Opec sees calm in the oil markets



Opec predicts an improving supply and demand picture for the rest of the year in a report released one day after its most prominent member suggested further raisingthe organisations voluntary production ceiling.

Recession or poor growth in the major economies of Europe, North America and Asiaand high output by Opec and non-Opec producers have driven down oil prices after they increased at the beginning of the year. That trend may continue.

"The second half of the year could see a further easing in fundamentals, despite seasonally higher demand," Opec said in its latest monthly report.

On the eve of the group's biannual meeting in Vienna, the report also forecast lower demand.

"In 2012, demand for Opec crude is projected to average 29.9m bpd [million barrels per day], representing a decline of 0.1m bpd from last year's level," it said.

Opec pumped oil at a rate of 31.56 million bpd last month, according to the report, a minor reduction on the previous month, and the first decline in eight months.

Demand for its crude is forecast to fall to 30.92 millionbpd in the third quarter, and to 30.55 million in the fourth quarter.

In spite of falling demand, Ali AlNaimi, Saudi Arabia's oil minister, on Monday said the Opec production ceiling should "may be" be raised.

The voluntary quota was set at 30million bpd, far below current pumping levels.

"The comments are surprising and suggest Saudi Arabia isn't willing to reduce production," said Carsten Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank.

Saudi Arabia had led the way in raising its output, intent on bringing prices down to support a flagging world economy. As a consequence, Brent prices have dropped from US$125 a barrel earlier this year to about $97.

Mr Al Naimi qualified his remarks yesterday by saying that he would not call for a rise in Opec production at the group's upcoming meeting.

"I am happy the way things are," he said.

His earlier suggestion had been meet with strong opposition by Opec hawks, such as Iran and Venezuela, which want a return to higher prices.

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Director: Rohit Shetty

Stars: Ajay Devgn, Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ranveer Singh, Akshay Kumar, Tiger Shroff, Deepika Padukone

Rating: 3/5

Need to know

The flights: Flydubai flies from Dubai to Kilimanjaro airport via Dar es Salaam from Dh1,619 return including taxes. The trip takes 8 hours. 

The trek: Make sure that whatever tour company you select to climb Kilimanjaro, that it is a reputable one. The way to climb successfully would be with experienced guides and porters, from a company committed to quality, safety and an ethical approach to the mountain and its staff. Sonia Nazareth booked a VIP package through Safari Africa. The tour works out to $4,775 (Dh17,538) per person, based on a 4-person booking scheme, for 9 nights on the mountain (including one night before and after the trek at Arusha). The price includes all meals, a head guide, an assistant guide for every 2 trekkers, porters to carry the luggage, a cook and kitchen staff, a dining and mess tent, a sleeping tent set up for 2 persons, a chemical toilet and park entrance fees. The tiny ration of heated water provided for our bath in our makeshift private bathroom stall was the greatest luxury. A standard package, also based on a 4-person booking, works out to $3,050 (Dh11,202) per person.

When to go: You can climb Kili at any time of year, but the best months to ascend  are  January-February and September-October.  Also good are July and August, if you’re tolerant of the colder weather that winter brings.

Do not underestimate the importance of kit. Even if you’re travelling at a relatively pleasant time, be geared up for the cold and the rain.

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Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.

When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.

How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
From Zero

Artist: Linkin Park

Label: Warner Records

Number of tracks: 11

Rating: 4/5

MATCH INFO

Qalandars 112-4 (10 ovs)

Banton 53 no

Northern Warriors 46 all out (9 ovs)

Kumara 3-10, Garton 3-10, Jordan 2-2, Prasanna 2-7

Qalandars win by six wickets

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The Sky Is Pink

Director: Shonali Bose

Cast: Priyanka Chopra Jonas, Farhan Akhtar, Zaira Wasim, Rohit Saraf

Three stars

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Name: ARDH Collective
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Know before you go
  • Jebel Akhdar is a two-hour drive from Muscat airport or a six-hour drive from Dubai. It’s impossible to visit by car unless you have a 4x4. Phone ahead to the hotel to arrange a transfer.
  • If you’re driving, make sure your insurance covers Oman.
  • By air: Budget airlines Air Arabia, Flydubai and SalamAir offer direct routes to Muscat from the UAE.
  • Tourists from the Emirates (UAE nationals not included) must apply for an Omani visa online before arrival at evisa.rop.gov.om. The process typically takes several days.
  • Flash floods are probable due to the terrain and a lack of drainage. Always check the weather before venturing into any canyons or other remote areas and identify a plan of escape that includes high ground, shelter and parking where your car won’t be overtaken by sudden downpours.

 

Abu Dhabi GP Saturday schedule

12.30pm GP3 race (18 laps)

2pm Formula One final practice 

5pm Formula One qualifying

6.40pm Formula 2 race (31 laps)

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How to watch Ireland v Pakistan in UAE

When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
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Starring: James McAvoy, Claire Foy, Tom Cullen, Gary Lewis

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Women’s T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier

ICC Academy, November 22-28

UAE fixtures
Nov 22, v Malaysia
Nov 23, v Hong Kong
Nov 25, v Bhutan
Nov 26, v Kuwait
Nov 28, v Nepal

ICC T20I rankings
14. Nepal
17. UAE
25. Hong Kong
34. Kuwait
35. Malaysia
44. Bhutan 

UAE squad
Chaya Mughal (captain), Natasha Cherriath, Samaira Dharnidharka, Kavisha Egodage, Mahika Gaur, Priyanjali Jain, Suraksha Kotte, Vaishnave Mahesh, Judit Peter, Esha Rohit, Theertha Satish, Chamani Seneviratne, Khushi Sharma, Subha Venkataraman

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Light Flyweight (48kg): Alua Balkibekova (KAZ) beat Gulasal Sultonalieva (UZB) by points 4-1.

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Heavyweight (81 kg): Lazzat Kungeibayeva (KAZ) beat Anupama (IND) 3-2.

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