Egypt court to decide runners in divisive poll runoff



CAIRO // Egypt's top court was today reviewing a law that could bar one of the hopefuls in a tense presidential election runoff, in a new twist to an already tumultuous transition from Hosni Mubarak's rule.

The Supreme Constitutional Court was looking into the legality of the political isolation law which bars senior officials of the Mubarak regime and top members of his now-dissolved National Democratic Party from standing for public office for 10 years.

The law applies to those who served in the 10 years prior to Mubarak's ouster on February 11, 2011 after an 18-day popular uprising.

If approved, the legislation will mean disqualification for Ahmed Shafiq, Mubarak's last prime minister, who faces Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohammed Mursi in a runoff on Saturday.

Outside the court in the south Cairo neighbourhood of Maadi, around 100 protesters -- surrounded by police -- chanted slogans against Shafiq, demanding the application of the law.

"The people want the exclusion of the remnants of the old regime," the demonstrators shouted.

At today's hearing, the court will also examine a High Administrative Court appeal over the constitutionality of aspects of a law governing parliamentary elections between November and February that saw Islamists score a crushing victory.

The ruling military, which took power when Mubarak was toppled, decided on a complex electoral system in which voters cast ballots for party lists, that made up two thirds of parliament, and also for individual candidates for the remaining third of the lower house.

The individual candidates were first meant to be "independents" but members of political parties were subsequently allowed to run for those seats, giving the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party an advantage. That decision is being challenged in court.

If the voting system is found illegal, Egytians will have to elect a new parliament.

"I reject Shafiq and Mursi, and if the court lets Shafiq stand or if there is a referendum on Mursi, we will go back to Tahrir," the epicentre of protests that toppled Mubarak, said writer Samara Sultan, 30, outside the court.

"We want the court to fix the parliament and the only way to do that is to repeat (the election)," she said.

Ahmed Said, a filmmaker from Cairo, said parliament was "full of people who use religion and don't care about Egypt. We need people who can make a new Egypt.

"The elections were a fraud and we need the court to order them to be repeated. Shafiq is like Mubarak and we will never accept him," he said.

Mr Shafiq was initially barred from standing in the election in accordance with the law passed by the Islamist-dominated parliament in April.

But in late April the electoral commission accepted an appeal from Shafiq against his disqualification and the case was referred to the court.

Today, the Supreme Constitutional Court will first examine whether the electoral body had the right to refer the case, and if so, will then look into the legality of the text.

The hearing comes just two days before the landmark presidential election runoff to choose a successor for Mubarak.

In the first round of voting on May 23-24 -- which saw 13 candidates compete for the top job -- Mursi won 24.7 percent of the vote, slightly ahead of Shafiq's 23.6 percent.

The race has polarised the nation between those who fear a return to the old regime under Mr Shafiq's leadership and those wanting to keep religion out of politics and who accuse the Muslim Brotherhood -- which already dominates parliament -- of monopolising power since last year's revolt.

The next president will inherit a struggling economy, deteriorating security and the challenge of uniting a nation divided by the uprising and its sometimes deadly aftermath, but his powers are yet to be defined by a new constitution.

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Arrizabalaga, Bettinelli, Rudiger, Christensen, Silva, Chalobah, Sarr, Azpilicueta, James, Kenedy, Alonso, Jorginho, Kante, Kovacic, Saul, Barkley, Ziyech, Pulisic, Mount, Hudson-Odoi, Werner, Havertz, Lukaku. 

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Stars: Cate Blanchett, Kevin Kline, Lesley Manville 

Rating: 4/5

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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