Hopes rose yesterday that the leaders of Israel and Palestine would meet for ground-breaking "talks about talks" as early as next month after Israel and the United States appeared to be edging towards a deal on Jewish settlements in occupied Palestine.
After four hours of discussions between the Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and George Mitchell, the US special envoy to the Middle East, in London yesterday, Israeli sources said progress was being made.
Mr Mitchell will resume these talks with Israeli officials in Washington next week, but hopes are rising that, under the auspices of President Barack Obama, Mr Netanyahu and Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian Authority, will hold their first face-to-face meeting at the UN in New York in September.
Palestinian sources indicated yesterday that Mr Abbas would be open to such a meeting although they said that, if it did go ahead, it would offer the chance to talk, not to negotiate.
Mr Abbas has refused to enter into negotiations until construction of Jewish settlements in the occupied territories comes to a halt - a demand backed by Mr Obama to the disquiet of many Israelis, including many in Mr Netanyahu's own cabinet.
Although neither side would give details of any movement on the issue yesterday, it is believed that the Americans are proposing a freeze on new construction while allowing the Israelis to complete some of the 2,500 homes already being built on the West Bank.
East Jerusalem, however, remains a major sticking point, with Mr Netanyahu insisting after meeting Gordon Brown, the British prime minister, on Tuesday, that Israel would never surrender occupation of the entire city.
For his part, Mr Abbas has said the establishment of a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital was "non-negotiable".
Nevertheless, in the wake of yesterday's meeting in London, sources insisted that good progress had been made "on political issues", though they would not go into any detail.
A statement issued by the Israelis after the meeting said: "The prime minister and George Mitchell agreed that there is a need to begin meaningful negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians in order to move towards a regional peace agreement. "The two also agreed that all sides should take practical steps to advance peace. Israeli officials will meet Mr Mitchell again next week in the United States."
Before he went into yesterday's talks, Mr Netanyahu, who will have a meeting in Berlin today with Chancellor Angela Merkel, said: "We are making headway. My government has taken steps in both words and deeds to move forward."
He expressed the hope that he would soon be able to resume "normal talks" with the Palestinians shortly.
However, diplomatic sources in London said after yesterday's meeting Mr Netanyahu is finding himself increasingly on the horns of a diplomatic dilemma on the settlements issue.
Internationally, he is facing increasingly strident, US-led demands that all building must stop while, domestically, his right-wing coalition cabinet, which only came to power in March, could fall apart if he accedes to a construction freeze.
The prime minister has tried to play down the issue since arriving in London on Monday. "The settlements have been turned into the root of the conflict, and that simply isn't the case," he told reporters.
While accepting that "the question of the settlements is a problem", he added: "The main problem is the [Palestinian] refusal to recognise Israel as the Jewish state."
Mr Netanyahu said that what Israel was trying to achieve in its continuing talks with the US was "to find a bridging formula that will enable us to at once launch a process but enable those residents [in West Bank settlements] to continue living normal lives".
The term "normal life" has been increasingly used by Israeli representatives recently to signify that they believe construction of homes, schools and other facilities should be allowed to cater for the natural population growth of the 300,000-plus Jewish settlers illegally settled in the West Bank.
In a bid to offer the Israelis a carrot for halting settlement construction, Mr Mitchell is trying to get Arab states to make some gestures towards Israel, believed to include the resumption of trade ties with Oman and Qatar.
Mr Netanyahu is also believed to want Saudi Arabia to open its air space to Israeli aircraft and to engage in low-level diplomatic ties.
@Email:dsapsted@thenational.ae
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Company%20profile
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COMPANY%20PROFILE%20
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Dubai Bling season three
Cast: Loujain Adada, Zeina Khoury, Farhana Bodi, Ebraheem Al Samadi, Mona Kattan, and couples Safa & Fahad Siddiqui and DJ Bliss & Danya Mohammed
Rating: 1/5
Emergency
Director: Kangana Ranaut
Stars: Kangana Ranaut, Anupam Kher, Shreyas Talpade, Milind Soman, Mahima Chaudhry
Rating: 2/5
How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
Started: 2020
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment
Number of staff: 210
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
Paatal Lok season two
Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy
Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong
Rating: 4.5/5
Herc's Adventures
Developer: Big Ape Productions
Publisher: LucasArts
Console: PlayStation 1 & 5, Sega Saturn
Rating: 4/5
Zayed Sustainability Prize
FIXTURES
All times UAE ( 4 GMT)
Friday
Saint-Etienne v Montpellier (10.45pm)
Saturday
Monaco v Caen (7pm)
Amiens v Bordeaux (10pm)
Angers v Toulouse (10pm)
Metz v Dijon (10pm)
Nantes v Guingamp (10pm)
Rennes v Lille (10pm)
Sunday
Nice v Strasbourg (5pm)
Troyes v Lyon (7pm)
Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain (11pm)
Company Profile
Name: JustClean
Based: Kuwait with offices in other GCC countries
Launch year: 2016
Number of employees: 130
Sector: online laundry service
Funding: $12.9m from Kuwait-based Faith Capital Holding
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The specs
Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
Torque: 450Nm at 6,100rpm
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If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.
How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
Four reasons global stock markets are falling right now
There are many factors worrying investors right now and triggering a rush out of stock markets. Here are four of the biggest:
1. Rising US interest rates
The US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates three times this year in a bid to prevent its buoyant economy from overheating. They now stand at between 2 and 2.25 per cent and markets are pencilling in three more rises next year.
Kim Catechis, manager of the Legg Mason Martin Currie Global Emerging Markets Fund, says US inflation is rising and the Fed will continue to raise rates in 2019. “With inflationary pressures growing, an increasing number of corporates are guiding profitability expectations downwards for 2018 and 2019, citing the negative impact of rising costs.”
At the same time as rates are rising, central bankers in the US and Europe have been ending quantitative easing, bringing the era of cheap money to an end.
2. Stronger dollar
High US rates have driven up the value of the dollar and bond yields, and this is putting pressure on emerging market countries that took advantage of low interest rates to run up trillions in dollar-denominated debt. They have also suffered capital outflows as international investors have switched to the US, driving markets lower. Omar Negyal, portfolio manager of the JP Morgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust, says this looks like a buying opportunity. “Despite short-term volatility we remain positive about long-term prospects and profitability for emerging markets.”
3. Global trade war
Ritu Vohora, investment director at fund manager M&G, says markets fear that US President Donald Trump’s spat with China will escalate into a full-blown global trade war, with both sides suffering. “The US economy is robust enough to absorb higher input costs now, but this may not be the case as tariffs escalate. However, with a host of factors hitting investor sentiment, this is becoming a stock picker’s market.”
4. Eurozone uncertainty
Europe faces two challenges right now in the shape of Brexit and the new populist government in eurozone member Italy.
Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, which has offices in Dubai, says the stand-off between between Rome and Brussels threatens to become much more serious. "As with Brexit, neither side appears willing to step back from the edge, threatening more trouble down the line.”
The European economy may also be slowing, Mr Beauchamp warns. “A four-year low in eurozone manufacturing confidence highlights the fact that producers see a bumpy road ahead, with US-EU trade talks remaining a major question-mark for exporters.”