Houses of Parliament. The UK has not enjoyed the economic uptick of other developed countries. Reuters
Houses of Parliament. The UK has not enjoyed the economic uptick of other developed countries. Reuters

UK only G7 economy to see growth decline last year



The UK was the only Group of Seven country to see growth slow in 2017, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in London.

As most major economies enjoyed a marked pick up in the best year for global growth since 2011, Britain moderated to 1.7 per cent from 1.8 per cent in 2016 as the decision to leave the European Union curtailed activity, Bloomberg reported.

The figures, highlighted in full National Accounts data published by the ONS Tuesday, underline the effect Brexit is having on growth. With fears mounting that Britain could leave the EU without a deal, the economy is expected to keep slowing this year. The median of forecasts this month is for an expansion of 1.3 per cent, compared with 2.2 per cent for the euro zone and 2.9 per cent for the US.

Growth last year was well below forecasts made before the 2016 referendum, when it was assumed that Britons would opt to remain in the EU. Still, the economy has performed better than some predicted in the immediate aftermath of the vote, a fact often cited by Brexit supporters.

Separately, Britain's markets watchdog said it will take no enforcement action against Royal Bank of Scotland over alleged mistreatment of its small business customers in the wake of the financial crisis, according to Reuters.

Some firms have said they were pushed into bankruptcy and that RBS's Global Restructuring Group (GRG) unit stripped their assets between 2008 and 2013. RBS has rejected the most serious allegations against the unit, but it has accepted some wrongdoing.

Andrew Bailey, chief executive of the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), said on Tuesday that GRG was largely unregulated and the watchdog's powers to take action in such circumstances were very limited.

"Taking action was therefore always going to be difficult and challenging but after carefully considering all the evidence we have concluded that our powers to discipline for misconduct do not apply and that an action in relation to senior management for lack of fitness and propriety would not have reasonable prospects of success," Mr Bailey said.

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Firms and policymakers have criticised the FCA for not concluding its investigation into the GRG sooner.

The watchdog consulted with independent, external leading counsel, who confirmed that the FCA's conclusions were correct and reasonable, Mr Bailey said.

RBS chairman Howard Davies said the bank's board welcomed the FCA's decision, and continues to focus on ensuring past mistakes cannot be repeated.

"We ... will reflect carefully on its [the FCA's] findings to learn any further lessons from what was a hugely challenging time for the bank, its customers and the wider economy," he said in a statement.

Policymakers defied the FCA in February and published in full the watchdog's confidential report detailing mistreatment by the GRG during and after the financial crisis.

"I appreciate that many GRG customers will be frustrated by this decision but we have explored all the options available to us before arriving at this conclusion," Mr Bailey said.

"The fact that we can’t take action in no way condones the behaviour of RBS. We expect high standards from the firms we regulate and RBS fell well short in its treatment of GRG customers."

The FCA said it does have powers to ban individuals if it deemed they were not behaving in a "fit and proper" way, but it does not believe that a prohibition case would have reasonable prospects of success in this case.

RBS set aside £400 million (Dh1.93 billion) to compensate thousands of small businesses that said they were mistreated by the GRG.

The bank said this month however that the scheme would close to new complaints after paying out just £10m so far for direct losses.

RBS shares were trading about 1 per cent higher at 09.51 GMT.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”