Dubai"s skyline. Bloomberg
Dubai"s skyline. Bloomberg

Higher oil prices and increased government spending prompt IMF to raise UAE growth outlook



The International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for the UAE's economic growth this year and next on expectations that oil production and government spending will increase.

The Gulf nation's economy is projected to expand 2.9 per cent this year and 3.7 per cent in 2019, Natalia Tamirisa, the IMF's UAE mission chief, said in a statement late on Sunday.

"Given large fiscal buffers, ample spare capacity, and rising investment needs for Expo 2020, the government has appropriately switched to providing stimulus to the economy," said Ms Tamirisa.

The UAE announced a series of new policies this year to spur economic growth and investment, including changes to the country’s sponsorship system and new regulations that permit companies to operate without a physical office. The measures follow from a three-year Dh50bn stimulus package for Abu Dhabi announced in June. The plan, called Ghadan 2021 (Tomorrow 2021), has 50 initiatives to stimulate investment and job creation. It aims to slash red tape for businesses and boost investor confidence in the emirate’s economy.

"Front-loading stimulus measures and focusing them on productive spending, consistent with the Vision 2021 goals of diversifying the economy and raising productivity, would augment their impact on growth," Ms Tamirisa added.

The comments followed an IMF staff mission to the UAE from September 16 to 30. In April, the IMF predicted that the Arab world's second-biggest economy would grow 2 per cent this year and 3 per cent in 2019. A rebound in oil prices to a four-year high has given the government more revenues to spend, prompting a stimulus package to bolster economic growth. Ahead of looming US sanctions against Iran, Opec's third largest producer, Brent crude oil prices rose to $83.27 a barrel on Monday. On Sunday, the UAE cabinet approved its largest federal budget ever, up by 17.3 per cent from last year.  In mid-2018, global oil producers agreed to increase output, allowing the UAE to begin raising its production.

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The UAE's fiscal deficit is projected to turn into a surplus next year after remaining stable at 1.6 per cent of GDP this year, the IMF said. Its inflation rate is likely to reach 3.5 per cent this year because of the introduction of a 5 per cent VAT in January but is expected to ease going forward, the Washington-based lender said.

In the medium term, with crude prices projected to soften, the IMF urged UAE authorities to return to gradual fiscal consolidation to help sustain its petro-revenues.

"A return to the path of gradual fiscal consolidation would help save an adequate portion of the exhaustible oil income for future generations," Ms Tamirisa said.

The country's plans to liberalise foreign investment, introduce long-term visas for professionals, and ease licensing requirements and business fees — once implemented — will be a "welcome step" in fostering the private sector, the IMF said. The Fund called on the UAE to undertake deeper and broader reforms to increase the role of the private sector in order to boost economic growth and job creation.

Among the main reform priorities the Fund suggested privatising non-strategic government-related enterprises and improving financing to small and medium enterprises (SMEs).

"Developing domestic government debt markets would catalyse financial market development and expand sources of financing for SMEs," Ms Tamirisa said. “Tightening financial conditions and increased global and regional uncertainty call for continued vigilance in monitoring financial sector risks, including those from a prolonged downturn in real estate and concentrated loan portfolios."

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How to volunteer

The UAE volunteers campaign can be reached at www.volunteers.ae , or by calling 800-VOLAE (80086523), or emailing info@volunteers.ae.

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Company Profile

Company name: NutriCal

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Future plan: Looking to raise fresh capital and expand in Saudi Arabia

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Roll of honour 2019-2020

Dubai Rugby Sevens
Winners: Dubai Hurricanes
Runners up: Bahrain

West Asia Premiership
Winners: Bahrain
Runners up: UAE Premiership

UAE Premiership
}Winners: Dubai Exiles
Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes

UAE Division One
Winners: Abu Dhabi Saracens
Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes II

UAE Division Two
Winners: Barrelhouse
Runners up: RAK Rugby

BUNDESLIGA FIXTURES

Friday Stuttgart v Cologne (Kick-off 10.30pm UAE)

Saturday RB Leipzig v Hertha Berlin (5.30pm)

Mainz v Borussia Monchengladbach (5.30pm)

Bayern Munich v Eintracht Frankfurt (5.30pm)

Union Berlin v SC Freiburg (5.30pm)

Borussia Dortmund v Schalke (5.30pm)

Sunday Wolfsburg v Arminia (6.30pm)

Werder Bremen v Hoffenheim (9pm)

Bayer Leverkusen v Augsburg (11.30pm)

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2pm: Handicap (PA) Dh 50,000 (Dirt) 1,400m

Winner: AF Al Moreeb, Antonio Fresu (jockey), Ernst Oertel (trainer)

2.30pm: Maiden (TB) Dh 60,000 (D) 1,400m

Winner: Shamikh, Ryan Curatolo, Nicholas Bachalard

3pm: Handicap (TB) Dh 64,000 (D) 1,600m

Winner: One Vision, Connor Beasley, Ali Rashid Al Raihe

3.30pm: Conditions (TB) Dh 100,000 (D) 1,600m

Winner: Gabr, Sam Hitchcott, Doug Watson

4pm: Handicap (TB) Dh 96,000 (D) 1,800m

Winner: Just A Penny, Sam Hitchcock, Doug Watson

4.30pm: Maiden (TB) Dh 60,000 (D) 1,600m

Winner: Torno Subito, Sam Hitchcock, Doug Watson

5pm: Handicap (TB) Dh 76,000 (D) 1,950m

Winner: Untold Secret, Jose Santiago, Salem bin Ghadayer

World record transfers

1. Kylian Mbappe - to Real Madrid in 2017/18 - €180 million (Dh770.4m - if a deal goes through)
2. Paul Pogba - to Manchester United in 2016/17 - €105m
3. Gareth Bale - to Real Madrid in 2013/14 - €101m
4. Cristiano Ronaldo - to Real Madrid in 2009/10 - €94m
5. Gonzalo Higuain - to Juventus in 2016/17 - €90m
6. Neymar - to Barcelona in 2013/14 - €88.2m
7. Romelu Lukaku - to Manchester United in 2017/18 - €84.7m
8. Luis Suarez - to Barcelona in 2014/15 - €81.72m
9. Angel di Maria - to Manchester United in 2014/15 - €75m
10. James Rodriguez - to Real Madrid in 2014/15 - €75m

Paatal Lok season two

Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy 

Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong

Rating: 4.5/5

Results

5pm: Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (Turf) 2,200m, Winner: Zalman, Pat Cosgrave (jockey), Helal Al Alawi (trainer)

5.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,600m, Winner: Hisham Al Khalediah II, Fernando Jara, Mohamed Daggash.

6pm: Handicap (PA) Dh85,000 (T) 1,600m, Winner: Qader, Adrie de Vries, Jean de Roualle

6.30pm: Abu Dhabi Championship Listed (PA) Dh180,000 (T) 1,600m, Winner: Mujeeb, Fabrice Veron, Eric Lemartinel

7pm: Wathba Stallions Cup Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (T) 1,600m, Winner: AF Majalis, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel

7.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh90,000 (T) 1,600m, Winner: Shanaghai City, Fabrice Veron, Rashed Bouresly

8pm: Handicap (TB) Dh100,000 (T) 1,400m, Winner: Nayslayer, Bernardo Pinheiro, Jaber Ramadhan

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Install an air filter in your home.

Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

Wear a face mask.

Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

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Sepsis arises when the body tries to fight an infection but damages its own tissue and organs in the process.

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