Job losses in aviation and related industries could climb to 1.7 million in the Middle East in 2020, according to the International Air Transport Association. Reuters.
Job losses in aviation and related industries could climb to 1.7 million in the Middle East in 2020, according to the International Air Transport Association. Reuters.
Job losses in aviation and related industries could climb to 1.7 million in the Middle East in 2020, according to the International Air Transport Association. Reuters.
Job losses in aviation and related industries could climb to 1.7 million in the Middle East in 2020, according to the International Air Transport Association. Reuters.

Global airlines adding capacity faster than demand growth, Iata says


Deena Kamel
  • English
  • Arabic

Global airlines are adding capacity at a faster rate than international travel demand growth in August and September, placing further pressure on cash flows and underscoring the urgent need for continued relief measures by governments.

Closed borders, imposed quarantines and uncoordinated governments policies are among the major barriers to travel, making it more difficult for airlines to plan ahead for flight schedules, Brian Pearce, the chief economist of the International Transport Association (Iata) told reporters on Tuesday.

The gap between bookings and airline schedules is "widening and that gap unfortunately means airlines are probably burning cash as a result of the potentially disappointing slow improvements in demand," Mr Pearce said. "That leaves airline finances in a relatively fragile situation as governments are starting to pull back on the support given."

In July this year, global airlines recorded an 80 per cent drop in passenger travel demand compared to July 2019 while load factors, a measure of how well a carrier is filling available seats, fell to a record low of 58 per cent.

Middle East airlines posted a 93.3 per cent annual traffic decline in July, compared with a 96.1 per cent demand drop in June, Iata said in its monthly report on Tuesday. Capacity tumbled 85.6 per cent and load factor fell 43.4 percentage points to 38 per cent.

"Borders are largely closed and governments' management of travel restrictions is so unpredictable and uncoordinated that people are still not flying," Alexandre de Juniac, director-general of Iata said on an online conference call.

"For the industry this is immensely frustrating, it is also frustrating for travellers...and it is tragic for the growing numbers of the unemployed whose livelihoods are being destroyed," he said.

Airlines worldwide are facing a loss of $84.3 billion (Dh309.5bn) this year, a 50 per cent cut in revenues and high fixed costs for aircraft and labour as the Covid-19 pandemic decimates air travel demand.

With four in five air travellers staying at home, governments reopening then closing borders or removing then re-imposing quarantines, consumers do not have confidence to make travel plans nor airlines to rebuild their schedules, Iata said.

While business confidence is more positive following the reopening of economies, the challenge is that consumers are feeling less confident as unemployment rates rise, which is reflecting in travel patterns, Mr Pearce said.

"The number of premium tickets are actually growing at a similar pace to the growth of economy tickets ... there might be some evidence that we're seeing some business travel albeit at relatively low levels," he said.

Iata is calling on governments to reopen borders, develop testing that reduces the risk of importing the virus and continue providing relief measures for airlines without increasing their debt burden, Mr de Juniac said. Iata advocates for Covid-19 testing that is reliable, scaleable, adaptable, more comfortable for travellers, and not reliant on complicated machinery or highly-trained personnel.

Governments have had an "uneven" approach to financial relief packages, with US and North American airlines well supported while those in major emerging markets such as Africa and Latin America have seen very little support, Mr Pearce said.

Labour dispute

The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.


- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law 

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Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

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The specs: 2018 Volkswagen Teramont

Price, base / as tested Dh137,000 / Dh189,950

Engine 3.6-litre V6

Gearbox Eight-speed automatic

Power 280hp @ 6,200rpm

Torque 360Nm @ 2,750rpm

Fuel economy, combined 11.7L / 100km