose money, especially if they invested at the peak of the market. It's a question of how much, and how to make the best of it. When an investment goes sour, there is a loss to take. But joint ventures with developers, while an admirable achievement, are not a panacea for the market.

With project finance and mortgages scarce, many people invested in the sector are stuck between a rock and a hard place. The courts are filled with disputes and some investors are left with land that is fully paid for in master developments such as the Waterfront with an uncertain future at best. The obstacles for a recovery also include Dubai World's restructuring of US$26 billion (Dh95.49bn) of debt, a lack of clarity over new laws planned to regulate property and visa requirements that prevent potential buyers from coming to the Emirates. Some developers have fled the country or have ended up in jail, complicating the matter even further.

The authorities, including the Real Estate Regulatory Agency and the Dubai Land Department, are working on ways to address these issues, but they need to communicate more with stakeholders across the emirate. Most important, both sides need to come to the bargaining table to find terms that developers and buyers can live with. @Email:bhope@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Director: Tim Burton

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The Buckingham Murders

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Director: Hansal Mehta

Rating: 4 / 5

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FINAL SCORES

Fujairah 130 for 8 in 20 overs

(Sandy Sandeep 29, Hamdan Tahir 26 no, Umair Ali 2-15)

Sharjah 131 for 8 in 19.3 overs

(Kashif Daud 51, Umair Ali 20, Rohan Mustafa 2-17, Sabir Rao 2-26)

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