Israel Barragan and his wife, Isabel Navarro, are hoping for a good Christmas at their home and kitchenware store Piu e Piu in Madrid, but say even buoyant sales are unlikely to save the three-year-old business.
They rely on a ?60,000 (Dh291,927) credit line, renewable at the start of every year, which they expect to be cut or cancelled as banks call in loans.
"We can't afford to stock this floor any more," says 30-year-old Ms Navarro, gesturing to a bed on the downstairs level once used to show off bed linen. "We've cut costs to a minimum, but can't cut any more. We don't put as many lights on, do the cleaning ourselves and we had to let our other worker go."
Piu e Piu is among many small Spanish businesses squeezed between more cautious banks and cash-strapped customers who are increasingly turning to large chains during Spain's sharp downturn.
"There's help for banks and property firms, but nothing for us," says Mr Barragan, who has fixed monthly costs of ?12,000 on the shop.
These include rent, ?244.45 a month in social security payments and ?289.50 in paying an administration firm to help him navigate the paperwork of the tax system.
So far, Spain has taken no special initiatives to help small businesses, although in line with other EU countries it has launched plans to increase bank liquidity, which the government hopes will trickle down into the wider economy.
Unions and the conservative Popular Party have voiced scepticism over whether that will happen.
"The uncertainty is whether the banks will hoard liquidity for what may come in the future or go back to lending to small- and medium-sized businesses and individuals," said Manuel Romera, the director of finance at Madrid's Empresa Business School.
The Spanish economy grew faster than the EU average for more than a decade, fuelled by a housing boom and cheap credit, but is now sliding towards recession, with unemployment at 11.3 per cent in August - the highest rate in the Euro zone, according to Eurostat.
"The freeze in the property market has caused a chain reaction," says Camilo Abietar, the chairman of the Spanish self-employed association OPA. "All those self-employed people involved with construction are being hit, from estate agents to people selling furniture, home decorating shops, bathroom and kitchen fittings."
According to the latest statistics available from Eurostat, Spain in 2005 had 59.1 small or medium companies per 1,000 inhabitants, compared with 39.9 in the 27-member EU and 25.6 in the UK.
That picture may be rapidly reworked. Small businesses do not have the clout of their large rivals to negotiate credit terms with banks and suppliers, so they cannot cut prices profitably to attract bargain hunters.
For example, Spain's largest retailer, El Corte Ingles, the only national department store chain, has just introduced a low-cost label for food and toiletries called Aliada.
"If we buy 10 bags and sell two, we're left with eight, which we've already paid for," says Piu e Piu's Ms Navarro. "El Corte Ingles tells its suppliers to deliver the goods and then take back what it doesn't sell."
Although Spanish retail sales are falling - down 5.9 per cent in August - data from the National Statistics Institute shows large stores are managing continued growth, grabbing market share from the smallest players.
The clothing retailer Inditex, which dominates the country's High Streets with a dozen chains including Zara, Bershka, Massimo Dutti and Oysho, bucked the falling market in September to post a rise in net profit for its first half.
It even launched a new accessories chain in Spain in July, and said in its September earnings report that it saw "no significant risks or uncertainties" for the second half.
The failure of small businesses, which tend to source locally, is also having a knock-on effect on small suppliers.
Spain's textile sector, once known worldwide for leather goods like shoes, handbags and belts, is fighting for survival.
It employs about 170,000 and is concentrated in southern regions like Valencia and Alicante.
"More than 70,000 jobs in the textile sector have been lost since 2005," said Jose Mesa, who represents the sector for the UGT union. "Almost on a daily basis a business closes."
This month, Saenz Merino, the maker of Lois Jeans, a Spanish household name since the 1980s, filed for liquidation, and the UGT expects about 350 workers to lose their jobs.
At the height of its success, the family-run, Valencia-based company employed some 1,700 people and the Swedish pop group Abba and tennis player Bjorn Borg appeared in advertisements for its jeans.
"The main factors are the entry of China into the World Trade Association and globalisation," Mr Mesa said. "Many businesses had undergone restructuring to emerge from their own crisis in the textile sector, and now this financial crisis is sinking them."
* Reuters
Company%20profile
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Everybody%20Loves%20Touda
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Nayanthara: Beyond The Fairy Tale
Starring: Nayanthara, Vignesh Shivan, Radhika Sarathkumar, Nagarjuna Akkineni
Director: Amith Krishnan
Rating: 3.5/5
INDIA'S%20TOP%20INFLUENCERS
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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
Started: 2020
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment
Number of staff: 210
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
SPECS
Engine: 4-litre V8 twin-turbo
Power: 630hp
Torque: 850Nm
Transmission: 8-speed Tiptronic automatic
Price: From Dh599,000
On sale: Now
Difference between fractional ownership and timeshare
Although similar in its appearance, the concept of a fractional title deed is unlike that of a timeshare, which usually involves multiple investors buying “time” in a property whereby the owner has the right to occupation for a specified period of time in any year, as opposed to the actual real estate, said John Peacock, Head of Indirect Tax and Conveyancing, BSA Ahmad Bin Hezeem & Associates, a law firm.
