Chinese goods will become a little cheaper for UAE consumers after the People’s Bank of China devalued the yuan by the largest single-day percentage in two decades.
Beijing depreciated the yuan by 1.9 per cent before the start of trading on Tuesday, in what it said was a one-off move to keep the yuan stable at a “reasonable” exchange rate. Analysts said the move should boost the country’s flagging economy. Economists said the devaluation could ease inflation in the UAE as Chinese import prices fall, and would be good news for trading and logistics companies in Dubai.
“The fall in the yuan could, in principle, provide a boost to UAE imports of now cheaper Chinese goods,” said Daniel Kaye, Oxford Economics’ lead economist for the Middle East. “This would benefit firms that work in the trading sector, including suppliers and re-export companies. Ultimately, cheaper prices could also be passed on to local businesses and consumers.” China is Dubai’s biggest trading partner, with a bilateral exchange of Dh175 billion of non-oil goods and services last year. About 80 per cent of that involved imported textiles, clothes, machinery and products made from gold, silver, copper and iron, according to the UAE Government.
But the economic impact of the yuan’s devaluation on the UAE depends on how the devaluation affects commodity prices – including oil prices – and regional economic growth.
“A weaker regional economy would imply reduced trade and cross-border capital flows, which could affect the UAE, given Dubai’s status as a regional business hub,” said Mr Kaye.
China, the world’s fastest-growing economy, has powered global growth for close to a decade as the ruling Communist Party sought to lift the country’s population of 1.3 billion out of poverty. Over the past decade, China’s economy has grown at an average pace of 9 per cent a year.
But China’s rapid growth might be coming to an end, given the recent Chinese stock market rout, slowdowns in a host of informal economic indicators, and official data showing that the economy grew at a six-year low of just 7 per cent in the first half of the year.
Cement production, power generation, steel output and car sales have all been slowing, indicating that Chinese demand for manufactured and intermediate goods is falling. That is evidence a broader slowdown in the Chinese economy is likely, economists say.
The currency devaluation aims to rekindle Chinese growth by spurring exports, which could prove positive for the UAE if it helps to encourage regional economic growth.
“The devaluation of the yuan will hopefully boost economic growth,” said Anita Yadav, the head of fixed income at Emirates NBD.
“China is an export-led economy. If its exports become cheaper, Chinese companies will get more cash. And if the Chinese economy gets support, that’s mildly positive for the UAE economy.”
Higher Chinese growth could also lift global oil prices, which have fallen by about half since the middle of last year. That could boost the UAE’s economic fortunes. Declining oil prices have hit the UAE government’s energy revenues as well as spending in the non-oil economy.
“If the Chinese authorities are successful in reinvigorating the Chinese economy, this would support global oil demand, boost oil prices and – ultimately – lift the value of the UAE’s oil revenues in the longer term,” said Mr Kaye. “But, needless to say, any currency-driven impact will be just one of many factors [affecting the oil price].”
However, Ms Yadav warned that the impact on the UAE’s economic growth was likely to be limited. “China doesn’t make it into the top five sources of investment into the UAE, or even its top five source markets for tourists,” she said. “But it is rapidly increasing its presence in both segments.”
Although most emerging financial markets fell on the news of the yuan’s devaluation, UAE share markets were little moved. The Dubai Financial Market General Index rose 0.11 per cent, while the Abu Dhabi Securities Market General Index closed down 0.15 per cent.
abouyamourn@thenational.ae
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Fund-raising tips for start-ups
Develop an innovative business concept
Have the ability to differentiate yourself from competitors
Put in place a business continuity plan after Covid-19
Prepare for the worst-case scenario (further lockdowns, long wait for a vaccine, etc.)
