A Bitcoin mural in Miami, Florida. The cryptocurrency market has lost $1 trillion since its most recent peak in November. AFP
A Bitcoin mural in Miami, Florida. The cryptocurrency market has lost $1 trillion since its most recent peak in November. AFP
A Bitcoin mural in Miami, Florida. The cryptocurrency market has lost $1 trillion since its most recent peak in November. AFP
A Bitcoin mural in Miami, Florida. The cryptocurrency market has lost $1 trillion since its most recent peak in November. AFP

Why Bitcoin's meltdown is testing investor optimism


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With the blink of an eye, more than $1 trillion in cryptocurrency market value has evaporated.

The jarring downturn that has been a hallmark of digital assets in recent weeks continued to play out at the weekend, with Bitcoin at one point losing more than 15 per cent during that stretch.

The coin, which is the largest digital token, has dropped more than 50 per cent from a recent peak and many other cryptocurrencies have lost just as much, if not more.

The carnage superlatives have been easy to come by: last Friday’s decline led to the liquidation of more than $1.1 billion in crypto futures positions and, overall, more than $1tn in market value has been destroyed since the last peak. In other words, the meltdown is pouring salt on an already-deep wound.

“Digital currency markets in total have been challenged this month,” said Jonathan Padilla, co-founder of Snickerdoodle Labs, a blockchain company focused on data privacy. “There is definitely some pain there.”

Even long-time bulls are starting to wonder out loud at what point the battering might end. Famed cryptocurrency investor Mike Novogratz mused on Twitter that “this will be a year where people realise being an investor is a difficult job”.

However, cryptocurrency fans have an infinite supply of optimism and many are confident that with Bitcoin already spending two thirds of the year in the red, better times could come soon.

At some point, sellers will become exhausted and there could be some capitulation in the market soon, said Matt Maley, chief market strategist for Miller Tabak + Co.

“When that happens, the institutions will come back in a meaningful way,” he said. “Once the asset class becomes more washed out, they will have a lot more confidence to come back in and buy them. They know that cryptos are not going away, so they will have to move back into them before long.”

The news cycle has been relentless. Regulators from Russia, the UK, Singapore and Spain all announced interventions that could undermine cryptocurrency companies looking to grow in those regions, while tightening US monetary policy left traders expecting several interest rate increases this year.

Meanwhile, US President Joe Biden's administration is preparing to release an initial government-wide strategy for digital assets as soon as next month, with federal agencies expected to assess the risks and opportunities that they pose, according to sources.

That weighed on Bitcoin enough to send it to within a whisker of $34,000 on Saturday.

Bitcoin’s decline since its November high has wiped out about $600bn. More than $1tn has been lost from the aggregate cryptocurrency market.

While there have been much larger percentage drawdowns for both Bitcoin and the aggregate market, this marks the second-largest decline in dollar terms for both, according to a Friday note from Bespoke Investment Group. The largest occurred last summer, when a decline that peaked at the end of July wiped out $646bn for Bitcoin.

About 290,000 traders had their positions closed over the 24 hours through to Friday evening in New York, with liquidations totalling more than $1.1bn, according to data from Coinglass.

It remains to be seen if Bitcoin’s tumble below the psychological level of $40,000 will serve as an inflection point. Cryptocurrency proponents say heavy liquidations often serve to cut out the froth in easy-win asset speculation, helping to solidify new bottoms in the market.

“Fear and unease among investors is palpable,” said Antoni Trenchev, managing partner at Nexo. “If we see a bigger sell-off in equities, expect the Fed to verbally intervene to calm nerves and that is when Bitcoin and other cryptos will bounce.”

As the dust settles, key technical indicators show things could be about to look up for Bitcoin. The fall in the cryptocurrency’s price on Friday triggered a drop below the lower band of its trading envelope.

Traditionally, this has been a sign that the sell-off might be overdone and a reversion to the mean is in play. However, Saturday’s nudge lower suggests the bears remain in charge.

