The euro is under pressure from the divergence of monetary policy between the US Federal reserve and the European Central Bank. REUTERS
The euro is under pressure from the divergence of monetary policy between the US Federal reserve and the European Central Bank. REUTERS

Euro likely to stay weak against dollar until mid-2019



The euro is expected to remain weak against the US dollar until mid-2019 due to US interest rates climbing, European economies expected to report sluggish growth and political uncertainty related to Brexit, according to S&P Global Ratings.

The euro is under pressure from the divergence of monetary policy between the US Federal reserve, which is accelerating interest rate increases and the European Central Bank, which has not raised rates since the autumn of 2011 and is not expected to do so before the summer of 2019. The currency is down 2.24 per cent against the greenback year-to-date and trading at 1.173 to the dollar at 4:35pm UAE time.

“A relatively weaker eurozone economy, faster US Federal Reserve tightening, and political uncertainty has made euro assets relatively less attractive than their US counterparts, shifting money away from the euro," said S&P Global Ratings senior economist Marion Amiot.

The ECB, which has said it will end its €2.55 trillion bond purchase programme in December, is continuing with the so-called quantitative easing policy of pumping money into the economy to stimulate higher growth and nudge inflation to its target of 2 per cent.

In July the European Commission lowered its growth forecast for the eurozone this year due to trade tensions with the US and rising oil prices. Brent breached $80 this month as the market reacted to the implications of tightening sanctions on Iran, Opec's third largest oil producer.

The 19-member zone will slow to a projected 2.1 per cent this year from the 2.4 per cent figure posted last year, according to the commission said. S&P forecasts eurozone growth of 2 per cent in 2018.

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"From the third quarter of 2019, the start of the ECB hiking cycle and what we expect to be a period of less heavy political risk should support an appreciation of the euro against the dollar, especially given that the euro looks undervalued looking at the eurozone's strong current account surplus or purchasing power parity exchange rates," said Ms Amiot.

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From Zero

Artist: Linkin Park

Label: Warner Records

Number of tracks: 11

Rating: 4/5

Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

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FIGHT CARD

Welterweight Mostafa Radi (PAL) v Tohir Zhuraev (TJK)

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Catchweight 71kg Usman Nurmagomedov (RUS) v Jerry Kvarnstrom (FIN)

Featherweight title Lee Do-gyeom (KOR) v Alexandru Chitoran (ROU)

Lightweight title Bruno Machado (BRA) v Mike Santiago (USA)

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Ain Dubai in numbers

126: The length in metres of the legs supporting the structure

1 football pitch: The length of each permanent spoke is longer than a professional soccer pitch

16 A380 Airbuses: The equivalent weight of the wheel rim.

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Business Insights
  • Canada and Mexico are significant energy suppliers to the US, providing the majority of oil and natural gas imports
  • The introduction of tariffs could hinder the US's clean energy initiatives by raising input costs for materials like nickel
  • US domestic suppliers might benefit from higher prices, but overall oil consumption is expected to decrease due to elevated costs
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Women & Power: A Manifesto

Mary Beard

Profile Books and London Review of Books 

Who are the Soroptimists?

The first Soroptimists club was founded in Oakland, California in 1921. The name comes from the Latin word soror which means sister, combined with optima, meaning the best.

The organisation said its name is best interpreted as ‘the best for women’.

Since then the group has grown exponentially around the world and is officially affiliated with the United Nations. The organisation also counts Queen Mathilde of Belgium among its ranks.

Spider-Man: No Way Home

Director: Jon Watts

Stars: Tom Holland, Zendaya, Jacob Batalon 

Rating:*****

About Takalam

Date started: early 2020

Founders: Khawla Hammad and Inas Abu Shashieh

Based: Abu Dhabi

Sector: HealthTech and wellness

Number of staff: 4

Funding to date: Bootstrapped

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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