Saudi Aramco gears up for record oil production



Saudi Aramco's oil production capacity has reached 12 million barrels per day (bpd), which could allow it to set records for crude output once global energy demand recovers. The national oil company accounts for nearly all crude production in Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter. "Production capacity of the company was 12 million bpd in June, when output started from three fields," said Khalid al Falih, the chief executive of Aramco, according to the Saudi newspaper Al Hayat. Those deposits included Khurais, at which production capacity was raised by 1.2 million bpd, or roughly seven-fold, in the biggest completed oilfield expansion project in the world. The field is located in the most prolific Saudi onshore oil-producing region, east of Riyadh, near the giant Ghawar field, which has the world's biggest deposit of conventional crude oil. The output capacity at Khurais was less than 200,000 bpd before the expansion, according to US government data. The other Saudi oil projects completed last month included a 250,000 bpd capacity expansion at the Shaybah oilfield, in the kingdom's remote Empty Quarter near its border with the UAE, which previously could produce up to 550,000 bpd. Aramco also developed an initial 100,000 bpd of output capacity at the Nuayyim field, south-east of Riyadh. In total, the three projects have raised Saudi oil production capacity by 1.55 million bpd or about 15 per cent. That has boosted the kingdom's spare capacity to a record 4 million bpd, as Saudi Arabia has led the way in delivering the record 4.2 million bpd of output cuts that OPEC pledged last year in an attempt to stem a steep slide in the price of oil. The Joint Oil Data Initiative, of which OPEC is a member, said Saudi Arabia produced 8.213 million bpd of oil in May, including about 300,000 bpd of natural gas liquids that are not included in its OPEC production quota. US government data show Saudi oil production peaked in 2007 at just over 10 million bpd, close to the level it had attained in the early 1980s. That was when the kingdom increased crude exports substantially to make up for a sharp drop in oil production in Iran, after that country's 1979 Islamic revolution and the outbreak of its war with Iraq. But Saudi output dropped by more than 60 per cent, to below 4 million bpd in 1985, because of cuts by OPEC in response to falling prices, before recovering to a plateau of about 8 million bpd in the 1990s. In 2007, amid predictions by "peak oil" theorists that Saudi output was about to decline, Aramco announced a bold plan to add more than 2 million bpd of new oil production capacity to bring the kingdom's total capacity to 12.5 million bpd this year. The company said a further 2.5 million bpd of additions were possible next year and in 2011, potentially bringing output capacity to 15 million bpd. Aramco has now delivered most of the increases promised for this year, even as global oil demand has fallen because of the economic crisis. Mr al Falih said the drop in oil demand was temporary and he predicted consumption growth would eventually resume. If the world failed to invest in new oil production during the downturn, global capacity would fall, causing another sharp rise in crude prices that could again destabilise the economy, Mr al Falih said. In the long term, Saudi Arabia planned to maintain spare production capacity of 1.5 million to 2 million bpd, he said. Yesterday, KazMunaigas Exploration and Production, a leading producer in Kazakhstan, said its crude output for the first half of the year was 3.8 per cent lower than a year earlier. tcarlisle@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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