NEW DELHI // Purabi Shridhar is ready for some belt-tightening measures as the rupee continues to slide.
The currency hit an all-time low against the US dollar yesterday, dropping almost 17 per cent since May amid fears that India's economic growth is stalling.
For affluent Indians such as Mrs Shridhar, the rupee's slump is affecting the way they educate their children, travel and invest their money.
Her daughter, Shrutika, 19, moved to Singapore last year to study psychology at university. With her daughter returning to New Delhi every three months, Mrs Sridhar now spends hours searching for cheaper fares since the currency crisis pushed up the cost of a direct return flight from New Delhi to Singapore by 10,000 rupees (Dh573) compared with last year.
"The expenses surrounding the education have skyrocketed but you can't withdraw your child from school and have her come back," she said. "There will be a tightening of belts."
As the rupee slides, it drives up the prices of everything from onions (at 80 rupees a kilo, up by half from last month) to electronic goods, most of which are imported.
"Right now, you have to think twice about everything you took for granted earlier. The ramifications are everywhere," Mrs Shridhar said.
"This means cancelled holidays abroad, or people will reduce the duration of their stay, or they will halve their shopping budgets," said Iqbal Mulla, the president of the Travel Agents Association of India.
"India's population was quite ready to travel until now but this is obviously a great setback for outbound tourism."
In recent years between 15 million and 18 million Indians have taken holidays abroad each year, he said.
"You will not see the changes immediately but in the coming year, it will set in," he added. "There will be consequences felt across businesses in India because of this."
The depreciating rupee, which fell to 64.55 against the US dollar, before closing at 64.11 yesterday, will also affect those making payments on property abroad, moreso if it is under construction, said Neeraj Bansal, the head of real estate and construction analysis with KPMG in India.
Controls were put in place last week by the government to arrest the slide, including a ban on purchases of property abroad.
To further discourage funds leaving the country, the central bank reduced the amount of money a person can send abroad each year from $200,000 (Dh735,000) to $75,000.
It also nudged up interest rates and limited the ability of banks to lend in an effort to make the rupee more scarce and therefore more valuable. These efforts have failed and the rupee continues to fall as investors appear more concerned with the slow rate of growth, and the bank's seeming preference for defending the rupee rather than encouraging economic growth.
Mr Bansal said many Indians were interested in buying property abroad, especially in the GCC, but such plans would have to be put on hold.
"This is true for the affluent class, those who are looking to invest in a third or fourth property," he said. "With outflow of cash no longer permissible, one can only hope to borrow from an overseas bank, but to what extent is that going to be possible for most people?"
But Sudhir Shah, an immigration lawyer in Mumbai, said Indians would find a way around making investments abroad.
"If you want to buy a property in Dubai, you can get your friends there or in Singapore or Zurich to invest and then you will find ways to pay them back," he said. "How you will pay them back may not be legal. This the government does not understand. These policies will not help."
China has similar caps, he said, allowing only $50,000 to be sent abroad by a person each year. "If they want to invest half a million dollars in the US to get a green card, a family's members rally together," he said. "The Indians will do it similarly here. They will just have to get more family members involved."
Over the weekend, the prime minister, Manmohan Singh, tried to allay fears that India was facing a currency crisis similar to the one in 1991, which forced India to open up its economy under Mr Singh, who was the finance minister.
The liberalisation had a positive impact. Foreign companies rushed to invest in India, and the economy grew at about 8 per cent between 2004 and 2011 when dividends from opening up the economy started paying off. Now the economy is growing at 5 per cent, the lowest in a decade.
Mr Singh said foreign currency reserves in 1991 covered the country's borrowing needs for just 15 days, while the current reserves were enough for six to seven months.
"So there is no comparison. And no question of going back to the 1991 crisis," he said.
Not everyone is convinced. Mr Shah said he had watched the rupee weaken for the past two years. At this time last year, the rupee stood at 55.48, compared with May 2011, when the exchange rate was 46 to the dollar.
