Global spending on information technology is forecast to increase by about 5 per cent to $4.6 trillion next year as businesses accelerate the pace of digital transformation to offset the effects of the pandemic and economic uncertainty, according to Gartner.
Covid-induced market disruptions and widespread adoption of hybrid work models have fast-tracked the process.
“Economic turbulence will change the context for technology investments, increasing spending in some areas and accelerating declines in others,” said John-David Lovelock, research vice president and distinguished analyst at Gartner.
Amid the increasing digital transformation budgets and emergence of latest innovations, The National looks at the 12 top technology trends for the year ahead.
Digital payments to become new normal
Globally, the Covid-19 pandemic spurred the adoption of digital payments, particularly contactless payments, because of heightened awareness about the spread of infection through banknotes and plastic money.
In 2023, consumer banking will be all about digital interactions first, but this digital experience needs to have security at its foundation, said Anudeep Parhar, chief operating officer of digital at Entrust, a Minnesota-based company that offers software and hardware used to issue financial cards.
“Consumers will require flexible, convenient and secure payment methods, and the demands for security will only grow from here.”
Rise in metaverse
The Metaverse, which is a virtual space where users are represented by digital avatars, is poised to reshape workplaces and businesses in 2023 and beyond.
The value of the metaverse industry is projected to hit about $13 trillion by 2030, with fashion and luxury retail representing $50 billion, a study from Chalhoub Group shows.
Currently, the sector is estimated to have a value of between $40 billion and $65 billion.
Digital identities
More users will own and manage their own tamper-proof credentials for applications such as personal health, education and voting records in an encrypted digital wallet on their personal devices.
They will use blockchain to create their identities, leading to more secure transactions between sellers and buyers, Deloitte said in its Tech Trends 2023 report.
Businesses can also verify or issue digital certificates, identities and licences. For example, the car maker BMW has teamed up with the German government on blockchain-based driver’s licences that aim to prevent identity fraud and reduce friction in transactions.
Virtual workspaces becoming common
Virtual workspaces increase companies’ ability to hire and bring together employees regardless of their geographic locations.
For remote-first or hybrid organisations, virtual workspaces may replace the office and eventually become the centre of the digital employee experience next year.
By 2027, fully virtual workspaces will account for about 30 per cent of the investment growth by enterprises in metaverse technologies, Gartner predicted.
Surge in automation spending
In 2023, industry experts expect a sharp rise in automation spending as businesses will aim to do more with less.
“Everybody wants to automate the work they do, meanwhile we are in an economic situation where businesses must prioritise cost efficiency. Automation is about creating ways of working that can save time while continuing to drive efficient growth and simply doing more with less,” said Brent Hayward, chief executive of California-based software company MuleSoft.
Autonomic computing
As businesses continue to transform, traditional programming or simple automation will not scale enough.
Autonomic computing allows machines to self-manage their physical or software systems as they learn from the changing environments.
Unlike automated or even autonomous systems, autonomic computing can modify algorithms without an external software update, enabling computers to rapidly adapt to new conditions in the field, much like humans.
Responsible AI
In 2023, industry experts expect a surge in the use of artificial technology, by both individuals and organisations, to achieve unethical and socially destructive objectives.
Industry, governments, academia, and NGOs will come together to begin hammering out a framework for governing AI in an ethical and responsible manner to mitigate potential harm, technology company Cisco predicted.
“This framework will be based on principles such as transparency, fairness, accountability, privacy, security, and reliability … and will ultimately be applied to model creation and the selection of training data as defining principles of AI systems,” it added.
IoT to make supply chains resilient
Businesses will increasingly use IoT (Internet of Things) to bring full visibility into their supply chains in 2023.
IoT and other technologies will not only play a larger role in bringing resiliency and efficiency into supply chains but will also improve cyber security and IT network management.
“As a result, enterprises and logistics providers will reconfigure supply chains around predictive and prescriptive models including smart contracts and distributed ledgers. This is a major transition towards more sustainable business practices and circular supply chains,” Cisco said.
Re-assessing AI use cases
Businesses will start reassessing their AI business use cases in 2023.
AI must become a productivity multiplier quickly to prove its value, said Shaun McGirr, regional vice president of AI strategy for Europe, Middle East and Africa at New York-headquartered AI company Dataiku.
“As economic volatility makes companies reassess the value of their AI initiatives, we will see companies look to experts to focus on building realistic, lasting, and scalable impact.”
By 2025, without sustainable practices, AI will consume more energy than the human workforce, significantly offsetting carbon-zero gains, Gartner predicted.
Eco-friendly data centre designs
Eco-friendly design has been talked about for years when it comes to data centres, which offer cloud storage to customers.
“With data centres consuming between 1 and 2 per cent of the entire planet’s electricity, these sharply rising [power] prices will have a massive knock-on effect next year,” said James Petter, vice president and general manager, international, at Pure Storage, an American publicly traded technology company.
“We will [also] see creative ways to use the heat that data centres produce, whether as another renewable energy source or diverted into innovative side projects.”
Data sovereignty on top
Safeguarding data sovereignty and offering customised solutions depending on different geographies will be a high priority on the agenda of cloud providers such as Oracle, Amazon Web Services, Google and Microsoft.
Data sovereignty regulations require businesses to develop solutions that ensure they conform with the country’s individual data privacy and security laws. Not abiding by the regulations in the areas where they collect, process or store customers' data can lead to significant fines or other legal action.
Quantum computing
Quantum computers represent a massive acceleration in computing speed and performance. They are expected to deliver extraordinary advances across a multitude of industries including pharmaceutical development, nuclear energy, materials science, renewable energy, climate change mitigation, sustainable agriculture and more.
The world's biggest economies — the US, Russia, China and Japan — as well as tech titans IBM, Alibaba, Google and Microsoft, are all battling for supremacy in the field. Companies such as Visa, JP Morgan and Volkswagen are also experimenting with early-stage quantum technology.
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The biog
Most memorable achievement: Leading my first city-wide charity campaign in Toronto holds a special place in my heart. It was for Amnesty International’s Stop Violence Against Women program and showed me the power of how communities can come together in the smallest ways to have such wide impact.
Favourite film: Childhood favourite would be Disney’s Jungle Book and classic favourite Gone With The Wind.
Favourite book: To Kill A Mockingbird for a timeless story on justice and courage and Harry Potters for my love of all things magical.
Favourite quote: “We make a living by what we get, but we make a life by what we give.” — Winston Churchill
Favourite food: Dim sum
Favourite place to travel to: Anywhere with natural beauty, wildlife and awe-inspiring sunsets.
Why seagrass matters
- Carbon sink: Seagrass sequesters carbon up to 35X faster than tropical rainforests
- Marine nursery: Crucial habitat for juvenile fish, crustations, and invertebrates
- Biodiversity: Support species like sea turtles, dugongs, and seabirds
- Coastal protection: Reduce erosion and improve water quality
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In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
The specs: 2018 Range Rover Velar R-Dynamic HSE
Price, base / as tested: Dh263,235 / Dh420,000
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Power 375hp @ 6,500rpm
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Tamkeen's offering
- Option 1: 70% in year 1, 50% in year 2, 30% in year 3
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Labour dispute
The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.
- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law
THE SPECS
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UAE tour of Zimbabwe
All matches in Bulawayo
Friday, Sept 26 – UAE won by 36 runs
Sunday, Sept 28 – Second ODI
Tuesday, Sept 30 – Third ODI
Thursday, Oct 2 – Fourth ODI
Sunday, Oct 5 – First T20I
Monday, Oct 6 – Second T20I