Have enough cash to stay afloat for the next 12 to 18 months
Be creative and innovative to reduce expenses
Be prepared to use Covid-19 as an opportunity for your business
* Tips from Jassim Al Marzooqi and Walid Hanna
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The Specs:
The Specs:
Engine: 2.9-litre, V6 twin-turbo
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Power: 444bhp
Torque: 600Nm
Price: AED 356,580 incl VAT
On sale: now.
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Generational responses to the pandemic
Devesh Mamtani from Century Financial believes the cash-hoarding tendency of each generation is influenced by what stage of the employment cycle they are in. He offers the following insights:
Baby boomers (those born before 1964): Owing to market uncertainty and the need to survive amid competition, many in this generation are looking for options to hoard more cash and increase their overall savings/investments towards risk-free assets.
Generation X (born between 1965 and 1980): Gen X is currently in its prime working years. With their personal and family finances taking a hit, Generation X is looking at multiple options, including taking out short-term loan facilities with competitive interest rates instead of dipping into their savings account.
Millennials (born between 1981 and 1996): This market situation is giving them a valuable lesson about investing early. Many millennials who had previously not saved or invested are looking to start doing so now.
MATCH INFO
Liverpool 4 (Salah (pen 4, 33', & pen 88', Van Dijk (20')
Leeds United 3 (Harrison 12', Bamford 30', Klich 66')
Man of the match Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)
Paatal Lok season two
Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy
Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong
Rating: 4.5/5
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RESULTS
1.45pm: Handicap (TB) Dh80,000 (Dirt) 1,400m
Winners: Hyde Park, Royston Ffrench (jockey), Salem bin Ghadayer (trainer)
2.15pm: Conditions (TB) Dh100,000 (D) 1,400m
Winner: Shamikh, Ryan Curatolo, Nicholas Bachalard
2.45pm: Conditions (TB) Dh100,000 (D) 1,200m
Winner: Hurry Up, Royston Ffrench, Salem bin Ghadayer.
3.15pm: Shadwell Jebel Ali Mile Group 3 (TB) Dh575,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Blown by Wind, Xavier Ziani, Salem bin Ghadayer
3.45pm: Handicap (TB) Dh72,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Mazagran, Tadhg O’Shea, Satish Seemar.
4.15pm: Handicap (TB) Dh64,000 (D) 1,950m
Winner: Obeyaan, Adrie de Vries, Mujeeb Rehman
4.45pm: Handicap (TB) Dh84,000 (D) 1,000m
Winner: Shanaghai City, Fabrice Veron, Rashed Bouresly.
RACECARD
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How Alia's experiment will help humans get to Mars
Alia’s winning experiment examined how genes might change under the stresses caused by being in space, such as cosmic radiation and microgravity.
Her samples were placed in a machine on board the International Space Station. called a miniPCR thermal cycler, which can copy DNA multiple times.
After the samples were examined on return to Earth, scientists were able to successfully detect changes caused by being in space in the way DNA transmits instructions through proteins and other molecules in living organisms.
Although Alia’s samples were taken from nematode worms, the results have much bigger long term applications, especially for human space flight and long term missions, such as to Mars.
It also means that the first DNA experiments using human genomes can now be carried out on the ISS.
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League semi-final, second leg result:
Ajax 2-3 Tottenham
Tottenham advance on away goals rule after tie ends 3-3 on aggregate
Final: June 1, Madrid
Top investing tips for UAE residents in 2021
Build an emergency fund: Make sure you have enough cash to cover six months of expenses as a buffer against unexpected problems before you begin investing, advises Steve Cronin, the founder of DeadSimpleSaving.com.
Think long-term: When you invest, you need to have a long-term mindset, so don’t worry about momentary ups and downs in the stock market.
Invest worldwide: Diversify your investments globally, ideally by way of a global stock index fund.
Is your money tied up: Avoid anything where you cannot get your money back in full within a month at any time without any penalty.
Skip past the promises: “If an investment product is offering more than 10 per cent return per year, it is either extremely risky or a scam,” Mr Cronin says.
