Iran’s parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani and Iranian judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi. Reuters, AFP
Iran’s parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani and Iranian judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi. Reuters, AFP
Iran’s parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani and Iranian judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi. Reuters, AFP
Iran’s parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani and Iranian judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi. Reuters, AFP

Iran's June elections threaten to split conservatives


Leila Gharagozlou
  • English
  • Arabic

Iran’s presidential election next month could could cause a split among the country’s conservatives.

The June 18 election is already widely expected to be a showdown between conservative Ali Larijani, a former Parliament speaker, who is now billing himself as a reformer, and ultraconservative judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi.

While the list of approved candidates has yet to be released, the elections committee said close to 600 candidates, including 40 women, have registered to stand to succeed moderate President Hassan Rouhani. He cannot run again because of term limits.

Many candidates are linked to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

All will be vetted by the Guardian Council, a conservative-dominated, unelected body in charge of overseeing elections, and only a handful will be allowed to run.

This is causing fissures within the ranks of political hardliners, who must unite and decide which candidate to back.

Fractures within Iran’s conservatives date back to the “Green Movement”, which emerged in 2009 when the re-election of populist president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was disputed.

Mr Ahmadinejad’s re-election ushered in Iran’s “ultraconservatives” who defined themselves as “revolutionaries”, in reference to a saying by supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: “I am not a diplomat. I am a revolutionary.”

The ultraconservatives oppose traditional conservatives, accusing them of being "the guardians of the status quo", according to the ultraconservative daily newspaper Javan.

Conservatives and ultraconservatives opposed Mr Rouhani in 2013, the year he won the presidency. So-called “principalists” mobilised against his policy of openness with the West, accusing him of selling off Iran’s interests.

  • Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, right, and the head of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Ali Akbar Salehi inspect the nuclear technology on the occasion of Iran National Nuclear Technology Day in Tehran in 2019. EPA
    Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, right, and the head of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Ali Akbar Salehi inspect the nuclear technology on the occasion of Iran National Nuclear Technology Day in Tehran in 2019. EPA
  • IR-8 centrifuges at Natanz nuclear power plant, some 300 kilometres south of capital Tehran. AFP
    IR-8 centrifuges at Natanz nuclear power plant, some 300 kilometres south of capital Tehran. AFP
  • The Iranian nuclear power plant in Bushehr in 2010. EPA
    The Iranian nuclear power plant in Bushehr in 2010. EPA
  • Salehi speaks with media while visiting Natanz enrichment facility, in central Iran in 2019. Atomic Energy Organization of Iran via AP
    Salehi speaks with media while visiting Natanz enrichment facility, in central Iran in 2019. Atomic Energy Organization of Iran via AP
  • The gate of Natanz nuclear power plant in Natanz , Isfahan province, in 2019. EPA
    The gate of Natanz nuclear power plant in Natanz , Isfahan province, in 2019. EPA
  • Inside of the Iran's Fordow nuclear facility, in Fordow, Qom province in 2019. EPA
    Inside of the Iran's Fordow nuclear facility, in Fordow, Qom province in 2019. EPA
  • Technicians work at the Arak heavy water reactor's secondary circuit, as officials and media visit the site, near Arak, Iran in 2019. Atomic Energy Organization of Iran via AP
    Technicians work at the Arak heavy water reactor's secondary circuit, as officials and media visit the site, near Arak, Iran in 2019. Atomic Energy Organization of Iran via AP
  • Members of the media and officials tour the water nuclear reactor at Arak in 2019. WANA via Reuters
    Members of the media and officials tour the water nuclear reactor at Arak in 2019. WANA via Reuters
  • Concrete is poured for the base of the second nuclear power reactor at Bushehr plant in 2019. Atomic Energy Organization of Iran via AP
    Concrete is poured for the base of the second nuclear power reactor at Bushehr plant in 2019. Atomic Energy Organization of Iran via AP

Mr Khamenei backed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, commonly known as the nuclear deal, reached in Vienna in 2015.

Centrist conservatives such as Mr Larijani, who at the time was parliamentary speaker, also rallied to support the agreement.

But the withdrawal of the US from the deal and its subsequent reinstatement of sanctions in 2018 reinstatement of sanctions revived support for the ultraconservatives.

As the economic impact of the sanctions bit, ultraconservatives’ criticism of Mr Rouhani’s government grew.

Iran’s parliamentary elections in February last year exposed the growing discontent with the reformist government.

Only 42 per cent of those eligible to vote did so, the lowest turnout of any election in the country, and a hardline majority was elected to Parliament.

Muhammad Sahimi, an expert on Iranian politics, said a low voter turnout often results in the election of hardline politicians, whereas a turnout of more than 60 per cent almost always ushers in reformist candidates.

As polls approach next month, Iran and world powers are once again engaged in talks in Vienna, seeking to revive the nuclear deal.

A file photo of Iranian parliament speaker Ali Larijani. Reuters.
A file photo of Iranian parliament speaker Ali Larijani. Reuters.

