Britain’s embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer has vowed to have interest rates lowered, as he seeks to shore up business confidence to help drive the economy forward.
Days after the UK budget was delivered, Mr Starmer made a speech on Monday in which he promised to drive down inflation to spur growth in the economy, something he admitted was “not easy”.
“The most important thing that we can do for growth, the most important thing that we can do for business, is first to drive inflation down so that interest rates come down further still, and the cost of business investment comes down with it,” he said.
This was key to “retain market confidence” that would lead to economic stability “so that businesses can plan with certainty”, he told the audience at a community centre in Southwark, south London.
Mr Starmer also argued that last week’s tax and spend budget, which has been shaken by controversy and chaos, made necessary choices that were “fundamentally good for growth”.
Interest rates in the UK are not set by the prime minister. Instead, decisions are taken by the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England, which meets every six weeks and has a primary goal to meet the government's inflation target of 2 per cent. Inflation currently stands at 3.6 per cent.
Mr Starmer made the speech as his Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, is embroiled in controversy after she was accused of lying by failing to disclose that public finances had significantly improved in the run-up to her budget last Wednesday.
Mr Starmer said there was "no misleading” on the state of the country's finances. Critics have said cabinet members and the public were lied to when Ms Reeves said last month that there was a "black hole" in the public finances, despite the Office for Budget Responsibility saying it told her the shortfall was smaller than first expected.
While Mr Starmer rebutted the accusations that she lied, he admitted publicly for the first time that he considered breaking Labour’s manifesto pledge not to increase income tax. “There was a point at which we thought, myself included, that we might have to reach for a manifesto breach of some significance," he said.
Ms Reeves later told the BBC that she did not tell the cabinet of the more positive forecasts from the OBR, saying “you would never expect the Prime Minister and Chancellor to go through all the detailed numbers”. Despite her comments, her position appears to have been weakened by the controversy, with several opposition figures calling for her to be sacked.
But taking a more optimistic tone, Mr Starmer also set out his plans for the coming years that would address deregulation, European ties and an overhaul of welfare programmes. He argued that Britain needed to “get closer” to the EU, with a hint that his government could yet seek some new form of economic deal with the bloc.
“It is clear from all of the analysis that the [Brexit] deal that we’ve got has hurt our economy. That’s why we’ve rebuilt relations and reset relations with the EU and I’m proud that we’ve done that,” he said. “That is why we’re moving forward.”
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Favourite book: Anything by Sidney Sheldon.
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Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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What can victims do?
Always use only regulated platforms
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Warn others to prevent further harm
Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence
The years Ramadan fell in May