Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani, centre, at the signing of an agreement between the oil ministry and Chevron in August. Photo: Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office / X
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani, centre, at the signing of an agreement between the oil ministry and Chevron in August. Photo: Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office / X
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani, centre, at the signing of an agreement between the oil ministry and Chevron in August. Photo: Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office / X
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani, centre, at the signing of an agreement between the oil ministry and Chevron in August. Photo: Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office / X

Iraqi Prime Minister suggests Opec adjustment to country's oil export quota


Sinan Mahmoud
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Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani on Saturday voiced concerns about his country's Opec-approved export quota, saying it did not align with the country's vast oil reserves, production capacity, population or financial needs.

“We hope that our brothers and friends will understand the developmental and economic necessities of Iraq and reconsider our quota based on indicators of our real oil capabilities,” Mr Al Sudani said at the opening of the Baghdad International Energy Forum.

He emphasised the need for increased revenue to support “reconstruction and services in a country ravaged by wars and conflicts”.

Oil revenue makes up more than 90 per cent of Iraq's budget. The country produces more than four million barrels per day from Baghdad-controlled oilfields, up from nearly 2.4 million bpd in 2009, according to Oil Ministry data.

Its daily exports averaged 3.38 million bpd in August, with between 3.4 and 3.45 million bpd expected in September, the chief of Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organisation (Somo), Ali Nizar Al Shatri, said on Saturday.

With ambitions to expand its production capacity and contribute more significantly to global energy markets, the two-day forum provides a platform for Iraq to showcase its potential and attract investment in the sector.

“We affirm our openness to receiving oil companies eager to invest in oil and gas,” Mr Al Sudani said in his opening remarks.

“There will be preferential procedures for major companies according to the country's supreme interests.”

He hailed the political and security stability in the country that allowed the government to launch infrastructure projects and introduce economic reforms. That environment has also allowed the government to sign several agreements for mega projects, mainly in the energy sector.

“Iraq has transformed into a thriving industrial and developmental field, with new areas emerging for energy production and rapid development,” he said.

Mr Al Sudani pitched the country as a “land of security, a field of promising opportunities and a hub for innovation”.

He said the country's proven reserves “would sustain global markets for at least 120 years at current rates”.

Iraq's energy sector has faced challenges due to decades of conflict, sanctions and infrastructure damage, but recent efforts have focused on rebuilding and expanding its oil production capacity.

Record oil production

Encouraged by an improved security situation, the country began to open its oilfields to international companies for development in 2009. Top among major oil companies were the US‘s Exxon Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell, the UK’s BP, China’s CNPC and Russia’s Lukoil.

Since then, Iraq has awarded dozens of contracts to develop major fields, including ones that hold more than half of its 145 billion barrels of proven reserves. Contracts to tap natural gas resources have also been awarded.

As a result, Iraq’s daily production and exports have risen to an all-time high.

Iraq has already set out an ambitious plan for expansion.

During the Prime Minister's visit to Oman last week, Iraq signed several memorandums of understanding, including two between Somo and Oman's OQ Group. One of them are to develop an integrated crude oil storage project at Ras Markaz with an initial capacity of 10 million barrels, it said in a statement on Saturday. The second would allow OQ Trading to market Iraqi crude globally, leveraging the commercial and administrative expertise of both sides, it added.

Somo is also in advanced talks with ExxonMobil over a possible agreement to secure storage capacity in Singapore using tanks owned by the US oil major, it added. Negotiations also include possible refining capacity deals and profit-sharing arrangements in Asia, where demand for crude and products continues to grow, according to the statement.

Opec+ meeting

Mr Al Sudani’s comments about expanded quotas came a day before the monthly gathering of the Opec+ alliance, which is jointly led by the Saudi Arabia and Russia, to review the oil market and adherence to existing supply restrictions.

Concern about a supply glut stemming from higher US inventories and another possible increase from Opec+ have hit oil prices in the international market.

Brent, the benchmark for two-thirds of the world's oil, was down 0.27 per cent to $66.81 a barrel on Friday. West Texas Intermediate, the gauge that tracks US crude, declined 0.36 per cent to $63.25 per barrel.

Opec+ is expected to consider raising oil production at its meeting on Sunday, sources familiar with the discussions told Reuters.

Responding to a question about Sunday's meeting, Somo Chief and Iraq's Opec representative Mr Al Shatri said attention was focused on balancing the market, whether through increases, maintaining current production, or cuts.

The group agreed to increase oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, following a 548,000 bpd rise in August and 411,000 bpd in May, June and July. Last week, US government data showed America's crude inventories grew by 2.4 million barrels.

The International Energy Agency has raised its forecast for oil supply growth this year after the decision by Opec+ to increase production, and lowered its demand forecast due to lacklustre demand across the major economies.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: September 06, 2025, 4:48 PM