The ultraconservatives continue to push back against Mr Rouhani’s government, but have thus far fallen in line, following the position of Mr Khamenei.

Even Mr Raisi, who won 38 per cent of votes in the 2017 race, says the priority is for US sanctions to be eased. He did not fully support the nuclear agreement but implied that, if he wins, he is likely to keep Iran onboard.

Mr Larijani, speaking to an audience of more than 20,000 people on the social media app Clubhouse, defended the nuclear deal.

He also spoke in support of the Rouhani government’s push for diplomacy with the West, saying: “We should try to reach a deal as soon as possible and all the focus must be on improving economic conditions because the country is in a worrying situation in terms of poverty.”

The presidential elections’ outcome will hinge on Iran’s ailing economy, its role in the world, internet freedom. Mr Raisi and Mr Larijani are expected to clash on a number of these issues in debates on television and on social media platforms such as Clubhouse.

Voter turnout is currently expected to be about 40 per cent, in contrast with Iran’s most recent elections, which attracted about 71 per cent of the electorate.

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What is the FNC?

The Federal National Council is one of five federal authorities established by the UAE constitution. It held its first session on December 2, 1972, a year to the day after Federation.
It has 40 members, eight of whom are women. The members represent the UAE population through each of the emirates. Abu Dhabi and Dubai have eight members each, Sharjah and Ras al Khaimah six, and Ajman, Fujairah and Umm Al Quwain have four.
They bring Emirati issues to the council for debate and put those concerns to ministers summoned for questioning. 
The FNC’s main functions include passing, amending or rejecting federal draft laws, discussing international treaties and agreements, and offering recommendations on general subjects raised during sessions.
Federal draft laws must first pass through the FNC for recommendations when members can amend the laws to suit the needs of citizens. The draft laws are then forwarded to the Cabinet for consideration and approval. 
Since 2006, half of the members have been elected by UAE citizens to serve four-year terms and the other half are appointed by the Ruler’s Courts of the seven emirates.
In the 2015 elections, 78 of the 252 candidates were women. Women also represented 48 per cent of all voters and 67 per cent of the voters were under the age of 40.
 

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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The President's Cake

Director: Hasan Hadi

Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem 

Rating: 4/5

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

The Saga Continues

Wu-Tang Clan

(36 Chambers / Entertainment One)

MATCH INFO

Manchester United 1 (Fernandes pen 2') Tottenham Hotspur 6 (Ndombele 4', Son 7' & 37' Kane (30' & pen 79, Aurier 51')

Man of the match Son Heung-min (Tottenham)

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Need to know

The flights: Flydubai flies from Dubai to Kilimanjaro airport via Dar es Salaam from Dh1,619 return including taxes. The trip takes 8 hours. 

The trek: Make sure that whatever tour company you select to climb Kilimanjaro, that it is a reputable one. The way to climb successfully would be with experienced guides and porters, from a company committed to quality, safety and an ethical approach to the mountain and its staff. Sonia Nazareth booked a VIP package through Safari Africa. The tour works out to $4,775 (Dh17,538) per person, based on a 4-person booking scheme, for 9 nights on the mountain (including one night before and after the trek at Arusha). The price includes all meals, a head guide, an assistant guide for every 2 trekkers, porters to carry the luggage, a cook and kitchen staff, a dining and mess tent, a sleeping tent set up for 2 persons, a chemical toilet and park entrance fees. The tiny ration of heated water provided for our bath in our makeshift private bathroom stall was the greatest luxury. A standard package, also based on a 4-person booking, works out to $3,050 (Dh11,202) per person.

When to go: You can climb Kili at any time of year, but the best months to ascend  are  January-February and September-October.  Also good are July and August, if you’re tolerant of the colder weather that winter brings.

Do not underestimate the importance of kit. Even if you’re travelling at a relatively pleasant time, be geared up for the cold and the rain.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
SCHEDULE

December 8: UAE v USA (Sharjah Cricket Stadium)

December 9: USA v Scotland (Sharjah Cricket Stadium)

December 11: UAE v Scotland (Sharjah Cricket Stadium)

December 12: UAE v USA (ICC Academy Oval 1)

December 14: USA v Scotland (ICC Academy Oval 1)

December 15: UAE v Scotland (ICC Academy Oval 1)

All matches start at 10am

 

MATHC INFO

England 19 (Try: Tuilagi; Cons: Farrell; Pens: Ford (4)

New Zealand 7 (Try: Savea; Con: Mo'unga)

Know your Camel lingo

The bairaq is a competition for the best herd of 50 camels, named for the banner its winner takes home

Namoos - a word of congratulations reserved for falconry competitions, camel races and camel pageants. It best translates as 'the pride of victory' - and for competitors, it is priceless

Asayel camels - sleek, short-haired hound-like racers

Majahim - chocolate-brown camels that can grow to weigh two tonnes. They were only valued for milk until camel pageantry took off in the 1990s

Millions Street - the thoroughfare where camels are led and where white 4x4s throng throughout the festival

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