US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, on Capitol Hill in Washington. AFP
US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, on Capitol Hill in Washington. AFP
US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, on Capitol Hill in Washington. AFP
US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, on Capitol Hill in Washington. AFP

US Speaker McCarthy proposes $1.5tn debt limit increase


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US Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Wednesday released a bill that would raise the debt limit for about a year and cut federal spending — a highly anticipated proposal in a battle between the new leader of the House of Representatives and President Joe Biden.

The plan would increase the debt ceiling by $1.5 trillion, enough to stave off a US payments default until March 2024 at the latest. It also includes a host of proposals that are non-starters with congressional Democrats and the White House.

The McCarthy plan would bring discretionary spending back to 2022 levels — a $130 billion cut — with future increases capped at a 1 per cent annual rate in the coming decade.

The reductions “are not draconian, they are responsible”, the Republican Speaker said.

“If Washington wants to spend more, it will have to come together and find savings elsewhere, just like every single household in America.”

The plan would also rescind unspent Covid-19 funds and impose tougher work requirements for anti-poverty benefits.

Also on the chopping block is Mr Biden’s student debt relief plan and tax breaks for clean energy projects.

Mr McCarthy estimated that the bill would cut budget deficits by $4.5 trillion over a decade.

The Speaker hopes that Mr Biden will engage in talks to resolve the ongoing stalemate over raising the $31.4 trillion debt limit if the House passes the bill — which the President has said he is open to, but with a no-strings increase or suspension of the ceiling.

The two leaders continue to point fingers, saying the other would take blame for a debt default.

“If he fails, the American people will be devastated not just 10 or 20 years from now, but today,” Mr Biden said of Mr McCarthy at an event on Wednesday.

Mr McCarthy has accused the President of “ignoring the debt crisis”, claiming that Mr Biden is “playing partisan political games” that could result in “the first default in our nation’s history”.

Without an increase or suspension of the ceiling, the US would default on payment obligations as soon as June — an event Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned would cause economic and financial collapse.

It is unknown if Mr McCarthy has the support of the 218 Republicans needed to pass the bill.

Mr Biden has released his own $7 trillion budget proposal that would reduce deficits by $3 trillion over a decade compared with current law, mostly through tax increases.

“Take default off the table and let's have a real serious, detailed conversation about how to grow the economy, lower costs and reduce the deficit,” he said.

Bloomberg contributed to this report

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: April 19, 2023, 8:52 PM