Pension reform protesters halt French oil supply chain



PARIS // French workers protesting against pension reform said they had halted supplies from most of the country's oil refineries and were also blocking some fuel depots as the risk grew of shortages at petrol pumps.

Refinery workers downed tools on Tuesday as part of nationwide strikes over a government pension reform, adding to the strain on France's fuel supply due to a dispute at the Fos-Lavera oil port that has lasted more than two weeks.

Eight out of 12 French refineries are on strike as of today. Workers at some plants voted for a 48-hour stoppage, while others who backed a 24-hour strike were due to vote again on Wednesday on whether to extend their action. A CGT trade union official said oil major Total's Donges refinery voted to extend the action until Monday, Oct. 18.

Eight refineries saw fuel supplies blocked on Wednesday, including all of Total's six refineries in France, the union said.

"By some estimates the strike could continue during the next two weeks and lead to product shortages," the International Energy Agency said in its monthly report on Wednesday. It said it expected more products to start flowing to France from abroad after a fleet of diesel cargoes was sent to Europe from the United States and Asia last week.

The IEA also said European refinery utilisation was only at 82 percent right now, which meant supplies could be increased elsewhere within the region to deal with a disruption.

"The problem, rather, is a logistical one involving the movement of crude and products within France," the IEA said. However, shipbrokers told Reuters on Wednesday that at least three tankers shipping Northeast Asian gas oil to Europe were cancelled as the arbitrage was shut. ICE gasoil prices for November rose by 1 percent but stayed off their previous peaks this week, reversing their previous backwardation to contango in a sign market worries over products shortages might be easing.

European gasoline prices rose above $770 a tonne, hitting a five-and-a-half month highs. "The market feels like it will go a bit higher," a broker said. "But all depends on how long the strikes last. It still seems to be worsening rather than reducing." The IEA said France appeared to be using emergency crude stocks in the worst affected regions and replenishing them with commercial reserves held elsewhere in the country.

Unions said a small number of local fuel depots were also blocked due to the strike, raising the risk of shortages occurring at fuel pumps much more quickly if such actions were repeated at depots across the country. JBC consultancy said in a report it expected middle distillate prices to rise should the strike continue, which would in turn favour the use of volumes held off-shore. At Fos-Lavera, a longer-running strike over port and pension reforms entered its 17th day. Workers were due to meet later on Wednesday to discuss the outcome of talks the previous day between unions and management, the CGT said.

French oil lobby UFIP said on Tuesday that petrol stations could start to see shortages in just over a week if the Fos-Lavera strike continued, but assuming refinery disruption would not last. Production at four of Total's five working refineries would be halted progressively, a decision that was supported in a vote among strikers or made at the request of Total management, a CGT spokesman said on Wednesday.

* Reuters

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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