ABU DHABI // Rents in the capital have fallen sharply as a tide of residents opt instead for Dubai's lower prices and newer buildings.
Apartment rentals in Abu Dhabi fell by up to 35 per cent between March and June.
The price reductions were further fuelled by redundancies and tenants relocating out of the city centre, according to a report published yesterday by Asteco, a property services firm.
It follows decreases in rental values of up to 20 per cent in the first three months of the year.
While areas including Khalidiya and the Corniche have retained their value, neighbourhoods such as Salam Street, the site of a huge redevelopment, have seen rents plummet.
Poorly maintained flats with window-mounted air-conditioning units have been the hardest to let.
As well as finally accepting that they cannot hold rents artificially high, landlords are increasingly willing to accept payment in two cheques as opposed to one, estate agents reported.
But rents for a one-bedroom flat in the capital still average at least Dh20,000 (US$5,440) above those in Dubai, leading still more people to consider commuting.
"There is a definite trend of people relocating to Dubai while working in Abu Dhabi," said Jesse Downs, the head of research at Landmark Advisory, who also reported a decline in Abu Dhabi rents in the last three months.
"There are three major factors pushing people: availability, price and quality of apartments in Dubai.
"People are looking at it in terms of an equation. They can either work and live in Abu Dhabi and accept they will not have to commute, but will pay a much higher rent for an older property with fewer facilities, or they can pay a lower rent with better extras but have to commute."
The Khalidiya and Corniche districts remained Abu Dhabi's most sought-after locations, while prices in districts such as Mushrif, Hamdan and Passport Road have levelled off, according to the figures from Asteco.
The average rent of a one-bedroom flat in Abu Dhabi dropped by more than 28 per cent in the second quarter, while similar-sized properties in Muroor, Khalifa and Salam Street fell by 35 per cent, according to Asteco's regional research manager, Judy Lam.
At the top end, one-bedroom flats in the Corniche were priced at Dh130,000, while similar flats in Khalidiyah rented for Dh127,000.
At the other end of the scale, a one-bedroom flat in Musaffah rented for Dh87,000, according to the data.
Averages in the Tourist Club area, Muroor, Hamdan, Passport Road, Khalifa Street, Salam Street and Airport Road were about Dh105,000.
The rent drops are partly a result of an influx of new villas and flats becoming ready in the last 12 weeks. An estimated 500 villas have hit the market in Al Raha, 300 in Sas Al Nakheel and a further 100 in Khalifa City. In addition, 20 apartment blocks have been opened in the capital, with more than 600 new units.
"We expect these [rent] drops to continue until the end of the year," said Andrew Chambers, the managing director of Asteco. "Around November and December we will expect to see the rents across the capital level off.
"That is when people will have returned from their holidays, even more new stock will have become available and people will start recruiting again.
"A lot of people we have spoken to said they were going away for the summer and would re-examine the situation when they return."
According to the report, rental rates held during the first few months of the year. Since April, however, landlords have become more flexible and are dropping their prices in line with demand, it said.
"This trend may increase as more apartments and villas are delivered in investment zones, because a greater number of expatriate owners may be willing to accept several cheques in return for a higher rent," added the report.
Nirvine Ali, the operations director at Remax Absolute estate agents in Abu Dhabi, agreed that rents had fallen, but said she did not expect them to drop further.
"I think prices have already reached the bottom," she said. "A lot of people want to get their new homes arranged in Abu Dhabi before the school term begins. We expect July and August to be quiet and then it will begin again in September."
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Popular Vote Tally
The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.
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Second Test, Day 2:
South Africa 335 & 75/1 (22.0 ov)
England 205
South Africa lead by 205 runs with 9 wickets remaining
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Quick pearls of wisdom
Focus on gratitude: And do so deeply, he says. “Think of one to three things a day that you’re grateful for. It needs to be specific, too, don’t just say ‘air.’ Really think about it. If you’re grateful for, say, what your parents have done for you, that will motivate you to do more for the world.”
Know how to fight: Shetty married his wife, Radhi, three years ago (he met her in a meditation class before he went off and became a monk). He says they’ve had to learn to respect each other’s “fighting styles” – he’s a talk it-out-immediately person, while she needs space to think. “When you’re having an argument, remember, it’s not you against each other. It’s both of you against the problem. When you win, they lose. If you’re on a team you have to win together.”
Result
6.30pm: Al Maktoum Challenge Round-3 – Group 1 (PA) $65,000 (Dirt) 2,000m; Winner: Brraq, Ryan Curatolo (jockey), Jean-Claude Pecout (trainer)
7.05pm: Handicap (TB) $65,000 (Turf) 1,800m; Winner: Bright Melody, James Doyle, Charlie Appleby
7.40pm: Meydan Classic – Listed (TB) $88,000 (T) 1,600m; Winner: Naval Crown, Mickael Barzalona, Charlie Appleby
8.15pm: Nad Al Sheba Trophy – Group 3 (TB) $195,000 (T) 2,810m; Winner: Volcanic Sky, Frankie Dettori, Saeed bin Suroor
8.50pm: Dubai Millennium Stakes – Group 3 (TB) $130,000 (T) 2,000m; Winner: Star Safari, William Buick, Charlie Appleby
9.25pm: Meydan Challenge – Listed Handicap (TB) $88,000 (T) 1,400m; Winner: Zainhom, Dane O’Neill, Musabah Al Muhairi
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
How to get exposure to gold
Although you can buy gold easily on the Dubai markets, the problem with buying physical bars, coins or jewellery is that you then have storage, security and insurance issues.
A far easier option is to invest in a low-cost exchange traded fund (ETF) that invests in the precious metal instead, for example, ETFS Physical Gold (PHAU) and iShares Physical Gold (SGLN) both track physical gold. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF invests directly in mining companies.
Alternatively, BlackRock Gold & General seeks to achieve long-term capital growth primarily through an actively managed portfolio of gold mining, commodity and precious-metal related shares. Its largest portfolio holdings include gold miners Newcrest Mining, Barrick Gold Corp, Agnico Eagle Mines and the NewMont Goldcorp.
Brave investors could take on the added risk of buying individual gold mining stocks, many of which have performed wonderfully well lately.
London-listed Centamin is up more than 70 per cent in just three months, although in a sign of its volatility, it is down 5 per cent on two years ago. Trans-Siberian Gold, listed on London's alternative investment market (AIM) for small stocks, has seen its share price almost quadruple from 34p to 124p over the same period, but do not assume this kind of runaway growth can continue for long
However, buying individual equities like these is highly risky, as their share prices can crash just as quickly, which isn't what what you want from a supposedly safe haven.