Ratings agencies study banks



DUBAI // Ratings agencies are starting to scrutinise the balance sheets of UAE banks as the extent of their exposure to two troubled Saudi family conglomerates emerges. Fitch Ratings, one of the world's largest agencies, yesterday confirmed the "C" rating of Mashreqbank, based in Dubai, saying its "sizeable" exposure to the Saad and Al Gosaibi groups was "manageable".

"Mashreqbank should be able to absorb potential credit losses stemming from the exposure given its current profitability and capitalisation levels," Fitch said. The finding was part of a broad review of all UAE banks rated by Fitch, said Mahin Dissanayake, an analyst at the agency. "We see this [exposure] as an issue," Mr Dissanayake said. "Starting with the sizeable and larger exposures, we review all banks in terms of their exposure to Saad and Al Gosaibi."

Meanwhile, Moody's Investors Service said it was making a review of all "name lending", or lending to companies based on reputation and long-standing relationships, at UAE banks. The ratings agency said it was not limiting its internal review to Saad and Al Gosaibi. The Saad Group ran into trouble last month, when the Saudi central bank froze the accounts of Maan al Sanea, its billionaire founder and chairman.

Before that, The International Banking Corporation, a Bahraini bank owned by Ahmad Hamad Al Gosaibi and Brothers, defaulted on some loans in May, which led to a formal debt restructuring at its parent company. Saad has also launched a formal restructuring. "We must assume higher levels of stress," said Mardig Haladjian, who heads the GCC banking team at Moody's. "This is more than Al Gosaibi and Saad. We are closely looking at any positions on a bank's balance sheet we consider name lending. The whole notion is about banks conducting name lending. In a down cycle this will come back to bite them."

Standard & Poor's, another global ratings agency that has a strong presence in the Gulf, could not be reached for comment. Ratings agencies are key players in the global economy, as their evaluations affect how easily and cheaply firms can borrow in international markets. Ratings also serve as measures of financial stability and investor confidence. As part of a broader global initiative, Moody's, which rates 16 UAE banks, is running a stress test on the banking sector in the Emirates.

It may place individual banks on review if it expected their books to be affected by too much exposure to name lending, Mr Haladjian said. It will complete the general review in a few weeks' time. More than 10 UAE banks have revealed exposure to the troubled Saudi groups totalling US$767.5 million (Dh2.81 billion), according to a document obtained by The National. With an exposure of $250m in four syndications, only Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB) is more exposed than Mashreqbank, which has $210m in four loans, according to the document.

Other affected UAE banks include National Bank of Abu Dhabi, Emirates NBD, First Gulf Bank and Union National Bank. So far, First Gulf Bank, ADCB and Mashreqbank have revealed exposure without giving amounts. In total, 88 banks around the world are believed to have a total exposure of more than $7.4bn. Last week, John Iossifidis, the head of international banking at Mashreqbank, said he felt "the dimension to this workout is manageable, relative to our size and strength".

@Email:uharnischfeger@thenational.ae

Business Insights
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Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.

When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.

How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
The specs

Engine: 3-litre twin-turbo V6

Power: 400hp

Torque: 475Nm

Transmission: 9-speed automatic

Price: From Dh215,900

On sale: Now

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The Bio

Amal likes watching Japanese animation movies and Manga - her favourite is The Ancient Magus Bride

She is the eldest of 11 children, and has four brothers and six sisters.

Her dream is to meet with all of her friends online from around the world who supported her work throughout the years

Her favourite meal is pizza and stuffed vine leaves

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The line up

Friday: Giggs, Sho Madjozi and Masego  

Saturday: Nas, Lion Bbae, Roxanne Shante and DaniLeigh  

Sole DXB runs from December 6 to 8 at Dubai Design District. Weekend pass is Dh295 while a one day pass is Dh195. Tickets are available from www.soledxb.com

Company Profile

Name: JustClean

Based: Kuwait with offices in other GCC countries

Launch year: 2016

Number of employees: 130

Sector: online laundry service

Funding: $12.9m from Kuwait-based Faith Capital Holding

Company%20Profile
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The specs
 
Engine: 3.0-litre six-cylinder turbo
Power: 398hp from 5,250rpm
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Transmission: Eight-speed auto
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On sale: December
Price: From Dh330,000 (estimate)
SPECS
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Avatar%20(2009)
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Moonfall

Director: Rolan Emmerich

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Director: Alfonso Cuaron 

Stars: Cate Blanchett, Kevin Kline, Lesley Manville 

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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
 
Started: 2020
 
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
 
Based: Dubai, UAE
 
Sector: Entertainment 
 
Number of staff: 210 
 
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Company%20profile
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