Conor Lamb addressing an election night rally in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania, before the counting. Lamb has attributed his lead to connecting with everyone in the build-up . Andrew Harrer / Bloomberg
Conor Lamb addressing an election night rally in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania, before the counting. Lamb has attributed his lead to connecting with everyone in the build-up . Andrew Harrer / Bloomberg

Analysis: Local campaign in Pennsylvania helped Lamb secure Democrats' surprise result



It is not official yet in the US House race in Pennsylvania, but the Democratic Party have flipped their first Congressional seat deep in the Republican stronghold.

Mr Conor Lamb, a 33-year-old Marine reserve, has gone ahead and declared victory with a slender lead of 627 votes with 375 military and overseas ballot yet to be counted and the Republican party expected to demand a recount.

Mr Lamb, the first Democrat to come that far in the district in 15 years, drew high level of enthusiasm and turnout among his party base and working class voters.

His margins in rural areas were higher than both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in the district. “We followed what I learned in the Marines – leave no one behind. We went everywhere; we talked to everyone; we invited everyone in,” Mr Lamb told his supporters as he declared victory.

The results coming in an election year for Congress, reverberated nationally. "The Democratic over-performance, especially in a heavily Republican District that Mr Trump won by 20 points adds to the sense that Democrats are highly energised – especially following surprising performances in recent months in Alabama and Virginia", Shibley Telhami, director of the "critical issues poll" at the University of Maryland, told The National.

Despite Republicans outspending Democrats 3 to 1, and Mr Trump and his daughter Ivanka, and other cabinet officials showing up repeatedly in the district to campaign for Mr Saccone, they failed to galvanise enough support and save the seat. Mr Telhami read in that an alarming sign for Republicans ahead of the mid-terms this November.

“The Trump factor as an asset to Republican candidates is being called into question” said Mr Telhami after three candidates he supported in traditionally Republican areas failed to prevail.

“Sure, Trump may be able to energise his base, but now, he appears to be energising Democrats even more. That spells trouble for Republicans”, the expert said.

Mr Lamb ran a local-driven campaign, abandoning some of the national policies for Democrats on gun control, tweaking his stance on abortion, and declining support for House minority leader Nancy Pelosi.

His apparent win is sending shock waves in Republican headquarters. CNN reported that House majority leader Paul Ryan was due to meet with his Republican colleagues on Wednesday and call for a more aggressive campaigning strategy ahead of the mid-terms. Mr Trump, who tweeted about trade and new cabinet nominations, has waded into the PA-18 results.

Still, Mr Telhami cautioned of Democratic overconfidence going into November. “Trends appear to favour Democrats at the moment, but few months between now and the elections is an eternity in the Trump era.” Democrats would need to flip 24 Republican seats to regain majority in the House that they lost in 2011.

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1,000 Books to Read Before You Die: A Life-Changing List
James Mustich, Workman

How The Debt Panel's advice helped readers in 2019

December 11: 'My husband died, so what happens to the Dh240,000 he owes in the UAE?'

JL, a housewife from India, wrote to us about her husband, who died earlier this month. He left behind an outstanding loan of Dh240,000 and she was hoping to pay it off with an insurance policy he had taken out. She also wanted to recover some of her husband’s end-of-service liabilities to help support her and her son.

“I have no words to thank you for helping me out,” she wrote to The Debt Panel after receiving the panellists' comments. “The advice has given me an idea of the present status of the loan and how to take it up further. I will draft a letter and send it to the email ID on the bank’s website along with the death certificate. I hope and pray to find a way out of this.”

November 26:  ‘I owe Dh100,000 because my employer has not paid me for a year’

SL, a financial services employee from India, left the UAE in June after quitting his job because his employer had not paid him since November 2018. He owes Dh103,800 on four debts and was told by the panellists he may be able to use the insolvency law to solve his issue. 

SL thanked the panellists for their efforts. "Indeed, I have some clarity on the consequence of the case and the next steps to take regarding my situation," he says. "Hopefully, I will be able to provide a positive testimony soon."

October 15: 'I lost my job and left the UAE owing Dh71,000. Can I return?'

MS, an energy sector employee from South Africa, left the UAE in August after losing his Dh12,000 job. He was struggling to meet the repayments while securing a new position in the UAE and feared he would be detained if he returned. He has now secured a new job and will return to the Emirates this month.

“The insolvency law is indeed a relief to hear,” he says. "I will not apply for insolvency at this stage. I have been able to pay something towards my loan and credit card. As it stands, I only have a one-month deficit, which I will be able to recover by the end of December." 

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Starring: Raed Zeno, Hadi Awada, Dr Mohammad Abdalla

Director: Raed Zeno

Rating: 4/5

TRAP

Starring: Josh Hartnett, Saleka Shyamalan, Ariel Donaghue

Director: M Night Shyamalan

Rating: 3/5

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UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

Bloomberg

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The specs
Engine: 2.7-litre 4-cylinder Turbomax
Power: 310hp
Torque: 583Nm
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Price: From Dh192,500
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The specs

Engine: 1.5-litre 4-cylinder petrol

Power: 154bhp

Torque: 250Nm

Transmission: 7-speed automatic with 8-speed sports option 

Price: From Dh79,600

On sale: Now

Moon Music

Artist: Coldplay

Label: Parlophone/Atlantic

Number of tracks: 10

Rating: 3/5

No.6 Collaborations Project

Ed Sheeran (Atlantic)

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Engine: Dual 180kW and 300kW front and rear motors

Power: 480kW

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Transmission: Single-speed automatic

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Emirates Cricket Board Women’s T10

ECB Hawks v ECB Falcons

Monday, April 6, 7.30pm, Sharjah Cricket Stadium

The match will be broadcast live on the My Sports Eye Facebook page

 

Hawks

Coach: Chaitrali Kalgutkar

Squad: Chaya Mughal (captain), Archara Supriya, Chamani Senevirathne, Chathurika Anand, Geethika Jyothis, Indhuja Nandakumar, Kashish Loungani, Khushi Sharma, Khushi Tanwar, Rinitha Rajith, Siddhi Pagarani, Siya Gokhale, Subha Srinivasan, Suraksha Kotte, Theertha Satish

 

Falcons

Coach: Najeeb Amar

Squad: Kavisha Kumari (captain), Almaseera Jahangir, Annika Shivpuri, Archisha Mukherjee, Judit Cleetus, Ishani Senavirathne, Lavanya Keny, Mahika Gaur, Malavika Unnithan, Rishitha Rajith, Rithika Rajith, Samaira Dharnidharka, Shashini Kaluarachchi, Udeni Kuruppuarachchi, Vaishnave Mahesh

 

 

APPLE IPAD MINI (A17 PRO)

Display: 21cm Liquid Retina Display, 2266 x 1488, 326ppi, 500 nits

Chip: Apple A17 Pro, 6-core CPU, 5-core GPU, 16-core Neural Engine

Storage: 128/256/512GB

Main camera: 12MP wide, f/1.8, digital zoom up to 5x, Smart HDR 4

Front camera: 12MP ultra-wide, f/2.4, Smart HDR 4, full-HD @ 25/30/60fps

Biometrics: Touch ID, Face ID

Colours: Blue, purple, space grey, starlight

In the box: iPad mini, USB-C cable, 20W USB-C power adapter

Price: From Dh2,099

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