How to build a resilient investment portfolio amid global geopolitical shifts

In a world marked by increasing economic interdependence and market volatility, wealth diversification remains an indispensable strategy for investors . By balancing risk, seeking new opportunities and staying ahead of market trends, individuals can build resilient portfolios . Allocating investments across global markets helps mitigate risks associated with regional downturns. Emerging markets in Asia, Africa and Latin America continue to show promise due to rising consumer bases, technological adoption and infrastructure investments. For instance, India and Southeast Asia have become hotbeds for innovation and manufacturing. Diversifying into these markets not only spreads risk but also captures growth driven by urbanisation and digital transformation. Developed markets, such as Europe and Japan, provide stability with sectors like renewable energy, pharmaceuticals and industrials leading the charge. These markets offer lower volatility and serve as a counterbalance to high-risk regions. Artificial intelligence and machine learning are revolutionising how portfolios are managed. Automated platforms analyse massive data sets in real time, helping investors optimise allocations, identify emerging trends and mitigate risks. As we head into 2025, expect these technologies to play a more prominent role, offering precision and cost efficiency previously unattainable through traditional advisory models. Sustainability has become a significant driver of investor behaviour. Portfolios aligned with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles not only meet ethical standards but also deliver strong returns. For example, funds focusing on renewable energy, clean water technologies and sustainable agriculture are gaining traction globally. In the next year, ESG is expected to transition from a niche to a mainstream investment strategy. Beyond equities and bonds, alternative assets provide diversification and unique growth opportunities. Commodities like gold and silver act as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. Private equity and venture capital offer exposure to high-growth sectors, including biotech and green technology. Additionally, infrastructure projects, such as smart cities and renewable energy installations, are expected to deliver steady returns in the long term. The allure of high-risk, high-reward ventures is undeniable, particularly in sectors like blockchain, FinTech and AI. The global blockchain market size is projected to grow to $248.9 billion by 2029 from $20.1 billion in 2024 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 65.5 per cent during the forecast period, according to a July report by research firm MarketsandMarkets. While these investments carry volatility, allocating a small percentage of a portfolio can yield exponential returns. A balanced approach, with a mix of traditional assets and speculative ventures, ensures both security and growth. 1. Sector-specific focus: Technology, health care and renewable energy are poised to be key drivers. Global IT spending is forecast to reach $5.74 trillion by 2025, according to Gartner, while health care advancements, particularly in telemedicine and wearables, are also recording strong growth. Meanwhile, the International Renewable Energy Agency has called for annual investment in renewable capacity to triple from a new record high of $570 billion in 2023 to $1.5 trillion every year between 2024 and 2030 to keep 1.5°C target within reach. 2. Understanding global policy trends: Policies like the European Green Deal, which aim to promote sustainable funding, will reshape investment landscapes. Interest rate policies in the US and Europe are expected to influence capital flows, requiring vigilant monitoring. 3. Hedging against inflation: Inflation rates are expected to stabilise about 3 per cent to 4 per cent globally. Assets like Treasury inflation-protected securities and real estate are forecast to deliver great returns, acting as reliable hedges. 4. Utilising currency diversification: Holding assets across major currencies, such as the euro, yen and Swiss franc, reduces risks associated with foreign exchange volatility. The eurozone economy, for example, is expected to grow at 2 per cent annually, offering a stable counterbalance to riskier regions. While diversification reduces the impact of individual market downturns, it does not eliminate risk. Key practices include: ● Regular portfolio rebalancing : Regular rebalancing helps maintain the target asset allocation, ensuring portfolios align with evolving market conditions. In 2025, financial advisers recommend reviewing portfolios annually or after major market shifts to optimise performance and reduce risk. ● Due diligence : Understanding the economic, political and regulatory risks of investment regions is crucial for informed decision-making. Markets like Asia and Latin America offer growth but require careful evaluation of political and economic stability. ● Behavioural discipline : Maintaining discipline during market volatility helps avoid emotional reactions, which can lead to poor investment decisions. Studies show investors who stay calm during downturns often achieve better long-term returns. As we prepare for 2025, investors must adopt a dynamic and informed approach to wealth management. Combining traditional principles of diversification with emerging trends provides a robust framework for success. Staying proactive and adaptable will be critical in navigating the complexities of the global financial landscape. Jose Thomas is director of wealth management at Elixir Wealth Private

How to build a resilient investment portfolio amid global geopolitical shifts

Sustainability and technology are sectors expected to see strong future growth