A soldier stands guard at the entrance of the Turkish army's Special Forces Unit as police search the top secret facility in Ankara, on Monday.
A soldier stands guard at the entrance of the Turkish army's Special Forces Unit as police search the top secret facility in Ankara, on Monday.

Turkey is 'a country at war with itself'



ISTANBUL // As Turkey's judiciary is investigating the latest in a series of accusations against the once all-powerful armed forces, the public is divided by a crucial question: is the country going through a much-needed process of democratisation, with the military having to accept civilian oversight - or is the religiously conservative government trying to get rid of a secular safeguard?

In the first civilian investigation into the military's inner sanctum, Kadir Kayan, a judge in the capital spent several days this week in the so-called "cosmic chamber" in Ankara, an installation housing secret state and military archives. The search may continue, the military said in a statement. There was no official word on what Mr Kayan had found. The investigation was triggered by the arrest of several serving officers who were under suspicion of plotting to kill Bulent Arinc, a deputy prime minister and a prominent critic of the armed forces. All eight suspects detained in connection with the alleged plot have been released after questioning, media reported yesterday. Mr Arinc told reporters the findings suggested that "someone conducted reconnaissance" of his home in Ankara "with perhaps very bad intent".

Mr Arinc compared the suspected plot with accusations of the involvement of government agencies in the death of Aldo Moro, a former Italian prime minister killed by left-wing extremists in 1978, but also suggested that organised crime groups may have been behind it. More than 50 mafia-style groups were dissolved by government action in recent years, Mr Arinc said. "I think we have put a stick into the beehive," he said.

Mr Kayan's investigation follows a string of alleged plots by military officers against the government that have made headlines in recent months. In one case, an officer of the general staff in Ankara is said to have written a plan to destabilise the government of Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the prime minister. In another, officers were accused of planning the assassination of members of Turkey's non-Muslim minorities and blame government supporters to put pressure on Mr Erdogan.

In addition, several dozen suspects, including former high-ranking generals, have been standing trial in Istanbul as alleged members of Ergenekon, a right-wing organisation prosecutors claim planned to bring down the Erdogan government. Meanwhile, critics have accused the government of wiretapping the telephones of its opponents and of members of the judiciary. "A country at war with itself" was how Fatih Cekirge, a columnist for the Hurriyet newspaper, put it.

Mr Erdogan held emergency talks with Gen Ilker Basbug, the chief of general staff, and senior commanders after the alleged plot to kill Mr Arinc surfaced, and the general staff itself stressed in a statement that the search of the "cosmic chamber" was perfectly legal. But that has done little to change the opposition's view that the government is trying to silence the military, which regards itself as the guarantor of the republic's secular values. "The Turkish armed forces have been put into a position of being a suspect," Deniz Baykal, the opposition leader in Ankara, was quoted as saying yesterday by Cumhuriyet, a secularist newspaper opposed to the government. He added that the investigation into the alleged assassination plot against Mr Arinc did not only target individual officers. "We are faced with an investigation against an institution."

Turkey's generals have overthrown four governments since 1960 and threatened to stage a coup against Mr Erdogan only two years ago. Earlier this month, state prosecutors in Istanbul questioned the former commanders of the country's navy, air force and land forces in connections, with alleged coup plots hatched between 2003 and 2005. Critics say the accusations against the military are organised by members of Islamist fraternities inside the police. Several army officers arrested in recent months have said the police fabricated pieces of evidence. Levent Bektas, a retired major arrested in connection with the alleged plans to kill members of religious minorities, said in a letter distributed by his lawyer that he was framed by "police officers who are obviously members of fraternities", the press reported yesterday.

As the judges in the Ergenekon trial have not reached a verdict yet and the other investigations are continuing, the country has no firm judicial answer to the question of whether members of the military tried to overthrow the elected government. "There is fog in Ankara," Cekirge wrote. But in the light of the evidence uncovered so far not even the opposition is willing to exclude the possibility of illegal activities within the armed forces.

"If nothing comes out once the investigations are over, it will be very grave," Mr Baykal said. But, he added, "if there are pieces of information or documents showing that some in the Turkish armed forces were involved in assassination or coup attempts, there will be an earthquake". In an effort to diffuse the tensions, Abdullah Gul, the president, is bringing together the leaders of key state institutions in his office next week. Top judges, including the heads of the military judiciary, as well as Mr Erdogan, the justice minister and the speaker of parliament have been invited to lunch by the president on January 5, the Milliyet newspaper reported yesterday.