Mr Shah's clients often invest abroad to obtain a green card in the United States, or permanent residency in other countries, including the Caribbean islands of St Kitts and Nevis, which have a citizenship-for-cash programme to lure affluent Indians into tax havens.
"It is more realistic now to make peace with the fact that the rupee is going to slide much further, to almost 75 rupees to the dollar, and stay there," Mr Shah said. "And that is the advice I am giving my clients."
sbhattacharya@thenational.ae
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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
Started: 2020
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment
Number of staff: 210
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
HOSTS
T20 WORLD CUP
2024: US and West Indies; 2026: India and Sri Lanka; 2028: Australia and New Zealand; 2030: England, Ireland and Scotland
ODI WORLD CUP
2027: South Africa, Zimbabwe and Namibia; 2031: India and
Bangladesh
CHAMPIONS TROPHY
2025: Pakistan; 2029: India
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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Almnssa
Started: August 2020
Founder: Areej Selmi
Based: Gaza
Sectors: Internet, e-commerce
Investments: Grants/private funding
The specs
Engine: 3-litre twin-turbo V6
Power: 400hp
Torque: 475Nm
Transmission: 9-speed automatic
Price: From Dh215,900
On sale: Now
SPECS%3A%20Polestar%203
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Tightening the screw on rogue recruiters
The UAE overhauled the procedure to recruit housemaids and domestic workers with a law in 2017 to protect low-income labour from being exploited.
Only recruitment companies authorised by the government are permitted as part of Tadbeer, a network of labour ministry-regulated centres.
A contract must be drawn up for domestic workers, the wages and job offer clearly stating the nature of work.
The contract stating the wages, work entailed and accommodation must be sent to the employee in their home country before they depart for the UAE.
The contract will be signed by the employer and employee when the domestic worker arrives in the UAE.
Only recruitment agencies registered with the ministry can undertake recruitment and employment applications for domestic workers.
Penalties for illegal recruitment in the UAE include fines of up to Dh100,000 and imprisonment
But agents not authorised by the government sidestep the law by illegally getting women into the country on visit visas.
Scoreline
Man Utd 2 Pogba 27', Martial 49'
Everton 1 Sigurdsson 77'
The 100 Best Novels in Translation
Boyd Tonkin, Galileo Press
The Sand Castle
Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5
Anxiety and work stress major factors
Anxiety, work stress and social isolation are all factors in the recogised rise in mental health problems.
A study UAE Ministry of Health researchers published in the summer also cited struggles with weight and illnesses as major contributors.
Its authors analysed a dozen separate UAE studies between 2007 and 2017. Prevalence was often higher in university students, women and in people on low incomes.
One showed 28 per cent of female students at a Dubai university reported symptoms linked to depression. Another in Al Ain found 22.2 per cent of students had depressive symptoms - five times the global average.
It said the country has made strides to address mental health problems but said: “Our review highlights the overall prevalence of depressive symptoms and depression, which may long have been overlooked."
Prof Samir Al Adawi, of the department of behavioural medicine at Sultan Qaboos University in Oman, who was not involved in the study but is a recognised expert in the Gulf, said how mental health is discussed varies significantly between cultures and nationalities.
“The problem we have in the Gulf is the cross-cultural differences and how people articulate emotional distress," said Prof Al Adawi.
“Someone will say that I have physical complaints rather than emotional complaints. This is the major problem with any discussion around depression."
Daniel Bardsley
The specs
Engine: Dual 180kW and 300kW front and rear motors
Power: 480kW
Torque: 850Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
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THE SPECS
Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbocharged V12 petrol engine
Power: 420kW
Torque: 780Nm
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Price: From Dh1,350,000
On sale: Available for preorder now
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Indoor cricket in a nutshell
Indoor Cricket World Cup – Sep 16-20, Insportz, Dubai
16 Indoor cricket matches are 16 overs per side
8 There are eight players per team
9 There have been nine Indoor Cricket World Cups for men. Australia have won every one.
5 Five runs are deducted from the score when a wickets falls
4 Batsmen bat in pairs, facing four overs per partnership
Scoring In indoor cricket, runs are scored by way of both physical and bonus runs. Physical runs are scored by both batsmen completing a run from one crease to the other. Bonus runs are scored when the ball hits a net in different zones, but only when at least one physical run is score.