Company%20Profile
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How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
Breast cancer in men: the facts
1) Breast cancer is men is rare but can develop rapidly. It usually occurs in those over the ages of 60, but can occasionally affect younger men.
2) Symptoms can include a lump, discharge, swollen glands or a rash.
3) People with a history of cancer in the family can be more susceptible.
4) Treatments include surgery and chemotherapy but early diagnosis is the key.
5) Anyone concerned is urged to contact their doctor
A%20QUIET%20PLACE
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COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
No more lice
Defining head lice
Pediculus humanus capitis are tiny wingless insects that feed on blood from the human scalp. The adult head louse is up to 3mm long, has six legs, and is tan to greyish-white in colour. The female lives up to four weeks and, once mature, can lay up to 10 eggs per day. These tiny nits firmly attach to the base of the hair shaft, get incubated by body heat and hatch in eight days or so.
Identifying lice
Lice can be identified by itching or a tickling sensation of something moving within the hair. One can confirm that a person has lice by looking closely through the hair and scalp for nits, nymphs or lice. Head lice are most frequently located behind the ears and near the neckline.
Treating lice at home
Head lice must be treated as soon as they are spotted. Start by checking everyone in the family for them, then follow these steps. Remove and wash all clothing and bedding with hot water. Apply medicine according to the label instructions. If some live lice are still found eight to 12 hours after treatment, but are moving more slowly than before, do not re-treat. Comb dead and remaining live lice out of the hair using a fine-toothed comb.
After the initial treatment, check for, comb and remove nits and lice from hair every two to three days. Soak combs and brushes in hot water for 10 minutes.Vacuum the floor and furniture, particularly where the infested person sat or lay.
Courtesy Dr Vishal Rajmal Mehta, specialist paediatrics, RAK Hospital
Company%20Profile
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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Almnssa
Started: August 2020
Founder: Areej Selmi
Based: Gaza
Sectors: Internet, e-commerce
Investments: Grants/private funding
Citadel: Honey Bunny first episode
Directors: Raj & DK
Stars: Varun Dhawan, Samantha Ruth Prabhu, Kashvi Majmundar, Kay Kay Menon
Rating: 4/5
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Qyubic
Started: October 2023
Founder: Namrata Raina
Based: Dubai
Sector: E-commerce
Current number of staff: 10
Investment stage: Pre-seed
Initial investment: Undisclosed
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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More from Neighbourhood Watch:
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Kanguva
Director: Siva
Stars: Suriya, Bobby Deol, Disha Patani, Yogi Babu, Redin Kingsley
UAE v Gibraltar
What: International friendly
When: 7pm kick off
Where: Rugby Park, Dubai Sports City
Admission: Free
Online: The match will be broadcast live on Dubai Exiles’ Facebook page
UAE squad: Lucas Waddington (Dubai Exiles), Gio Fourie (Exiles), Craig Nutt (Abu Dhabi Harlequins), Phil Brady (Harlequins), Daniel Perry (Dubai Hurricanes), Esekaia Dranibota (Harlequins), Matt Mills (Exiles), Jaen Botes (Exiles), Kristian Stinson (Exiles), Murray Reason (Abu Dhabi Saracens), Dave Knight (Hurricanes), Ross Samson (Jebel Ali Dragons), DuRandt Gerber (Exiles), Saki Naisau (Dragons), Andrew Powell (Hurricanes), Emosi Vacanau (Harlequins), Niko Volavola (Dragons), Matt Richards (Dragons), Luke Stevenson (Harlequins), Josh Ives (Dubai Sports City Eagles), Sean Stevens (Saracens), Thinus Steyn (Exiles)
Five expert hiking tips
- Always check the weather forecast before setting off
- Make sure you have plenty of water
- Set off early to avoid sudden weather changes in the afternoon
- Wear appropriate clothing and footwear
- Take your litter home with you
Wicked
Director: Jon M Chu
Stars: Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande, Jonathan Bailey
FORSPOKEN
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Star%20Wars%20Jedi%3A%20Survivor
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Suicide%20Squad%3A%20Kill%20the%20Justice%20League
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Final%20Fantasy%20XVI
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Street%20Fighter%206
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Diablo%20IV
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Baldur's%20Gate%203
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The%20Legend%20of%20Zelda%3A%20Tears%20of%20The%20Kingdom
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Marvel's%20Spider-Man%202
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Assassin's%20Creed%20Mirage
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Starfield
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Malcolm & Marie
Directed by: Sam Levinson
Starring: John David Washington and Zendaya
Three stars
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
ENGLAND TEAM
Alastair Cook, Mark Stoneman, James Vince, Joe Root (captain), Dawid Malan, Jonny Bairstow, Moeen Ali, Chris Woakes, Craig Overton, Stuart Broad, James Anderson
If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.
How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.