“For now, Bitcoin is up against the wall after falling below $40,000. A swift bounce above that key technical and psychological level can’t be ruled out,” said Mr Trenchev.

“Failing a quick reversal, I am not excluding Bitcoin retests $30,000 before the Fed changes tack, but that ought to be the bottom, at least in the midterm. And from there, I think we can have a nice leg up.”

Bitcoin has been trading largely in tandem with the Nasdaq 100, whose members include high-growth technology stocks that have been dinged during this year’s sell-off.

That makes sense to Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities, who said that it is useful to think of cryptocurrencies as living in the same space as other speculative sectors, including special-purpose acquisition companies (Spacs) and electric-vehicle makers.

“When we are in an environment where all of those riskier assets are selling off, crypto is going to find itself doing the same,” Mr Hogan said.

“When the Nasdaq 100 or any of the other more speculative, rapid-growth, momentum-type asset classes start to gain some traction, so will cryptocurrencies.”

SPECS
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Director: Shady Ali
Cast: Boumi Fouad , Mohamed Tharout and Hisham Ismael
Rating: 3/5

Bugatti Chiron Super Sport - the specs:

Engine: 8.0-litre quad-turbo W16 

Transmission: 7-speed DSG auto 

Power: 1,600hp

Torque: 1,600Nm

0-100kph in 2.4seconds

0-200kph in 5.8 seconds

0-300kph in 12.1 seconds

Top speed: 440kph

Price: Dh13,200,000

Bugatti Chiron Pur Sport - the specs:

Engine: 8.0-litre quad-turbo W16 

Transmission: 7-speed DSG auto 

Power: 1,500hp

Torque: 1,600Nm

0-100kph in 2.3 seconds

0-200kph in 5.5 seconds

0-300kph in 11.8 seconds

Top speed: 350kph

Price: Dh13,600,000

'The Batman'

Stars:Robert Pattinson

Director:Matt Reeves

Rating: 5/5

The biog

Favourite books: 'Ruth Bader Ginsburg: A Life' by Jane D. Mathews and ‘The Moment of Lift’ by Melinda Gates

Favourite travel destination: Greece, a blend of ancient history and captivating nature. It always has given me a sense of joy, endless possibilities, positive energy and wonderful people that make you feel at home.

Favourite pastime: travelling and experiencing different cultures across the globe.

Favourite quote: “In the future, there will be no female leaders. There will just be leaders” - Sheryl Sandberg, COO of Facebook.

Favourite Movie: Mona Lisa Smile 

Favourite Author: Kahlil Gibran

Favourite Artist: Meryl Streep

What went into the film

25 visual effects (VFX) studios

2,150 VFX shots in a film with 2,500 shots

1,000 VFX artists

3,000 technicians

10 Concept artists, 25 3D designers

New sound technology, named 4D SRL

 

The National Archives, Abu Dhabi

Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.

Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en

The specs: 2018 Nissan Altima


Price, base / as tested: Dh78,000 / Dh97,650

Engine: 2.5-litre in-line four-cylinder

Power: 182hp @ 6,000rpm

Torque: 244Nm @ 4,000rpm

Transmission: Continuously variable tranmission

Fuel consumption, combined: 7.6L / 100km

ACC 2019: The winners in full

Best Actress Maha Alemi, Sofia

Best Actor Mohamed Dhrif, Weldi  

Best Screenplay Meryem Benm’Barek, Sofia  

Best Documentary Of Fathers and Sons by Talal Derki

Best Film Yomeddine by Abu Bakr Shawky

Best Director Nadine Labaki, Capernaum
 

Classification of skills

A worker is categorised as skilled by the MOHRE based on nine levels given in the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) issued by the International Labour Organisation. 

A skilled worker would be someone at a professional level (levels 1 – 5) which includes managers, professionals, technicians and associate professionals, clerical support workers, and service and sales workers.

