Keir Starmer, UK Prime Minister, meets workers during a visit to the Encirc Glass factory in Chester. Bloomberg
Keir Starmer, UK Prime Minister, meets workers during a visit to the Encirc Glass factory in Chester. Bloomberg
Keir Starmer, UK Prime Minister, meets workers during a visit to the Encirc Glass factory in Chester. Bloomberg
Keir Starmer, UK Prime Minister, meets workers during a visit to the Encirc Glass factory in Chester. Bloomberg

Dial back the doom: UK's International Investment Summit strikes change of tone


Matthew Davies
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A marketing call for sponsors said Monday's UK International Investment Summit would come alive as “enthusiasm grows for UK's economic prospects”, helping officials deliver some global big-hitters to hang their branding over the event.

The Labour government has invited sovereign wealth funds, businesses and infrastructure funds to attend with the aim of showing the country is “open for business”. Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds M & G, Octopus Energy, and TSL Group are now the main backers for the event at Guildhall in London.

Former Google boss Eric Schmidt has agreed to appear on stage with Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Ruth Porat president of Alphabet and Google; Alex Kendall, chief executive of Wayve, and Bruce Flatt, chief executive of Brookfield Asset Management, will also appear as headliners.

Elon Musk, who was onstage with former prime minister Rishi Sunak at last year's AI summit in Buckinghamshire, is not invited after taking what critics said was a cheerleader role when the UK was hit by race riots in the summer.

The new UK leadership is hoping that its gathering can bring billions of foreign direct investment (FDI) into the struggling economy.

Hundreds of executives and investors from around the world are expected to attend, while British politicians and senior business figures will make overtures to them about how the UK is “open for business”. They will point to the recent pledge by US private equity firm Blackstone to invest £10 billion ($13.3 billion) in building what will be Europe's largest AI data centre in north-east England as proof that the UK is fertile investment territory.

The chief executives of Blackstone, BNY Mellon, and CyrusOne have confirmed their attendance at the summit. “Seeing global investors back the UK is a vote of confidence in our economy, and shows we are an investment destination of choice,” UK Business and Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds said recently.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves with Prime Minister Keir Starmer, left, and Business and Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds. They have made a concerted effort to attract big-name investors to next week's International Investment Summit. Getty Images
Chancellor Rachel Reeves with Prime Minister Keir Starmer, left, and Business and Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds. They have made a concerted effort to attract big-name investors to next week's International Investment Summit. Getty Images

The summit sets out the ambitions of Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves to show “whether it is new film studios, cutting-edge technologies, or green energy, it is clear every part of the UK has the potential to benefit from private sector investment".

Some question the timing, just two weeks before Ms Reeves unveils her first budget. In the run-up to the July election, Labour pledged to hold an investment summit within 100 days of taking office. However, some business leaders have questioned the ability of investors to make large and firm commitments before the budget, simply because the tax landscape will not be clear before the end of October.

Timing

“Certainly, the feedback from our members has been that it would have been better if the investment summit had taken place after the budget, when the fiscal and wider economic situation would have been clear,” Marco Forgione, director general of the UK's Chartered Institute of Export and International Trade, told The National. “The summit, though, is an opportunity to progress engagement and develop conversations, which can be finalised after the budget, so the timing’s not perfect. But hosting the summit is still important in showcasing the great opportunities for investment.”

Likewise, Douglas Flint, former chairman of HSBC and current chairman of global investment company Abrdn, told The National that “the challenge for the government is that the summit will precede the budget, the outcome of which will be a critical data point for investment decisions”.

Gloomy picture, upbeat message

The bleak picture that Mr Starmer and Ms Reeves have been painting of the UK economy in recent weeks, seemingly in an effort to prepare taxpayers for some harsh measures in the budget, has been criticised as being too gloomy and at odds with the environment they want portray to foreign investors.

September's consumer confidence figures made for depressing reading, with GfK's Index falling seven points, which Katie Cousins at Shore Capital described as “a foot shoot by Starmer and Reeves that is causing unnecessary damage to the UK consumer economy in Q3, wiping out the progress achieved over the last six months”.