Choose plans with low fees: Make sure that any funds you buy do not charge more than 1 per cent in fees, Mr Cronin says. “If you invest by yourself, you can easily stay below this figure.” Managed funds and commissionable investments often come with higher fees.
Be sceptical about recommendations: If someone suggests an investment to you, ask if they stand to gain, advises Mr Cronin. “If they are receiving commission, they are unlikely to recommend an investment that’s best for you.”
Get financially independent: Mr Cronin advises UAE residents to pursue financial independence. Start with a Google search and improve your knowledge via expat investing websites or Facebook groups such as SimplyFI.
CRICKET%20WORLD%20CUP%20LEAGUE%202
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UAE Falcons
Carly Lewis (captain), Emily Fensome, Kelly Loy, Isabel Affley, Jessica Cronin, Jemma Eley, Jenna Guy, Kate Lewis, Megan Polley, Charlie Preston, Becki Quigley and Sophie Siffre. Deb Jones and Lucia Sdao – coach and assistant coach.
Dubai Bling season three
Cast: Loujain Adada, Zeina Khoury, Farhana Bodi, Ebraheem Al Samadi, Mona Kattan, and couples Safa & Fahad Siddiqui and DJ Bliss & Danya Mohammed
Rating: 1/5
THE SPECS
2020 Toyota Corolla Hybrid LE
Engine: 1.8 litre combined with 16-volt electric motors
Transmission: Automatic with manual shifting mode
Power: 121hp
Torque: 142Nm
Price: Dh95,900
LA LIGA FIXTURES
Friday
Granada v Real Betis (9.30pm)
Valencia v Levante (midnight)
Saturday
Espanyol v Alaves (4pm)
Celta Vigo v Villarreal (7pm)
Leganes v Real Valladolid (9.30pm)
Mallorca v Barcelona (midnight)
Sunday
Atletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid (4pm)
Real Madrid v Eibar (9.30pm)
Real Sociedad v Osasuna (midnight)
SPEC%20SHEET%3A%20NOTHING%20PHONE%20(2)
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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LIST OF INVITEES
Shergo Kurdi (am)
Rayhan Thomas
Saud Al Sharee (am)
Min Woo Lee
Todd Clements
Matthew Jordan
AbdulRahman Al Mansour (am)
Matteo Manassero
Alfie Plant
Othman Al Mulla
Shaun Norris
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League semi-final:
First leg: Liverpool 5 Roma 2
Second leg: Wednesday, May 2, Stadio Olimpico, Rome
TV: BeIN Sports, 10.45pm (UAE)
The biog
Hobby: "It is not really a hobby but I am very curious person. I love reading and spend hours on research."
Favourite author: Malcom Gladwell
Favourite travel destination: "Antigua in the Caribbean because I have emotional attachment to it. It is where I got married."
Get inspired
Here are a couple of Valentine’s Day food products that may or may not go the distance (but have got the internet talking anyway).
Sourdough sentiments: Marks & Spencer in the United Kingdom has introduced a slow-baked sourdough loaf dusted with flour to spell out I (heart) you, at £2 (Dh9.5). While it’s not available in the UAE, there’s nothing to stop you taking the idea and creating your own message of love, stencilled on breakfast-inbed toast.
Crisps playing cupid: Crisp company Tyrells has added a spicy addition to its range for Valentine’s Day. The brand describes the new honey and chilli flavour on Twitter as: “A tenderly bracing duo of the tantalising tingle of chilli with sweet and sticky honey. A helping hand to get your heart racing.” Again, not on sale here, but if you’re tempted you could certainly fashion your own flavour mix (spicy Cheetos and caramel popcorn, anyone?).
The biog
Mission to Seafarers is one of the largest port-based welfare operators in the world.
It provided services to around 200 ports across 50 countries.
They also provide port chaplains to help them deliver professional welfare services.
READ MORE ABOUT CORONAVIRUS
Zayed Sustainability Prize