Would a DP World listing on London’s exchange boost its share price? Opinions are divided.
Would a DP World listing on London’s exchange boost its share price? Opinions are divided.

DP World may prove to me there is such a thing as a free lunch



I like speaking at conferences and panel discussions. You can speak your mind, stir up a debate, play devil's advocate and generally cause a bit of a brouhaha.

A lot depends on the audience reaction, of course. Some sit there sullen and bored but others get involved, pose questions, take issue with the panel's position.

You know you've done your job as a panellist when there is a small queue of people still wanting to pose questions after the discussion is over.

In Abu Dhabi this week, I took part in a discussion at the annual MEED Capital Markets Forum. The topic was "private versus public equity" - on the face of it a fairly dry subject. But the brief to me was clear: "start a punch-up" was the concise instruction from MEED's Eddie O'Sullivan, the conference organiser. Well, what an invitation, although on this particular subject I didn't really need such leeway. As I told the conference, I don't much like private equity, mainly because it's too … well, private.

I come from a business culture of public accountability and transparency in commerce and, although it has its imperfections, I believe it is the best way to run businesses and capital markets.

Share prices, annual reports and meetings, analysts' reports and a well informed and constructively critical financial media - these are the essentials of the public equity culture and I believe they are intrinsically desirable and valuable things.

True, as the indefatigable Mr O'Sullivan pointed out, these qualities did not prevent the financial crisis, which, as we all know, began in the public-quoted West and then infected the rest of the world. But those same qualities did not cause the crisis, nor did they exacerbate it.

In contrast, you could argue that insufficient public transparency in some emerging markets, such as Dubai, was partly responsible for the virulence and severity with which the financial hurricane hit.

One of my co-panellists was Salah al Fulaij, the chief executive of the Kuwaiti finance house NBK Capital. He argued persuasively that private equity was well suited to the needs of corporates in the Gulf, providing an essential stepping-stone between the predominant family-controlled model of business structure and eventual public listing.

But I still believe the sheer privateness of much business activity in the Gulf is not a good thing and private equity only reinforces the region's natural tendency to opaqueness and secrecy in commercial transactions.

The best remedy, I suggested, would be a raft of public listings, especially for some of Dubai's big government-owned enterprises, such as the Jumeirah leisure business, Emirates Airline and DP World. The last example got it going.

The Dubai ports operator already has a public quotation on NASDAQ Dubai but its performance since flotation in 2007 has been lukewarm to say the least. Floated at $1.30, the shares have never since hit that level and now trade at around 60 cents. I suggested the planned listing of the shares on the London Stock Exchange would remedy this by injecting liquidity and volume into the stock.

I noticed a chap in the audience shaking his head as I said this but it was only later, after the panel session ended and he tapped me on the shoulder, that I realised it was Jeff Singer, the chief executive of NASDAQ Dubai. Mr Singer wanted a word, to put me straight on the DP World matter and we slipped outside the conference room to carry on the debate.

His argument, elucidated over croissants and coffee, was that investors would value DP World on price rather than on what exchange the shares are traded; the DP World performance has improved dramatically since the merger of NASDAQ Dubai and the Dubai Financial Market in July, which has provided a common platform for trading; and a London listing would have no appreciable long-term effect on the share price.

The statistics he reeled off to support his argument were impressive: DP World shares are up more than 30 per cent since the common trading platform was introduced and have been among the top five stocks in terms of volumes traded on more than half the trading days in that period, regularly beating market heavyweights such as Emaar and Emirates NBD.

To a degree, I stood corrected. But Mr Singer's is not a view shared by one important party to this debate: DP World. It is convinced a London listing would benefit the company and investors by making it accessible to a much broader spectrum of international investor interest.

About 70 per cent of the quoted shares are currently held by non-UAE investors, demonstrating the international appeal of the company. But many global investors either cannot invest in Dubai entities due to the terms of their investment mandate, or chose not to, due in part to concerns about standards of transparency in the region.

DP World believes the London listing, pencilled in for next spring, will be a springboard for the shares; Mr Singer believes they are unlikely to ever see $1.30 again.

We shall see. Mr Singer and I have agreed that whoever turns out to be wrong will buy the other lunch.

Europe’s rearming plan
  • Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
  • Create new "instrument" providing €150 billion of loans to member countries for defence investment
  • Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
  • Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
  • Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital
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Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Israel Palestine on Swedish TV 1958-1989

Director: Goran Hugo Olsson

Rating: 5/5

INFO

Visit www.wtatennis.com for more information

 

In numbers: China in Dubai

The number of Chinese people living in Dubai: An estimated 200,000

Number of Chinese people in International City: Almost 50,000

Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2018/19: 120,000

Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2010: 20,000

Percentage increase in visitors in eight years: 500 per cent

RESULT

Bournemouth 0 Southampton 3 (Djenepo (37', Redmond 45' 1, 59')

Man of the match Nathan Redmond (Southampton)

ENGLAND SQUAD

Joe Root (captain), Dom Sibley, Rory Burns, Dan Lawrence, Ben Stokes, Ollie Pope, Ben Foakes (wicketkeeper), Moeen Ali, Olly Stone, Chris Woakes, Jack Leach, Stuart Broad

THE BIO

Occupation: Specialised chief medical laboratory technologist

Age: 78

Favourite destination: Always Al Ain “Dar Al Zain”

Hobbies: his work  - “ the thing which I am most passionate for and which occupied all my time in the morning and evening from 1963 to 2019”

Other hobbies: football

Favorite football club: Al Ain Sports Club

 

About Proto21

Date started: May 2018
Founder: Pir Arkam
Based: Dubai
Sector: Additive manufacturing (aka, 3D printing)
Staff: 18
Funding: Invested, supported and partnered by Joseph Group

The specs
Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
Power: 510hp at 9,000rpm
Torque: 450Nm at 6,100rpm
Transmission: 7-speed PDK auto or 6-speed manual
Fuel economy, combined: 13.8L/100km
On sale: Available to order now
Price: From Dh801,800
Analysis

Members of Syria's Alawite minority community face threat in their heartland after one of the deadliest days in country’s recent history. Read more

U19 WORLD CUP, WEST INDIES

UAE group fixtures (all in St Kitts)

  • Saturday 15 January: UAE beat Canada by 49 runs 
  • Thursday 20 January: v England 
  • Saturday 22 January: v Bangladesh 

UAE squad:

Alishan Sharafu (captain), Shival Bawa, Jash Giyanani, Sailles
Jaishankar, Nilansh Keswani, Aayan Khan, Punya Mehra, Ali Naseer, Ronak Panoly,
Dhruv Parashar, Vinayak Raghavan, Soorya Sathish, Aryansh Sharma, Adithya
Shetty, Kai Smith  

THE%20STRANGERS'%20CASE
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LEADERBOARD
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THE LIGHT

Director: Tom Tykwer

Starring: Tala Al Deen, Nicolette Krebitz, Lars Eidinger

Rating: 3/5

MATCH INFO

Southampton 0
Manchester City 1
(Sterling 16')

Man of the match: Kevin de Bruyne (Manchester City)