Meanwhile, business confidence headed in the same direction, as shown by figures from S&P Global which indicated UK private sector activity growth slowed for the second month in a row in September. Meanwhile, a survey by the Confederation of British Industry showed the export numbers for British manufacturers were at their weakest in the three months to September in nearly four years.

“Ahead of what promises to be a difficult budget next month, the government is treading a narrow path to put the public finances on a sustainable footing while maintaining the confidence of business and investors in the recovery,” Ben Jones, CBI lead economist, said.

It is a difficult path to tread – being realistic about the short-term prospects for the UK economy and hinting at tax rises and spending cuts on the one hand, while convincing investors that growth is not far away and Britain is the best place to put your money for the long-term.

Former Bank of England economist Stuart Cole told The National the language from government about “difficult decisions” on raising taxes would be more likely to hamper incoming investment than encourage it.

“If I was considering investing in the UK I would certainly want to see what the forthcoming budget will hold before committing any funds,” Mr Cole said.

Nonetheless, while many business figures would prefer to see pessimistic rhetoric surrounding the economy toned down, given that it can have a real effect on investment and consumer spending, the chance that the International Investment Summit might crystallise some firm commitments is being welcomed.

What went into the film

25 visual effects (VFX) studios

2,150 VFX shots in a film with 2,500 shots

1,000 VFX artists

3,000 technicians

10 Concept artists, 25 3D designers

New sound technology, named 4D SRL

 

South Africa squad

Faf du Plessis (captain), Hashim Amla, Temba Bavuma, Quinton de Kock (wicketkeeper), Theunis de Bruyn, AB de Villiers, Dean Elgar, Heinrich Klaasen (wicketkeeper), Keshav Maharaj, Aiden Markram, Morne Morkel, Wiaan Mulder, Lungi Ngidi, Vernon Philander and Kagiso Rabada.

White hydrogen: Naturally occurring hydrogenChromite: Hard, metallic mineral containing iron oxide and chromium oxideUltramafic rocks: Dark-coloured rocks rich in magnesium or iron with very low silica contentOphiolite: A section of the earth’s crust, which is oceanic in nature that has since been uplifted and exposed on landOlivine: A commonly occurring magnesium iron silicate mineral that derives its name for its olive-green yellow-green colour

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With cold soups, bland dumplings and dried fish, Russian cuisine is not to everybody’s tastebuds.  Fortunately, there are plenty Georgian restaurants to choose from, which are both excellent and economical.

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The World Cup will take place during St Petersburg's White Nights Festival, which means perpetual daylight in a city that genuinely never sleeps. (Think toddlers walking the streets with their grandmothers at 4am.)

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The walk from Krestovsky Ostrov metro station to Saint Petersburg Arena on a rainy day makes you wonder why some of the $1.7 billion was not spent on a weather-protected walkway.

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Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government

Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council

Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south

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Artist: Linkin Park

Label: Warner Records

Number of tracks: 11

Rating: 4/5

Contracted list

Ashton Agar, Alex Carey, Pat Cummins, Aaron Finch, Peter Handscomb, Josh Hazlewood, Travis Head, Usman Khawaja, Nathan Lyon, Glenn Maxwell, Shaun Marsh, Mitchell Marsh, Tim Paine, Matt Renshaw, Jhye Richardson, Kane Richardson, Billy Stanlake, Mitchell Starc, Marcus Stoinis, Andrew Tye.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

'C'mon C'mon'

Director:Mike Mills

Stars:Joaquin Phoenix, Gaby Hoffmann, Woody Norman

Rating: 4/5

How to protect yourself when air quality drops

Install an air filter in your home.

Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

Wear a face mask.

Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

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THE BIO

Born: Mukalla, Yemen, 1979

Education: UAE University, Al Ain

Family: Married with two daughters: Asayel, 7, and Sara, 6

Favourite piece of music: Horse Dance by Naseer Shamma

Favourite book: Science and geology

Favourite place to travel to: Washington DC

Best advice you’ve ever been given: If you have a dream, you have to believe it, then you will see it.

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The rules of the road keeping cyclists safe

Cyclists must wear a helmet, arm and knee pads

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Avoid carrying weights that could cause the bike to lose balance

They must cycle on designated lanes and areas and ride safe on pavements to avoid bumping into pedestrians

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Updated: October 09, 2024, 6:23 AM