Scottish National Party leader and Nicola Sturgeon sets out the case for a second referendum on Scottish independence last month as polls show growing support for a vote. AFP
Scottish National Party leader and Nicola Sturgeon sets out the case for a second referendum on Scottish independence last month as polls show growing support for a vote. AFP
Scottish National Party leader and Nicola Sturgeon sets out the case for a second referendum on Scottish independence last month as polls show growing support for a vote. AFP
Scottish National Party leader and Nicola Sturgeon sets out the case for a second referendum on Scottish independence last month as polls show growing support for a vote. AFP

Movement for Scottish independence gathers pace


Thomas Harding
  • English
  • Arabic

The damage caused by Brexit and the pandemic to Britain’s unity is highlighted by a poll that shows growing support for Scotland and Northern Ireland to break away from the UK.

The Scottish National Party has suggested going ahead with a “wildcat” independence referendum.

The polling in the four-country survey also shows that the sense of British identity is disintegrating.

It appears that Brexit and the UK government’s poor handling of the pandemic are driving Scotland from Westminster rule.

The survey revealed 53 per cent of Scots would vote to rejoin the EU, with 31 per cent against.

By contrast, in England voters opposed a return to the bloc by a margin of 42 per cent to 40 per cent.

But separate polling shows the SNP is on course for a landslide win in elections in the devolved Scottish Parliament in May.

That could lead to party leader and First Minister Nicola Sturgeon going ahead with a referendum regardless of Westminster’s authority.

A debate is under way as to whether such a referendum would be legal.

British law states that Scotland can only call a referendum if allowed by the Westminster Parliament.

Downing Street has insisted that the question of Scottish independence was resolved in the 2014 referendum in which 55 per cent voted in favour of maintaining the 300-year-old union.

"Now more than ever, we should be pulling together to strengthen our United Kingdom, instead of trying to separate it,” the British government said.

The survey found that people in the UK expect Scotland to leave the union within 10 years – and 47 per cent of Scots are in favour of independence, with 44 per cent against.

Meanwhile, the survey on Northern Ireland showed that most wanted a referendum on a union with the Republic of Ireland within the next five years, by 51 per cent to 44 per cent.

The number of people in favour of a united Ireland has increased to 42 per cent, with most under 45s in the province wanting unification.

YouGov, which conducted surveys in Wales and England, found that support for Welsh independence has grown to 23 per cent, a significant increase of more than five percentage points from five years ago.

The survey in Scotland was conducted by Panelbase, while LucidTalk undertook the poll in Northern Ireland.

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1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

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Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

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Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

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Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

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Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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