The worker must also have an attested educational certificate higher than secondary or an equivalent certification, and earn a monthly salary of at least Dh4,000. 

Abramovich London

A Kensington Palace Gardens house with 15 bedrooms is valued at more than £150 million.

A three-storey penthouse at Chelsea Waterfront bought for £22 million.

Steel company Evraz drops more than 10 per cent in trading after UK officials said it was potentially supplying the Russian military.

Sale of Chelsea Football Club is now impossible.

If you go

 

  • The nearest international airport to the start of the Chuysky Trakt is in Novosibirsk. Emirates (www.emirates.com) offer codeshare flights with S7 Airlines (www.s7.ru) via Moscow for US$5,300 (Dh19,467) return including taxes. Cheaper flights are available on Flydubai and Air Astana or Aeroflot combination, flying via Astana in Kazakhstan or Moscow. Economy class tickets are available for US$650 (Dh2,400).
  • The Double Tree by Hilton in Novosibirsk ( 7 383 2230100,) has double rooms from US$60 (Dh220). You can rent cabins at camp grounds or rooms in guesthouses in the towns for around US$25 (Dh90).
  • The transport Minibuses run along the Chuysky Trakt but if you want to stop for sightseeing, hire a taxi from Gorno-Altaisk for about US$100 (Dh360) a day. Take a Russian phrasebook or download a translation app. Tour companies such as  Altair-Tour ( 7 383 2125115 ) offer hiking and adventure packages.
Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

Trump v Khan

2016: Feud begins after Khan criticised Trump’s proposed Muslim travel ban to US

2017: Trump criticises Khan’s ‘no reason to be alarmed’ response to London Bridge terror attacks

2019: Trump calls Khan a “stone cold loser” before first state visit

2019: Trump tweets about “Khan’s Londonistan”, calling him “a national disgrace”

2022:  Khan’s office attributes rise in Islamophobic abuse against the major to hostility stoked during Trump’s presidency

July 2025 During a golfing trip to Scotland, Trump calls Khan “a nasty person”

Sept 2025 Trump blames Khan for London’s “stabbings and the dirt and the filth”.

Dec 2025 Trump suggests migrants got Khan elected, calls him a “horrible, vicious, disgusting mayor”

UK’s AI plan
  • AI ambassadors such as MIT economist Simon Johnson, Monzo cofounder Tom Blomfield and Google DeepMind’s Raia Hadsell
  • £10bn AI growth zone in South Wales to create 5,000 jobs
  • £100m of government support for startups building AI hardware products
  • £250m to train new AI models
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Our legal columnist

Name: Yousef Al Bahar

Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994

Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers

The specs
Engine: 2.7-litre 4-cylinder Turbomax
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Generation Start-up: Awok company profile

Started: 2013

Founder: Ulugbek Yuldashev

Sector: e-commerce

Size: 600 plus

Stage: still in talks with VCs

Principal Investors: self-financed by founder

The specs: 2018 Mercedes-Benz E 300 Cabriolet

Price, base / as tested: Dh275,250 / Dh328,465

Engine: 2.0-litre four-cylinder

Power: 245hp @ 5,500rpm

Torque: 370Nm @ 1,300rpm

Transmission: Nine-speed automatic

Fuel consumption, combined: 7.0L / 100km

Our legal columnist

Name: Yousef Al Bahar

Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994

Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers

THE SPECS

2020 Toyota Corolla Hybrid LE

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Transmission: Automatic with manual shifting mode

Power: 121hp

Torque: 142Nm

Price: Dh95,900

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Islamophobia definition

A widely accepted definition was made by the All Party Parliamentary Group on British Muslims in 2019: “Islamophobia is rooted in racism and is a type of racism that targets expressions of Muslimness or perceived Muslimness.” It further defines it as “inciting hatred or violence against Muslims”.

Updated: January 25, 2022, 4:00 AM