Now that the Trump administration has again demonstrated its willingness to launch military action against the Syrian regime, do not be surprised if Iran is the next country that finds itself in the crosshairs of the Pentagon’s military planners.
Ever since Donald Trump took office there have been question marks over his willingness to involve the US military in foreign conflicts, prompted by his remarks on the campaign trail that he did not want to embroil America in any overseas military adventures similar to the recent wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
But while Mr Trump still remains opposed to launching large scale ground operations, that does not mean to say that he is unwilling to deploy America’s military might when the right circumstances present themselves.
Last weekend’s limited airstrikes against the Assad regime’s chemical weapons infrastructure was the second time Mr Trump has authorised the use of force against Bashar Al Assad. On both occasions they have been relatively small, targeted operations designed to send a clear warning to the Syrian regime that its use of chemical weapons will no longer be tolerated.
A similar approach can be seen in the Trump administration's dealings with North Korea, where Washington's decision to deploy a heavily-armed naval battlegroup to the Korean peninsula has had a salutary effect on North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un. Rather than continuing with his attempts to develop a nuclear arsenal capable of striking mainland America, Pyongyang has taken the extraordinary step of entering tentative talks with Washington, a development confirmed by the revelation that CIA director Mike Pompeo held secret talks with the North Korean leader.
Thus, we are starting to see the formation of what might be called the Trump doctrine: use the threat of America’s overwhelming military firepower to achieve the desired political result.
We will have to wait to see whether Mr Trump’s strategy produces any long-term solutions to the challenges of Syria and North Korea.
But the president clearly believes that threatening to use American firepower is a worthwhile tactic, which is why the ayatollahs in Tehran would be well-advised to take note of Washington’s new approach.
Mr Trump has made no secret, both on the campaign trail and as president, of his distaste for the nuclear deal his predecessor, Barack Obama, helped to negotiate with Tehran, calling it “the worst deal ever”.
Washington is currently reviewing the deal and is threatening to withdraw America’s involvement on May 12 if changes are not made that impose further restrictions on Tehran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons.
Despite opposition from the other signatories – Britain, Germany, France, Russia and China – there is a growing belief in Washington that Mr Trump fully intends to follow through on his threat. Earlier this week Bob Corker, the Chairman of the Senate’s all-powerful Foreign Relations Committee, said that Mr Trump was “perfectly fine walking away from” the nuclear deal if a new agreement is not reached.
The likelihood of Washington terminating its involvement, moreover, has increased dramatically with the appointment of John Bolton as the administration's new National Security Adviser. Mr Bolton, a renowned Iran hawk, has previously denounced the deal, warning that military strikes against Iran may be the only means of preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.
Nor is it just the inherent failings in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) – the nuclear deal’s full title – that is causing concern among Washington policymakers.
The manner in which the ayatollahs have exploited the recent unrest in the Middle East to expand their military footprint in the Arab world is viewed with deep suspicion.
In Syria, for example, Tehran has used its close alliance with the Assad regime to expand its network of military bases throughout the country. These include its own airfields, underground command and control facilities, missile bunkers and even its own base for operating drones.
The main purpose of Iran’s military build-up in both Syria and southern Lebanon, where it is also said to be reinforcing positions held by Hezbollah, is to improve Iran’s ability to confront Israel directly. But, given that Mr Trump regards Israel as a close ally of Washington, any such Syria-based aggression on the part of the Iranians against Israel is likely to provoke a response from Washington, as well as Israel itself.
The civil war in Yemen, where Iranian-backed Houthi rebels are waging a brutal campaign against the Saudi-led coalition, is another conflict where Washington is taking a dim view of Iran's involvement, particularly after the Houthis succeeded in firing a number of missiles aimed at the Saudi heartland.
Earlier this week a senior Pentagon official told the Senate Foreign Relations committee that Iran was using the Yemen conflict as a “test bed” to develop its military capabilities. Robert S Karem, assistant secretary of defence for international security affairs, said Iran was arming opponents of Yemen’s internationally recognised government, which had enabled the Houthis to launch more than 100 ballistic missiles and “countless” rockets into Saudi Arabia, targeting major population centres, international airports, military installations and oil infrastructure.
“Yemen has become a test bed for Iran’s malign activities,” said Mr Karem, adding that only a political solution to the conflict will “reduce the chaos that Iran has exploited to advance its malign agenda”.
Tehran, of course, has no interest in a negotiated solution to the conflicts in either Yemen or Syria. And so long as it prefers to pursue its “malign agenda”, the more likely it is find itself in a direct military confrontation with Washington.
Con Coughlin is the Telegraph’s Defence and Foreign Affairs Editor
Citadel: Honey Bunny first episode
Directors: Raj & DK
Stars: Varun Dhawan, Samantha Ruth Prabhu, Kashvi Majmundar, Kay Kay Menon
Rating: 4/5
The biog
Name: James Mullan
Nationality: Irish
Family: Wife, Pom; and daughters Kate, 18, and Ciara, 13, who attend Jumeirah English Speaking School (JESS)
Favourite book or author: “That’s a really difficult question. I’m a big fan of Donna Tartt, The Secret History. I’d recommend that, go and have a read of that.”
Dream: “It would be to continue to have fun and to work with really interesting people, which I have been very fortunate to do for a lot of my life. I just enjoy working with very smart, fun people.”
