There was a time when you couldn't keep Dubai International Capital (DIC) out of the headlines.
In the boom years, it seemed barely a week passed without a multibillion-dirham equity deal (Sony, Airbus), or the purchase of a glamorous foreign brand (Madame Tussauds), or a move into glitzy sports businesses (the ultimately fruitless pursuit of Liverpool football club).
I can think of no other private equity group that has had its name chanted by a crowd of football fans.
It's a sign of how times have changed, both in Dubai and specifically at DIC, that for more than a year now, the headlines have been rather less rapturous: debts; extensions; renegotiations and restructurings.
Like Dubai itself, DIC has spent the past 12 months getting on with the job of reconstruction. In that time it has dissolved the old board of directors, replaced a chief executive and chairman, got the agreement of most of its creditors to restructure some US$2.5 billion (Dh9.18bn) of debt, and sold down most of that sparkling global investment portfolio.
It was a comparatively low-key process with none of the big set-pieces of the Dubai World restructuring. DIC had fewer moving parts than Dubai World, and is itself just a cog, although a big one, in the wheels of the Dubai Holding conglomerate. But DIC has changed profoundly, and is set to change even more.
Perhaps most significantly, it is about to re-establish a full board of new directors. Since it was founded in 2004, DIC has always had a board to oversee the workings of the executive committee. It came as a shock to investment partners and creditors when the old board was dissolved in January last year with no replacement.
This is about to be rectified, I hear. The search is on for a handful of senior directors to form a new board. There will be representatives of the Emirati business elite, to safeguard the interests of the ultimate shareholder, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice-President of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai.
There will also be some top-level independent non-executive directors to represent the interest of creditors and to ensure the highest standards of corporate governance are observed.
Given the nature of DIC's business, at least one of those appointments should be an expert in asset valuation. Some interesting names are being whispered in the corridors of the Dubai International Financial Centre to fill these positions, but the final decision on appointments rests with the Dubai Supreme Fiscal Committee, and it would be counterproductive to second guess that august body.
Until the new board is announced, David Smoot, who took over as the DIC chief executive last year, will continue the negotiations with creditors. Banks representing some 67 per cent of the company's outstanding debts have agreed to the terms of a restructuring of the $2.5bn of debt over six years, with a further $500 million extended over four years.
Some progress has been made on getting the agreement of all creditors to the new terms, but it is a slow process, and no timetable has been set to reach the 100 per cent agreement level.
While these talks go on with creditors, who are said to be supportive, understanding and patient, Mr Smoot will continue to implement the business plan already agreed with the shareholders and creditors.
DIC is getting back to what it was always intended to be: a private equity investment company focused on European corporations and Middle East infrastructure.
It retains 100 per cent ownership of some major investments, including Doncasters, the UK engineering firm, and Travelodge, the British budget hotels business. It has been forced to reduce interests elsewhere, but still has majority control of the German alumina products manufacturer Almatis, and a very small interest in the UK's Alliance Medical.
Even with the cash-squeeze, DIC has invested $300m in these assets in the past year.
Outside Europe, DIC's main direct interests are in manufacturing, hotels and retail in the UAE, and in infrastructure across the Mena region via investment funds. Mainly in Jordan and Egypt, these investments are vulnerable to, but so far unaffected by, the political turmoil in the region.
There has been speculation that substantial parts of this portfolio is up for grabs, even subject to a fire-sale to satisfy out-of-pocket investors and creditors. The feeling within the company is entirely the opposite: it is under no pressure from creditors, investors or the shareholders to get rid of any assets at unrealistic prices.
DIC expects values to rise as economic recovery takes off, and positions to be realised at appropriate valuations when opportunities arise, especially in parts of the portfolio outside Europe.
But that is the normal business of a private equity group, which DIC is once again in the process of becoming, rather than a collector of global investment baubles.
fkane@thenational.ae
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Paatal Lok season two
Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy
Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong
Rating: 4.5/5
If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
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How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.