Energy depends on water. Water depends on energy. Reliable provisions in adequate quantities of these two interdependent elements are critical to ‘fuel’ economic growth. In the coming years, water and power will play a crucial role in supporting prosperity.
The World Energy Outlook 2018, which examined the energy-water nexus in the context of Sustainable Development Goals, has identified several potential synergies between clean water and sanitation and affordable and clean energy.
Energy production relies heavily on having sufficient water, and water scarcity is already affecting power production and reliability. With shrinking access to water and uncertainty around the impact of climate change on water resources, we must come together to ensure energy and water security for future generations. As countries accelerate their industrialisation agenda and efforts to cope with urbanisation, the gap between the supply and demand of reliable power and clean potable water continues to grow and is fuelled by our ever-increasing appetite for both commodities.
While governments, the private sector and society globally are being confronted with important decisions to ensure that these two life-sustaining commodities are made available with minimum impact on the environment and at the lowest possible cost, both industries are at a tipping point. They need to combat climate change, while also contributing to maintaining the health, wealth and happiness of an increasing number of people who are all looking for an improved quality of life.
The Middle East and North Africa is no different. With demand for both these commodities increasing at 5 to 8 per cent year on year and with increasing levels of water stress to be compounded by climate-related water scarcity (which alone is estimated to contribute an economic loss of between 6 and 14 per cent of GDP by 2050) matters are pressing.
Boundless human ingenuity, however, is providing new technology and new applications and solutions at an increasing pace, offering us the means to not only contain these critical challenges but to use the resulting industrial shift as an opportunity to fuel employment creation and economic development.
Similar to the rest of the world, Mena in 2019 will expect a greater emphasis on renewables. Companies are expected to find truly sustainable solutions to power and water challenges. We will witness significant infrastructure expansion activity to meet the energy targets of countries.
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In the area of potable water, advances in membrane and material science, energy recovery, and management will lead to the increasing use of the more energy efficient reverse osmosis process.
Although renewable energy is emerging as a cost-competitive option to supply electricity, the International Energy Agency maintains that even in 2040, coal and natural gas will likely still be the most important source of global power generation. In Mena however, countries that have rich hydrocarbons reserves, are implementing ambitious diversification strategies by laying out specific targets to increase renewables in the energy mix.
Our work with the Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (Dewa) on the 300MW PV plant has reliably dispatched renewable energy when the sun is shining during daylight hours. The 950 MW Noor Energy 1 plant will generate 700 MW through CSP and 250MW PV and is considered the largest single-site concentrated solar power plant in the world. The fourth phase of the Mohamed bin Rashid Solar Park will deliver reliable dispatchable solar energy 24 hours a day. In Mena we also deliver significant amounts of renewable energy-generated electricity from Morocco to Jordan with plants under construction in Saudi Arabia and Egypt.
On the desalinated water front in the UAE, we have offered the lowest water tariff from a private developer for seawater desalination by achieving one of the lowest energy consumption rates in the industry for the 200 million gallons per day reverse osmosis project, the Taweelah IWP, the world’s largest seawater reverse osmosis desalination facility, which will be built in Abu Dhabi.
The growth and transformation of the water and electricity sectors presents tremendous opportunities to increase employment; foster industrialization; and generate overall prosperity within societies - an optimistic prospect for the estimated 60 per cent of MENA’s population who are under 30 years of age. As documented in IRENA’s Jobs Report, renewable energy deployment across the world accounted for an additional 10.3 million jobs in 2017. The report goes on to estimate that decarbonisation of the global energy system can create up to 28 million jobs by 2050, highlighting the significant benefits of nurturing and investing in the sector.
As the demand for electricity and water soars over the next decade, governments’ willingness to eliminate subsidies and seek full cost recoverable tariffs will reduce the cost of electricity and water and will improve the quality of service while increasing access and coverage.
Collaboration of the public and private sectors to accept, mitigate and manage risk will bring in the required level of funding for vastly capital-intensive sectors and will marshal the needed skills.
As we bid 2018 farewell, albeit amid increasing levels of uncertainty, we confidently look forward to a brighter electricity and water sector - the two fundamental elements to survival.
Paddy Padmanathan is president and chief executive of Acwa Power
How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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The Sand Castle
Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5