Opec has lowered its oil demand growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 for the second consecutive month amid signs of slowing consumption in major economies.
Global oil demand growth forecast for this year is now predicted to reach 2 million barrels per day, down 80,000 bpd from the group’s previous estimate, Opec said in its monthly oil market report on Tuesday.
The revision in numbers mainly reflects the latest data, Opec said, noting that the growth of 2 million bpd remains “well above” the historical average of 1.4 million bpd before the Covid-19 pandemic.
Opec expects oil demand in OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries to grow by 0.1 million bpd in 2024, down from its previous estimate of a 0.2 million bpd increase.
Meanwhile, oil consumption in non-OECD nations is projected to grow by more than 1.8 million bpd this year, which is lower than Opec's earlier forecast of about 1.9 million bpd.
The producer alliance also lowered its forecast for 2025 crude demand growth to 1.74 million bpd, down from 1.78 million bpd.
The forecast cut comes as China, the world’s second-largest economy and top crude importer, faces challenges from a real estate crisis, sluggish consumer spending and a slowdown in manufacturing.
The country’s second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 4.7 per cent on an annual basis, from 5.3 per cent in the first quarter.
“Looking ahead, China’s economic growth is expected to remain well supported,” Opec said.
“However, headwinds in the real estate sector and the increasing penetration of [liquefied natural gas] trucks and electric vehicles are likely to weigh on diesel and gasoline demand going forward.”
Last week, the Opec alliance extended voluntary oil output cuts of 2.2 million bpd until the end of November amid a drop in crude prices over concerns of slumping demand.
Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman will pause the scheduled increases of 180,000 bpd in October and November, Opec said at the time.
The group also said further extensions and renewed cuts were on the table, should market conditions demand them.
Production by Opec’s 12 members averaged 26.59 million bpd last month, 197,000 bpd lower than in July, the group said on Tuesday.
Crude oil output increased mainly in Nigeria, Republic of Congo and Venezuela, while production in Libya, Iraq and Saudi Arabia decreased.
Libya is currently in the midst of a political crisis that has caused its production to more than halve.
Oil prices fell on Tuesday as the threat of a supply disruption in the US from a tropical storm was overshadowed by concerns about weakening oil demand.
Brent, the benchmark for two thirds of the world’s oil, was trading 1.32 per cent lower at $70.89 a barrel at 4.25pm UAE time, while West Texas Intermediate, the gauge that tracks US crude, was down 1.38 per cent at $67.76 a barrel.
Jumanji: The Next Level
Director: Jake Kasdan
Stars: Dwayne Johnson, Kevin Hart, Karen Gillan, Jack Black, Nick Jonas
Two out of five stars
2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups
Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.
Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.
Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.
Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, Leon.
Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.
Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.
Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.
Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.
Top New Zealand cop on policing the virtual world
New Zealand police began closer scrutiny of social media and online communities after the attacks on two mosques in March, the country's top officer said.
The killing of 51 people in Christchurch and wounding of more than 40 others shocked the world. Brenton Tarrant, a suspected white supremacist, was accused of the killings. His trial is ongoing and he denies the charges.
Mike Bush, commissioner of New Zealand Police, said officers looked closely at how they monitored social media in the wake of the tragedy to see if lessons could be learned.
“We decided that it was fit for purpose but we need to deepen it in terms of community relationships, extending them not only with the traditional community but the virtual one as well," he told The National.
"We want to get ahead of attacks like we suffered in New Zealand so we have to challenge ourselves to be better."
5 of the most-popular Airbnb locations in Dubai
Bobby Grudziecki, chief operating officer of Frank Porter, identifies the five most popular areas in Dubai for those looking to make the most out of their properties and the rates owners can secure:
• Dubai Marina
The Marina and Jumeirah Beach Residence are popular locations, says Mr Grudziecki, due to their closeness to the beach, restaurants and hotels.
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh482 to Dh739
Two bedroom: Dh627 to Dh960
Three bedroom: Dh721 to Dh1,104
• Downtown
Within walking distance of the Dubai Mall, Burj Khalifa and the famous fountains, this location combines business and leisure. “Sure it’s for tourists,” says Mr Grudziecki. “Though Downtown [still caters to business people] because it’s close to Dubai International Financial Centre."
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh497 to Dh772
Two bedroom: Dh646 to Dh1,003
Three bedroom: Dh743 to Dh1,154
• City Walk
The rising star of the Dubai property market, this area is lined with pristine sidewalks, boutiques and cafes and close to the new entertainment venue Coca Cola Arena. “Downtown and Marina are pretty much the same prices,” Mr Grudziecki says, “but City Walk is higher.”
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh524 to Dh809
Two bedroom: Dh682 to Dh1,052
Three bedroom: Dh784 to Dh1,210
• Jumeirah Lake Towers
Dubai Marina’s little brother JLT resides on the other side of Sheikh Zayed road but is still close enough to beachside outlets and attractions. The big selling point for Airbnb renters, however, is that “it’s cheaper than Dubai Marina”, Mr Grudziecki says.
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh422 to Dh629
Two bedroom: Dh549 to Dh818
Three bedroom: Dh631 to Dh941
• Palm Jumeirah
Palm Jumeirah's proximity to luxury resorts is attractive, especially for big families, says Mr Grudziecki, as Airbnb renters can secure competitive rates on one of the world’s most famous tourist destinations.
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh503 to Dh770
Two bedroom: Dh654 to Dh1,002
Three bedroom: Dh752 to Dh1,152
UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions
Analysis
Members of Syria's Alawite minority community face threat in their heartland after one of the deadliest days in country’s recent history. Read more
The specs
Engine: four-litre V6 and 3.5-litre V6 twin-turbo
Transmission: six-speed and 10-speed
Power: 271 and 409 horsepower
Torque: 385 and 650Nm
Price: from Dh229,900 to Dh355,000
