US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell and other members of the central bank indicated they are resolute in keeping interest rates above 5 per cent this year. AFP
US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell and other members of the central bank indicated they are resolute in keeping interest rates above 5 per cent this year. AFP
US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell and other members of the central bank indicated they are resolute in keeping interest rates above 5 per cent this year. AFP
US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell and other members of the central bank indicated they are resolute in keeping interest rates above 5 per cent this year. AFP

Federal Reserve urged to pause interest-rate rises


Kyle Fitzgerald
  • English
  • Arabic

Democratic politicians are pressing the Federal Reserve to halt raising interest-rate ahead of its first meeting of the year.

Fed chairman Jerome Powell is expected to announce on Wednesday that the central bank will raise interest rates by another 25 basis points, but some in Congress warn that further tightening of monetary policy will decimate the jobs market and tilt the economy into a recession.

Unemployment remains at 3.5 per cent, a 53-year low. Mr Powell has blamed the historically low unemployment rate as a driver for inflation.

The Fed forecasts unemployment to jump to 4.6 per cent by the end of the year.

“As you know, the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate is promoting maximum employment and maintaining stable prices,” Democratic US senator John Hickenlooper wrote in a letter to Mr Powell.

“Unemployment may be low at the moment but many workers are still struggling as wage gains have not kept up with prices.”

Layoffs have particularly plagued the tech sector as Twitter, Salesforce, Spotify, Amazon, Meta and Alphabet have all announced plans to let thousands of employees go.

Mr Hickenlooper's plea will likely fall on deaf ears as the central bank ignored similar appeals from Senate Banking Committee chairman Sherrod Brown last year.

“For working Americans who already feel the crush of inflation, job losses will make it much worse,” Mr Brown wrote in October.

A letter signed by 12 Democrats in November was similarly rebuffed.

The Fed raised interest rates seven times last year to the range of 4.25-4.50 per cent to address the rising cost of goods.

Should it raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, as expected, it would bring the federal funds rate to the range of 4.50-4.75 per cent, roughly 50 basis points short of where the central bank previously forecast rates to peak by this year.

Mr Powell has previously said he wants to see wage growth cool in line with inflation and for the labour market to return to balance. There are currently 1.7 vacancies for every jobseeker.

But in the Fed's effort to deliver a so-called soft landing, Mr Hickenlooper and others fear that the central bank risks pushing the US economy into a recession if it raises interest rates by too much.

Consumer spending in December dipped for the second consecutive month, signalling a weakening of economic momentum. And a Bloomberg survey of economists forecasts employers to have added fewer jobs this month.

Recent government data suggests that inflation is moderating after peaking at 9.1 per cent in the summer, although, at 6.5 per cent, it still remains well above the Fed's long-term 2 per cent goal.

Fed officials have argued against loosening monetary policy too soon but now, faced with weakening economic activity and the risk of a US debt default, they operate under conditions that could upend their soft-landing hopes.

Dr Afridi's warning signs of digital addiction

Spending an excessive amount of time on the phone.

Neglecting personal, social, or academic responsibilities.

Losing interest in other activities or hobbies that were once enjoyed.

Having withdrawal symptoms like feeling anxious, restless, or upset when the technology is not available.

Experiencing sleep disturbances or changes in sleep patterns.

What are the guidelines?

Under 18 months: Avoid screen time altogether, except for video chatting with family.

Aged 18-24 months: If screens are introduced, it should be high-quality content watched with a caregiver to help the child understand what they are seeing.

Aged 2-5 years: Limit to one-hour per day of high-quality programming, with co-viewing whenever possible.

Aged 6-12 years: Set consistent limits on screen time to ensure it does not interfere with sleep, physical activity, or social interactions.

Teenagers: Encourage a balanced approach – screens should not replace sleep, exercise, or face-to-face socialisation.

Source: American Paediatric Association
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Publisher:  Activision
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Labour dispute

The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.


- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law 

Name: Brendalle Belaza

From: Crossing Rubber, Philippines

Arrived in the UAE: 2007

Favourite place in Abu Dhabi: NYUAD campus

Favourite photography style: Street photography

Favourite book: Harry Potter

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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Rating: 2/5

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Updated: January 31, 2023, 7:42 AM