Palestinians celebrate the announcement of a ceasefire in Khan Younis. The Israeli war, classified by a UN commission of inquiry as a genocide, has killed more than 67,000 Palestinians, the majority of them civilians. EPA
Palestinians celebrate the announcement of a ceasefire in Khan Younis. The Israeli war, classified by a UN commission of inquiry as a genocide, has killed more than 67,000 Palestinians, the majority of them civilians. EPA
Palestinians celebrate the announcement of a ceasefire in Khan Younis. The Israeli war, classified by a UN commission of inquiry as a genocide, has killed more than 67,000 Palestinians, the majority of them civilians. EPA
Palestinians celebrate the announcement of a ceasefire in Khan Younis. The Israeli war, classified by a UN commission of inquiry as a genocide, has killed more than 67,000 Palestinians, the majority o


There is no victory, only relief, in this Gaza deal


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October 09, 2025

Both sides will insist they’ve won. That’s a Middle East classic in war. But the truth is less flattering: militarily, diplomatically and strategically, Israel is weaker and Hamas is in survival mode.

Two years and two days after the Hamas attacks of October 7, the region has spent lives and resources only for the war to end up exactly where it was always headed, back to the table, with arguments over timetables and logistics.

The ceasefire deal agreed to in Sharm El Sheikh potentially charts a critical path towards regional stability, creating space for a broader, more comprehensive agreement – one that could eventually draw in all the long-standing power players, including Iran.

For now, though, the main political verdict is unmistakable: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his country’s wars across the region have failed to “change the face of the Middle East” in the way his extremist government had claimed it would.

Mr Netanyahu, who has spent 24 months trying to claim victories to erase his failure to prevent the Hamas attacks, sought to cast Israel as the region’s policeman, authorising cross-border strikes and setting new precedents. Yet, he found no strategic finish line, and the result is Israel’s longest war, seemingly ending with fewer options, more critics and a diplomatic landing.

His vision of a “little Sparta” turned into something closer to a little North Korea: feared, increasingly isolated, and nearly a pariah. The deal, now approved, is not the transformative victory he promised. It’s a managed climb-down through a ceasefire, hostage-prisoner swaps, Hamas’s gradual disarmament and an interim international administration for Gaza.

The toll in Gaza tells its own story. Tens of thousands are dead; many more are wounded and entire neighbourhoods have been erased. The scale of loss is beyond imagination. Hospitals are hollowed out, families are scattered in tents and ruins, and an entire generation will spend many of its years ahead among rubble.

The Israeli war, classified by a UN commission of inquiry as a genocide, has killed almost 67,200 Palestinians, the majority of them civilians. That’s nearly 55 Palestinians for every Israeli killed on October 7. According to Israeli army intelligence leaks, the stated aim was to kill at least 50 Palestinians for each Israeli as a “message” to future generations, both Palestinian and Israeli. That is not victory; it is a level of devastation that will echo for decades inside Israel itself.

For Israel, the choice is starker than its right-wing politics will admit. It can pocket a tactical pause and reload, or it can finally trade land and illusions for borders and normality through accepting the two-state solution as the only path forward

Israel’s attempt to redraw deterrence elsewhere through force and to rewrite the rules of engagement has also revealed its limits. Yes, Hezbollah has been bloodied; yes, Iran tasted direct confrontation; yes, the Houthis were punished. But the pain delivered was not a knockdown. The northern front ended in a ceasefire, and Hezbollah is still breathing. Iran’s other networks have been bent, not broken. And as the conflict dragged on, Israel’s diplomatic isolation deepened.

Everything Mr Netanyahu claimed to have changed now looks temporary.

The absence of strategy alone didn’t bring us here. Israel’s failed attempt to assassinate Hamas’s top leadership in Doha was one of the main turning points that shifted calculations. Arab capitals have applied real pressure, insisting that any “day after” must serve prosperity, not vengeance. Qatar and Egypt have carried the mediation burden. The UAE has made clear that annexation is a dead end, and other Gulf partners have signalled that normalisation depends on political realism. The message finally sunk in that there will be no regional order built on permanent siege and collective punishment.

Now comes the essential work. How to disarm Hamas? When and how will Israeli forces withdraw? Who secures the crossings, pays the salaries and signs the reconstruction bills? On paper, it’s all there. In practice, it will be a trench war of diplomacy if the guns stay silent.

A man celebrates the peace deal at Hostages Square in Tel Aviv. EPA
A man celebrates the peace deal at Hostages Square in Tel Aviv. EPA

For Palestinians, this is both a sliver of opportunity and a mountain of responsibility. Whatever system emerges in Gaza must be legitimate enough to govern, disciplined enough to maintain order amid the threat of emerging gangs and militias, and representative enough to bridge the gap with the occupied West Bank. The US proposal outlines a path towards recognised Palestinian statehood, in writing, and it should not be taken lightly.

For Israel, the choice is starker than its right-wing politics will admit. It can pocket a tactical pause and reload, or it can finally trade land and illusions for borders and normality through accepting the two-state solution as the only path forward.

As for the region, the main lesson is obvious. The countries that thrive next will be those that build prosperity faster than they instigate wars. That is the change the face of the Middle East requires.

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Why it pays to compare

A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.

Route 1: bank transfer

The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.

Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount

Total received: €4,670.30 

Route 2: online platform

The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.

Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction

Total received: €4,756

The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Muslim Council of Elders condemns terrorism on religious sites

The Muslim Council of Elders has strongly condemned the criminal attacks on religious sites in Britain.

It firmly rejected “acts of terrorism, which constitute a flagrant violation of the sanctity of houses of worship”.

“Attacking places of worship is a form of terrorism and extremism that threatens peace and stability within societies,” it said.

The council also warned against the rise of hate speech, racism, extremism and Islamophobia. It urged the international community to join efforts to promote tolerance and peaceful coexistence.

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UK’s AI plan
  • AI ambassadors such as MIT economist Simon Johnson, Monzo cofounder Tom Blomfield and Google DeepMind’s Raia Hadsell
  • £10bn AI growth zone in South Wales to create 5,000 jobs
  • £100m of government support for startups building AI hardware products
  • £250m to train new AI models
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
 
Started: 2020
 
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
 
Based: Dubai, UAE
 
Sector: Entertainment 
 
Number of staff: 210 
 
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
THE BIO:

Favourite holiday destination: Thailand. I go every year and I’m obsessed with the fitness camps there.

Favourite book: Born to Run by Christopher McDougall. It’s an amazing story about barefoot running.

Favourite film: A League of their Own. I used to love watching it in my granny’s house when I was seven.

Personal motto: Believe it and you can achieve it.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: October 10, 2025, 4:20 AM