ESSENTIALS
The flights
Emirates flies from Dubai to Phnom Penh via Yangon from Dh2,700 return including taxes. Cambodia Bayon Airlines and Cambodia Angkor Air offer return flights from Phnom Penh to Siem Reap from Dh250 return including taxes. The flight takes about 45 minutes.
The hotels
Rooms at the Raffles Le Royal in Phnom Penh cost from $225 (Dh826) per night including taxes. Rooms at the Grand Hotel d'Angkor cost from $261 (Dh960) per night including taxes.
The tours
A cyclo architecture tour of Phnom Penh costs from $20 (Dh75) per person for about three hours, with Khmer Architecture Tours. Tailor-made tours of all of Cambodia, or sites like Angkor alone, can be arranged by About Asia Travel. Emirates Holidays also offers packages.
UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions
Wicked
Director: Jon M Chu
Stars: Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande, Jonathan Bailey
Business Insights
- As per the document, there are six filing options, including choosing to report on a realisation basis and transitional rules for pre-tax period gains or losses.
- SMEs with revenue below Dh3 million per annum can opt for transitional relief until 2026, treating them as having no taxable income.
- Larger entities have specific provisions for asset and liability movements, business restructuring, and handling foreign permanent establishments.
Disclaimer
Director: Alfonso Cuaron
Stars: Cate Blanchett, Kevin Kline, Lesley Manville
Rating: 4/5
'My Son'
Director: Christian Carion
Starring: James McAvoy, Claire Foy, Tom Cullen, Gary Lewis
Rating: 2/5
The specs
Engine: 1.5-litre turbo
Power: 181hp
Torque: 230Nm
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Starting price: Dh79,000
On sale: Now
The specs
Engine: Direct injection 4-cylinder 1.4-litre
Power: 150hp
Torque: 250Nm
Price: From Dh139,000
On sale: Now
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Dubai World Cup factbox
Most wins by a trainer: Godolphin’s Saeed bin Suroor(9)
Most wins by a jockey: Jerry Bailey(4)
Most wins by an owner: Godolphin(9)
Most wins by a horse: Godolphin’s Thunder Snow(2)
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
Started: 2020
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment
Number of staff: 210
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Eco%20Way%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20December%202023%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounder%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Ivan%20Kroshnyi%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dubai%2C%20UAE%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Electric%20vehicles%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Bootstrapped%20with%20undisclosed%20funding.%20Looking%20to%20raise%20funds%20from%20outside%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Ain Issa camp:
- Established in 2016
- Houses 13,309 people, 2,092 families, 62 per cent children
- Of the adult population, 49 per cent men, 51 per cent women (not including foreigners annexe)
- Most from Deir Ezzor and Raqqa
- 950 foreigners linked to ISIS and their families
- NGO Blumont runs camp management for the UN
- One of the nine official (UN recognised) camps in the region
Kanguva
Director: Siva
Stars: Suriya, Bobby Deol, Disha Patani, Yogi Babu, Redin Kingsley
COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Revibe%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202022%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Hamza%20Iraqui%20and%20Abdessamad%20Ben%20Zakour%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20UAE%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Refurbished%20electronics%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunds%20raised%20so%20far%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%2410m%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFlat6Labs%2C%20Resonance%20and%20various%20others%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Boston%20Strangler
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Matt%20Ruskin%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EKeira%20Knightley%2C%20Carrie%20Coon%2C%20Alessandro%20Nivola%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%203%2F5%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
1971: The Year The Music Changed Everything
Director: Asif Kapadia
4/5
Business Insights
- Canada and Mexico are significant energy suppliers to the US, providing the majority of oil and natural gas imports
- The introduction of tariffs could hinder the US's clean energy initiatives by raising input costs for materials like nickel
- US domestic suppliers might benefit from higher prices, but overall oil consumption is expected to decrease due to elevated costs
The specs
Engine: 2-litre or 3-litre 4Motion all-wheel-drive Power: 250Nm (2-litre); 340 (3-litre) Torque: 450Nm Transmission: 8-speed automatic Starting price: From Dh212,000 On sale: Now
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Overview
Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal, Oman, United States tri-series, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu
Fixtures
Wednesday February 5, Oman v Nepal
Thursday, February 6, Oman v United States
Saturday, February 8, United States v Nepal
Sunday, February 9, Oman v Nepal
Tuesday, February 11, Oman v United States
Wednesday, February 12, United States v Nepal
What is graphene?
Graphene is extracted from graphite and is made up of pure carbon.
It is 200 times more resistant than steel and five times lighter than aluminum.
It conducts electricity better than any other material at room temperature.
It is thought that graphene could boost the useful life of batteries by 10 per cent.
Graphene can also detect cancer cells in the early stages of the disease.
The material was first discovered when Andre Geim and Konstantin Novoselov were 'playing' with graphite at the University of Manchester in 2004.
'Morbius'
Director: Daniel Espinosa
Stars: Jared Leto, Matt Smith, Adria Arjona
Rating: 2/5
Race 3
Produced: Salman Khan Films and Tips Films
Director: Remo D’Souza
Cast: Salman Khan, Anil Kapoor, Jacqueline Fernandez, Bobby Deol, Daisy Shah, Saqib Salem
Rating: 2.5 stars
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