Prime Minister Boris Johnson, right, and his fiancee Carrie Symonds leave after casting their vote at Methodist Central Hall, central London, Thursday May 6, 2021. AP
Prime Minister Boris Johnson, right, and his fiancee Carrie Symonds leave after casting their vote at Methodist Central Hall, central London, Thursday May 6, 2021. AP
Prime Minister Boris Johnson, right, and his fiancee Carrie Symonds leave after casting their vote at Methodist Central Hall, central London, Thursday May 6, 2021. AP
Prime Minister Boris Johnson, right, and his fiancee Carrie Symonds leave after casting their vote at Methodist Central Hall, central London, Thursday May 6, 2021. AP

Britain counts votes in major election test for Boris Johnson


Soraya Ebrahimi
  • English
  • Arabic

Voting has finished in crucial British elections set to shape the future of the UK, in the first electoral test for Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s government since the coronavirus pandemic struck.

Counting of ballot papers will take place over the coming days in contests for the parliaments of Scotland and Wales, the Mayor of London and English local councils.

The first high-profile result is likely to be from the north-east England town of Hartlepool, where a special election was held for a seat in the UK Parliament.

The contest for the “Super Thursday” votes, the biggest election day outside a general election, is challenging for Mr Johnson and his main rival, Labour Party leader Sir Keir Starmer.

The prime minister has been fighting claims of "sleaze" in recent weeks, ranging from accusations that he failed to comply with rules over political donations, to allegations of cronyism and incompetence in his handling of the pandemic.

The Tories have generally been ahead of Labour in recent national polls, buoyed by the government’s vaccine successes.

But Mr Johnson’s lead narrowed last weekend after official inquiries were launched into his actions.

National polls are an unreliable guide to local elections, and turnout may be skewed if voters stay home due to the pandemic.

For Mr Starmer, one year into his job as leader of the opposition, the elections are also fraught with danger.

A poor set of results is likely to bring questions over whether he is the right person to rescue Labour, which has not won a general election since Tony Blair’s last victory in 2005.

In Scotland, a strong victory for the pro-independence Scottish National Party of Nicola Sturgeon would reignite the debate over whether the country should hold another independence referendum.

Here’s a guide to where the elections are happening and what’s at stake:

Hartlepool

The only parliamentary district up for grabs, Hartlepool has voted for a Labour MP every time since the seat’s creation in 1974.

But polling in recent weeks suggests the Conservatives are on the verge of winning this by-election in an area that backed Brexit by 70 per cent in 2016.

It is rare for a governing party to gain a seat at a by-election, so a victory for the Tories would be a major coup for Mr Johnson.

Scotland

One issue dominates elections to the Scottish Parliament: independence.

Ms Sturgeon’s SNP has been in power for 14 years, yet the focus is not on its record running the government in Edinburgh but whether Scotland, which voted against Brexit, has the right to another referendum on leaving the UK.

Polls show the SNP is set for a big win again, so all eyes are on the margin of victory in the 129-member parliament.

The pro-independence Greens are tipped to do well and a Parliament dominated by breakaway parties would increase calls for a referendum. Mr Johnson has so far refused to grant one.

For Mr Starmer, recovering some of Labour’s losses in Scotland would be a welcome signal that he really has a chance of ousting the Tories in the next general election.

Labour’s new leader in Scotland, Anas Sarwar, is aiming to supplant the Conservatives as the biggest opposition party to the SNP.

Wales

Voters in Wales, who are electing the 60 members of the Senedd, the Welsh parliament, will give their verdict on First Minister Mark Drakeford’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic.

Welsh Labour, which has been polling ahead of the Conservatives, has 29 seats and governs with the help of some opposition politicians.

The pro-independence Plaid Cymru has 10 seats and is looking to capitalise on a recent increase in support for breaking away from the rest of the UK.

England

Contests are taking place to elect about 5,000 representatives in 143 local council areas around the country, and 13 directly elected mayors.

These councils have power over local matters ranging from schooling to sports facilities, libraries and taxes on business and domestic properties.

Among councils up for election this time, 47 are controlled by the Tories, 54 by Labour and six by the Liberal Democrats.

London

Labour’s Sadiq Khan is seeking another term as Mayor of the UK capital, and past polls have put him well ahead of any other candidate in the 20-strong field.

Despite the Conservatives’ popular brand nationally, Labour retains majority support in London.

More on UK elections

Red no longer: Hartlepool poised to abandon Labour to hand Boris Johnson a landmark election triumph

The 'Carrie Antoinette' scandal over the Downing St flat could be all in the genes

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

How to keep control of your emotions

If your investment decisions are being dictated by emotions such as fear, greed, hope, frustration and boredom, it is time for a rethink, Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at online trading platform IG, says.

Greed

Greedy investors trade beyond their means, open more positions than usual or hold on to positions too long to chase an even greater gain. “All too often, they incur a heavy loss and may even wipe out the profit already made.

Tip: Ignore the short-term hype, noise and froth and invest for the long-term plan, based on sound fundamentals.

Fear

The risk of making a loss can cloud decision-making. “This can cause you to close out a position too early, or miss out on a profit by being too afraid to open a trade,” he says.

Tip: Start with a plan, and stick to it. For added security, consider placing stops to reduce any losses and limits to lock in profits.

Hope

While all traders need hope to start trading, excessive optimism can backfire. Too many traders hold on to a losing trade because they believe that it will reverse its trend and become profitable.

Tip: Set realistic goals. Be happy with what you have earned, rather than frustrated by what you could have earned.

Frustration

Traders can get annoyed when the markets have behaved in unexpected ways and generates losses or fails to deliver anticipated gains.

Tip: Accept in advance that asset price movements are completely unpredictable and you will suffer losses at some point. These can be managed, say, by attaching stops and limits to your trades.

Boredom

Too many investors buy and sell because they want something to do. They are trading as entertainment, rather than in the hope of making money. As well as making bad decisions, the extra dealing charges eat into returns.

Tip: Open an online demo account and get your thrills without risking real money.

Sole survivors
  • Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
  • George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
  • Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
  • Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
What can you do?

Document everything immediately; including dates, times, locations and witnesses

Seek professional advice from a legal expert

You can report an incident to HR or an immediate supervisor

You can use the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation’s dedicated hotline

In criminal cases, you can contact the police for additional support

THE BIO

Born: Mukalla, Yemen, 1979

Education: UAE University, Al Ain

Family: Married with two daughters: Asayel, 7, and Sara, 6

Favourite piece of music: Horse Dance by Naseer Shamma

Favourite book: Science and geology

Favourite place to travel to: Washington DC

Best advice you’ve ever been given: If you have a dream, you have to believe it, then you will see it.

The biog

Name: Fareed Lafta

Age: 40

From: Baghdad, Iraq

Mission: Promote world peace

Favourite poet: Al Mutanabbi

Role models: His parents 

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

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