@Email:tseibert@thenational.ae

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THE SPECS

Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbocharged V12 petrol engine 

Power: 420kW

Torque: 780Nm

Transmission: 8-speed automatic

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Price, base / as tested: Dh94,600 / Dh159,700

Engine: 2.0-litre turbocharged four-cylinder

Power: 252hp @ 5,500rpm

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Transmission: Nine-speed automatic

Fuel consumption, combined: 7.4L  / 100km

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Directors: Raj & DK

Stars: Varun Dhawan, Samantha Ruth Prabhu, Kashvi Majmundar, Kay Kay Menon

Rating: 4/5

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Director: Siva
Stars: Suriya, Bobby Deol, Disha Patani, Yogi Babu, Redin Kingsley
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From Zero

Artist: Linkin Park

Label: Warner Records

Number of tracks: 11

Rating: 4/5

Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

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The specs
 
Engine: 3.0-litre six-cylinder turbo
Power: 398hp from 5,250rpm
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Transmission: Eight-speed auto
Fuel economy, combined: 6.5L/100km
On sale: December
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Scoreline

Swansea 2

Grimes 20' (pen), Celina, 29'

Man City 3

Silva 69', Nordfeldt 78' (og), Aguero 88'

PRESIDENTS CUP

Draw for Presidents Cup fourball matches on Thursday (Internationals first mention). All times UAE:

02.32am (Thursday): Marc Leishman/Joaquin Niemann v Tiger Woods/Justin Thomas
02.47am (Thursday): Adam Hadwin/Im Sung-jae v Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay
03.02am (Thursday): Adam Scott/An Byeong-hun v Bryson DeChambeau/Tony Finau
03.17am (Thursday): Hideki Matsuyama/CT Pan v Webb Simpson/Patrick Reed
03.32am (Thursday): Abraham Ancer/Louis Oosthuizen v Dustin Johnson/Gary Woodland

Nayanthara: Beyond The Fairy Tale

Starring: Nayanthara, Vignesh Shivan, Radhika Sarathkumar, Nagarjuna Akkineni

Director: Amith Krishnan

Rating: 3.5/5

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Wicked
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Stars: Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande, Jonathan Bailey
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Director: Alfonso Cuaron 

Stars: Cate Blanchett, Kevin Kline, Lesley Manville 

Rating: 4/5

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

The biog

Age: 32

Qualifications: Diploma in engineering from TSI Technical Institute, bachelor’s degree in accounting from Dubai’s Al Ghurair University, master’s degree in human resources from Abu Dhabi University, currently third years PHD in strategy of human resources.

Favourite mountain range: The Himalayas

Favourite experience: Two months trekking in Alaska

TOURNAMENT INFO

Fixtures
Sunday January 5 - Oman v UAE
Monday January 6 - UAE v Namibia
Wednesday January 8 - Oman v Namibia
Thursday January 9 - Oman v UAE
Saturday January 11 - UAE v Namibia
Sunday January 12 – Oman v Namibia

UAE squad
Ahmed Raza (captain), Rohan Mustafa, Mohammed Usman, CP Rizwan, Waheed Ahmed, Zawar Farid, Darius D’Silva, Karthik Meiyappan, Jonathan Figy, Vriitya Aravind, Zahoor Khan, Junaid Siddique, Basil Hameed, Chirag Suri

MATCH INFO

Syria v Australia
2018 World Cup qualifying: Asia fourth round play-off first leg
Venue: Hang Jebat Stadium, Malayisa
Kick-off: Thursday, 4.30pm (UAE)
Watch: beIN Sports HD

* Second leg in Australia on October 10

Business Insights
  • As per the document, there are six filing options, including choosing to report on a realisation basis and transitional rules for pre-tax period gains or losses. 
  • SMEs with revenue below Dh3 million per annum can opt for transitional relief until 2026, treating them as having no taxable income. 
  • Larger entities have specific provisions for asset and liability movements, business restructuring, and handling foreign permanent establishments.

It

Director: Andres Muschietti

Starring: Bill Skarsgard, Jaeden Lieberher, Sophia Lillis, Chosen Jacobs, Jeremy Ray Taylor

Three stars

The specs
Engine: Long-range single or dual motor with 200kW or 400kW battery
Power: 268bhp / 536bhp
Torque: 343Nm / 686Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Max touring range: 620km / 590km
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