Zones
A Front net, behind the striker and wicketkeeper: 0 runs
B Side nets, between the striker and halfway down the pitch: 1 run
C Side nets between halfway and the bowlers end: 2 runs
D Back net: 4 runs on the bounce, 6 runs on the full
'Saand Ki Aankh'
Produced by: Reliance Entertainment with Chalk and Cheese Films
Director: Tushar Hiranandani
Cast: Taapsee Pannu, Bhumi Pednekar, Prakash Jha, Vineet Singh
Rating: 3.5/5 stars
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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RESULTS
5pm: Handicap (TB) Dh100,000, 2,400m
Winner: Recordman, Richard Mullen (jockey), Satish Seemar (trainer)
5.30pm: Wathba Stallions Cup Handicap (PA) Dh 70,000, 2,200m
Winner: AF Taraha, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel
6pm: Abu Dhabi Fillies Classic Prestige (PA) Dh110,000, 1,400m
Winner: Dhafra, Fabrice Veron, Eric Lemartinel
6.30pm: Abu Dhabi Colts Classic Prestige (PA) Dh110,000, 1,400m
Winner: Maqam, Fabrice Veron, Eric Lemartinel
7pm: Handicap (PA) Dh85,000, 1,600m
Winner: AF Momtaz, Fernando Jara, Musabah Al Muhairi
7.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh80,000, 1,600m
Winner: Optimizm, Patrick Cosgrave, Abdallah Al Hammadi
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A cheaper choice
Vanuatu: $130,000
Why on earth pick Vanuatu? Easy. The South Pacific country has no income tax, wealth tax, capital gains or inheritance tax. And in 2015, when it was hit by Cyclone Pam, it signed an agreement with the EU that gave it some serious passport power.
Cost: A minimum investment of $130,000 for a family of up to four, plus $25,000 in fees.
Criteria: Applicants must have a minimum net worth of $250,000. The process take six to eight weeks, after which the investor must travel to Vanuatu or Hong Kong to take the oath of allegiance. Citizenship and passport are normally provided on the same day.
Benefits: No tax, no restrictions on dual citizenship, no requirement to visit or reside to retain a passport. Visa-free access to 129 countries.
Company%20Profile
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The%20specs
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Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
Starring: Jamie Foxx, Angela Bassett, Tina Fey
Directed by: Pete Doctor
Rating: 4 stars
Vidaamuyarchi
Director: Magizh Thirumeni
Stars: Ajith Kumar, Arjun Sarja, Trisha Krishnan, Regina Cassandra
Rating: 4/5
if you go
The flights
Air Astana flies direct from Dubai to Almaty from Dh2,440 per person return, and to Astana (via Almaty) from Dh2,930 return, both including taxes.
The hotels
Rooms at the Ritz-Carlton Almaty cost from Dh1,944 per night including taxes; and in Astana the new Ritz-Carlton Astana (www.marriott) costs from Dh1,325; alternatively, the new St Regis Astana costs from Dh1,458 per night including taxes.
When to visit
March-May and September-November
Visas
Citizens of many countries, including the UAE do not need a visa to enter Kazakhstan for up to 30 days. Contact the nearest Kazakhstan embassy or consulate.
The specs: 2019 BMW X4
Price, base / as tested: Dh276,675 / Dh346,800
Engine: 3.0-litre turbocharged in-line six-cylinder
Transmission: Eight-speed automatic
Power: 354hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 500Nm @ 1,550rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 9.0L / 100km