Empty oil barrels outside a shop in Baghdad.
Empty oil barrels outside a shop in Baghdad.

US recession gloom prompts new oil low



The price of a barrel of oil fell below US$48 yesterday to a three-and-a-half year low, sparked by fears of a prolonged US recession. The drop followed an announcement by the National Bureau of Economic Research that the US economy has been in recession since December last year. Analysts are predicting that this may be one of the longest downturns since the end of the Second World War, partly because of the large number of jobs that have been lost.

"We are in an economy that has slowed down significantly," said Henry Paulson, the US Treasury secretary. "The American people know that, and I think the American people have known that for some time." The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts the US, Europe and Japan will all contract next year, the first simultaneous downturn by the big three economies since the Second World War. "This may be referred to as the Great Recession because of its length," said Norbert Ore, the chairman of the Institute for Supply Management's factory survey, which provides a key indicator of US manufacturing trends.

The fall in oil prices will disappoint many in the Gulf. Saudi Arabia called this week for an oil price of $75 a barrel and a cut in production, but this suggestion has been shrugged off by traders. The UAE has felt the effects of the global slowdown, with house prices forecast to drop in Dubai, according to the Philippines-based Global Property Guide, a researcher of international property trends.

Oil, which made up about 98 per cent of exports in 2006, according to the Abu Dhabi Department of Planning and Development, has fallen from a high of $147 in July to $47.36 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange yesterday. However, the country is not expected to go into recession. According to forecasts by the IMF, growth will be seven per cent this year, falling to six per cent next year. Last month, Morgan Stanley forecast GDP growth of 6.4 per cent this year, falling to 3.8 per cent next year.

rwright@thenational.ae

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MATCH INFO

Inter Milan v Juventus
Saturday, 10.45pm (UAE)
Watch the match on BeIN Sports

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SPECS
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Indoor cricket in a nutshell

Indoor Cricket World Cup – Sep 16-20, Insportz, Dubai

16 Indoor cricket matches are 16 overs per side

8 There are eight players per team

There have been nine Indoor Cricket World Cups for men. Australia have won every one.

5 Five runs are deducted from the score when a wickets falls

Batsmen bat in pairs, facing four overs per partnership

Scoring In indoor cricket, runs are scored by way of both physical and bonus runs. Physical runs are scored by both batsmen completing a run from one crease to the other. Bonus runs are scored when the ball hits a net in different zones, but only when at least one physical run is score.

Zones

A Front net, behind the striker and wicketkeeper: 0 runs

B Side nets, between the striker and halfway down the pitch: 1 run

Side nets between halfway and the bowlers end: 2 runs

Back net: 4 runs on the bounce, 6 runs on the full

World Series

Game 1: Red Sox 8, Dodgers 4
Game 2: Red Sox 4, Dodgers 2
Game 3: Saturday (UAE)

* if needed

Game 4: Sunday
Game 5: Monday
Game 6: Wednesday
Game 7: Thursday

The specs: Fenyr SuperSport

Price, base: Dh5.1 million

Engine: 3.8-litre twin-turbo flat-six

Transmission: Seven-speed automatic

Power: 800hp @ 7,100pm

Torque: 980Nm @ 4,000rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 13.5L / 100km

Juliot Vinolia’s checklist for adopting alternate-day fasting

-      Don’t do it more than once in three days

-      Don’t go under 700 calories on fasting days

-      Ensure there is sufficient water intake, as the body can go in dehydration mode

-      Ensure there is enough roughage (fibre) in the food on fasting days as well

-      Do not binge on processed or fatty foods on non-fasting days

-      Complement fasting with plant-based foods, fruits, vegetables, seafood. Cut out processed meats and processed carbohydrates

-      Manage your sleep

-      People with existing gastric or mental health issues should avoid fasting

-      Do not fast for prolonged periods without supervision by a qualified expert

Points classification after Stage 4

1. Arnaud Demare (France / FDJ) 124

2. Marcel Kittel (Germany / Quick-Step) 81

3. Michael Matthews (Australia / Sunweb) 66

4. Andre Greipel (Germany / Lotto) 63

5. Alexander Kristoff (Norway / Katusha) 43