Donald Trump's 2024 US election win: What do the charts and numbers tell us?


Fadah Jassem
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Latest updates: Follow our full coverage on the US election

Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

Trump made gains on all fronts

Donald Trump gained votes in nearly every state compared with the 2020 election, when he lost to Joe Biden. Mr Trump's strongest performances in 2024 were in states where he had significant support, further consolidating his base. In Florida and Utah, his margins over his Democratic rival Vice President Kamala Harris increased substantially, with his base strengthening its support.

Mr Trump’s campaign recaptured swing states, which were key to his victory. He won in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, maintaining a lead across all seven major battlegrounds. In 2020, Mr Biden managed to win six out of the seven swing states, with only North Carolina going to Mr Trump. The results of this election highlight a shift in voter sentiment, particularly in states traditionally known as the “blue wall”.

Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes, was crucial to Ms Harris's hopes of winning. Mr Trump was declared the winner in the state with 51 per cent of the vote, compared with 48 per cent for Ms Harris.

He also made important inroads in traditional democratic strongholds such as New York, where he closed the gap with Ms Harris by 12 points. These improvements in deep blue states suggest his outreach extended beyond traditional Republican regions.

Minorities swing to Trump

In another remarkable turn, the Republican Party received more votes from Hispanic, Asian and black voters than in 2020. Ms Harris only increased her vote share among over-65s and white college-educated women.

Support for Mr Trump increased more than 10 points among the Hispanic groups compared with 2020, particularly Hispanic men – up 18 points from 2020. In Florida’s Hispanic-majority counties, he increased his vote share by almost eight points compared with the election four years earlier.

The US black voter demographic, which consistently voted Democrat in the past, also leant slightly right. In this election, Mr Trump secured about 20 per cent of the black vote, according to an exit poll by AP, while in 2020, he only got 12 per cent of that vote.

In Dearborn, Michigan, Mr Trump seems to have won over many Arab-American voters, taking a traditionally safe Democratic bloc with 42.28 per cent going to Mr Trump, 36.26 per cent going to Ms Harris and 18.7 per cent going to third-party candidate Jill Stein. In a county where 55 per cent of the residents are of Middle Eastern heritage, the war in Gaza and Lebanon was a key issue, but Ms Harris tried to dodge it during her election campaign.

While minority support for Mr Trump surged, his largest voter bloc remained white men and women, especially non-college-educated white men, who constituted nearly 40 per cent of his base. This core demographic continues to provide him with substantial support.

Women voters on Trump

Despite early national exit polls showing Ms Harris won the support of 54 per cent of women, it is still lower than Mr Biden's tally in 2020, when he had the support of 57 per cent of women.

Mr Trump’s campaign secured incremental gains with women, especially among white and non-college-educated women, which contributed to his success in rural and suburban areas. The Democratic campaign hoped to gain more support from women, especially since this was the first election after the Supreme Court overturned the Roe v Wade ruling, ending a woman’s right to terminate a pregnancy, something Mr Trump and his party celebrated.

Generational divide narrows

A majority of younger voters across the US backed Ms Harris, but in the battleground state of Michigan, the Democrats lost significant backing from voters aged 18 to 29, the latest exit poll figures show.

In 2020, 61 per cent of Michigan voters in this age range supported Mr Biden, whereas only 46 per cent voted for Ms Harris, indicating some erosion of the Democratic hold on younger voters. Generation X ranked highest for Mr Trump – 54 per cent of voters aged 45 to 64 cast their ballot for Mr Trump.

But the Republican lost some support among older voters. In Wisconsin, he lost 11 percentage points in support from voters aged above 65, compared with 2020, while in Michigan, he lost six percentage points in support from that demographic.

Senate flips

The election also shifted the balance of power in the US Senate, with Republicans regaining control after four years of Democratic leadership. Of the 33 Senate seats contested, Republicans needed to flip just two to win a majority. They flipped three.

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Premier League, kick off 7.30pm (UAE)

Total eligible population

About 57.5 million people
51.1 million received a jab
6.4 million have not

Where are the unvaccinated?

England 11%
Scotland 9%
Wales 10%
Northern Ireland 14% 

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Power: 727hp

Torque: 1,000Nm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 10.6L/100km

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Price: From Dh650,000

Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Pox that threatens the Middle East's native species

Camelpox

Caused by a virus related to the one that causes human smallpox, camelpox typically causes fever, swelling of lymph nodes and skin lesions in camels aged over three, but the animal usually recovers after a month or so. Younger animals may develop a more acute form that causes internal lesions and diarrhoea, and is often fatal, especially when secondary infections result. It is found across the Middle East as well as in parts of Asia, Africa, Russia and India.

Falconpox

Falconpox can cause a variety of types of lesions, which can affect, for example, the eyelids, feet and the areas above and below the beak. It is a problem among captive falcons and is one of many types of avian pox or avipox diseases that together affect dozens of bird species across the world. Among the other forms are pigeonpox, turkeypox, starlingpox and canarypox. Avipox viruses are spread by mosquitoes and direct bird-to-bird contact.

Houbarapox

Houbarapox is, like falconpox, one of the many forms of avipox diseases. It exists in various forms, with a type that causes skin lesions being least likely to result in death. Other forms cause more severe lesions, including internal lesions, and are more likely to kill the bird, often because secondary infections develop. This summer the CVRL reported an outbreak of pox in houbaras after rains in spring led to an increase in mosquito numbers.

Classification of skills

A worker is categorised as skilled by the MOHRE based on nine levels given in the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) issued by the International Labour Organisation. 

A skilled worker would be someone at a professional level (levels 1 – 5) which includes managers, professionals, technicians and associate professionals, clerical support workers, and service and sales workers.

The worker must also have an attested educational certificate higher than secondary or an equivalent certification, and earn a monthly salary of at least Dh4,000. 

Pearls on a Branch: Oral Tales
​​​​​​​Najlaa Khoury, Archipelago Books

German intelligence warnings
  • 2002: "Hezbollah supporters feared becoming a target of security services because of the effects of [9/11] ... discussions on Hezbollah policy moved from mosques into smaller circles in private homes." Supporters in Germany: 800
  • 2013: "Financial and logistical support from Germany for Hezbollah in Lebanon supports the armed struggle against Israel ... Hezbollah supporters in Germany hold back from actions that would gain publicity." Supporters in Germany: 950
  • 2023: "It must be reckoned with that Hezbollah will continue to plan terrorist actions outside the Middle East against Israel or Israeli interests." Supporters in Germany: 1,250 

Source: Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution

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Director: Neeraj Pandey

Rating: 2.5/5

How does ToTok work?

The calling app is available to download on Google Play and Apple App Store

To successfully install ToTok, users are asked to enter their phone number and then create a nickname.

The app then gives users the option add their existing phone contacts, allowing them to immediately contact people also using the application by video or voice call or via message.

Users can also invite other contacts to download ToTok to allow them to make contact through the app.

 

Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

Updated: November 08, 2024, 3:20 AM