Neil Jacobsohn
Neil Jacobsohn

UAE leaders summit hears governments need to unite to face the growing challenge of artificial intelligence



The world’s superpowers must unite to face the growing challenge posed by the development of artificial intelligence, an expert has said.

Neil Jacobsohn, a leading government strategist, argued mankind’s response to new technologies would come to be seen a “defining moment” in our history.

He warned that a retreat into isolationism - represented by both Donald Trump’s presidency and Brexit - had come at the worst possible time.

He said it was becoming clear that one impact was its hampering of international efforts to collaborate on anticipating and adapting to new scientific knowledge.

“Artificial intelligence is going to be a defining moment in human history and governments have to understand how profound the changes are that are coming, and actually talk to each other,” he said.

“Who’s going to stop China developing AI weapons? Who’s going to stop North Korea?

“Technology is agnostic – it’s neither good nor bad. It’s what you do with it that counts.

“What terrifies me is at the very point where humankind needs to come up with some common approaches, we’ve got nations, sadly like the United States, saying ‘it’s America first, we’re going to put up walls and trade sanctions’.

“Suddenly, we’ve hit this wave of right-wing nationalism - personified by Trump and Brexit - with people saying ‘it’s about us, we don’t care about the rest of you’ and that is a fatal approach and it’s the worst possible time.”

Mr Jacobsohn, a self-declared 'futurist', made the comments to The National after addressing officials at the UAE government's Annual Meeting in Abu Dhabi.

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Read more:

Artificial intelligence will save the UAE billions lost to inefficiency, says minister

The machines are taking over: how AI will change life in the UAE in five, 10, 25 and 50 years

Life in 2028: how advances in AI could change our lives for the better - and worse

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The two-day event attended by federal, regional and local authorities aims to debate national strategy and review the achievements of 2017.

Mr Jacobsohn said issues over who will be to blame if an automated car kills a pedestrian or what vehicles should be programmed to do if a crash is unavoidable were questions humans were so far unable to provide answers to.

He also highlighted the genetic engineering of human beings and use of AI in weaponry as additional issues which urgently needed to be addresses.

Mr Jacobsohn, who is from South Africa, praised Emmanuel Macron of France for his attempts earlier this month to help bring countries together to discuss the implications of artificial intelligence.

The UAE was represented at a Paris summit by Omar Al Olama, the minister for artificial intelligence, and has backed President Macron’s agenda.

However, Mr Jacobsohn said crucial nations like Russia, the US and China had proved reluctant to engage.

He also urged businesses and governments to develop “memories of the future,” meaning they attempt to anticipate and adapt to long-term trends rather than only focusing on delivering short-term results.

He praised the UAE for its attempts to plan well into the future and said he was hopeful that millennials would prove more responsible than his generation in combating issues such as climate change.

However, he said collaboration between nations was crucial if humanity was to solve the “profound problems” it faces.

“These problems are not national problems,” he said. “These are not going to be solved by one government or another.

“They have to be solved by collaboration between governments and if ever there was a time for humanity to say ‘let’s put aside our differences’ and focus on what’s going to shape us as human beings in the next 50 years, this is the time to do it.”

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  • Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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