Iran signalled yesterday that it would reconsider a deal to defuse the increasingly tense stand-off over its nuclear programme - while simultaneously demonstrating its military capabilities with new war games in the Arabian Gulf.
The contrasting messages were typical of an opaque regime, torn by internal dissent, that is both paranoid and defiant, analysts said.
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Iranian president, agreed "in principle" to Brazilian mediation to resurrect an eight-month-old, United Nations-brokered uranium swap accord, his website said.
Further "technical details" are to be discussed when Brazil's president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, visits Tehran on May 15, Iranian media reported.
A sceptical West, however, will suspect that Tehran's renewed interest in the stalled deal is an attempt to split the UN Security Council, where the United States, Britain and France are pressing for a fourth set of sanctions against Iran, experts said.
Meir Javedanfar, an Iranian-born analyst based in Israel and co-author of The Nuclear Sphinx of Tehran, said: "It's organised chaos, a smokescreen to keep the Americans guessing what Iran's going to do.By involving the Brazilians, they're trying to push away the prospect of sanctions."
Mr Ahmadinejad's purportedly new interest in a nuclear compromise follows his acrimonious exchange of insults with the US at Monday's opening of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) conference in New York.
Such public bluster was expected, however. What happened behind the scenes of the month-long global gathering would be more important, analysts said.
Under October's nuclear fuel swap accord - initially accepted and then rejected by Iran - Tehran would send the bulk of its low-enriched uranium stockpile to Russia and France for further refinement into fuel rods that Tehran says it needs urgently for a medical research reactor.
The deal is essentially a confidence-building measure that would delay by several months Tehran's potential to build a nuclear bomb, nuclear analysts have said.
The accord broke down when Iran insisted that the swap took place on its territory and only in small, phased amounts.
The key to a breakthrough is whether Iran agrees to the fuel exchange taking place in a third country, such as Brazil or Turkey. Both oppose new sanctions against Iran, are non-permanent members of the UN Security Council, and have good relations with Tehran and Washington.
"Iran is going for the biggest player in the Islamic world, which is Turkey, and the biggest economy in Latin America, which is Brazil," Mr Javedanfar said in an interview.
Barack Obama, the US president, would "be in trouble" if he rejected a deal that required Iran to export 75 per cent of its low-enriched uranium to Brazil, where it would be monitored by nuclear inspectors, Mr Javedanfar said.
The West suspects Iran's nuclear programme is aimed at creating weapons, while Tehran insists it is designed only to produce clean energy, enabling it to conserve its oil deposits for export.
The tentative diplomacy is taking place against the backdrop of Iran's second display of muscle-flexing in less than a month in the Arabian Gulf.
The war games, due to last eight days, are being conducted by the regular Iranian navy to demonstrate Iran's "defensive and deterrent" power to the country's "enemies", military commanders said.
The manoeuvres come days after Iran's Revolutionary Guard staged similar exercises in the Strait of Hormuz - through which about 40 per cent of the world's traded oil and gas leaves the Gulf region.
Iranian officials repeatedly have made clear that the message behind such war games is that Iran would choke off the narrow bottleneck if attacked by the US or Israel.
Most analysts, however, played down the significance of Iran's latest show of military bravado.
Richard Dalton, Britain's former ambassador to Tehran, said: "There's some political signalling involved ? about national strength and preparedness and ability to retaliate, but then one hears such things in all their speeches."
Scott Lucas, a professor of American Studies at Birmingham University in the UK, agreed. "I don't think the Americans are going to take this as anything more than a posture." But it was unclear whether such posturing was aimed at an external or domestic audience, he said.
The Iranian regime is bracing for June's first anniversary of Mr Ahmadinejad's disputed re-election. After a subdued profile since February, Iran's opposition's figureheads have in recent weeks become more defiantly outspoken than ever.
The war games help the regime to "stoke up the idea that all of Iran's problems are due to foreign instigation rather than an internal issue", Professor Lucas said. "At the same time, it projects the notion of strength to their own people."
@Email:mtheodoulou@thenational.ae
COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
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Keane on …
Liverpool’s Uefa Champions League bid: “They’re great. With the attacking force they have, for me, they’re certainly one of the favourites. You look at the teams left in it - they’re capable of scoring against anybody at any given time. Defensively they’ve been good, so I don’t see any reason why they couldn’t go on and win it.”
Mohamed Salah’s debut campaign at Anfield: “Unbelievable. He’s been phenomenal. You can name the front three, but for him on a personal level, he’s been unreal. He’s been great to watch and hopefully he can continue now until the end of the season - which I’m sure he will, because he’s been in fine form. He’s been incredible this season.”
Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s instant impact at former club LA Galaxy: “Brilliant. It’s been a great start for him and for the club. They were crying out for another big name there. They were lacking that, for the prestige of LA Galaxy. And now they have one of the finest stars. I hope they can go win something this year.”
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How to help
Donate towards food and a flight by transferring money to this registered charity's account.
Account name: Dar Al Ber Society
Account Number: 11 530 734
IBAN: AE 9805 000 000 000 11 530 734
Bank Name: Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank
To ensure that your contribution reaches these people, please send the copy of deposit/transfer receipt to: juhi.khan@daralber.ae
Tips to keep your car cool
- Place a sun reflector in your windshield when not driving
- Park in shaded or covered areas
- Add tint to windows
- Wrap your car to change the exterior colour
- Pick light interiors - choose colours such as beige and cream for seats and dashboard furniture
- Avoid leather interiors as these absorb more heat
In numbers: China in Dubai
The number of Chinese people living in Dubai: An estimated 200,000
Number of Chinese people in International City: Almost 50,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2018/19: 120,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2010: 20,000
Percentage increase in visitors in eight years: 500 per cent
How they line up for Sunday's Australian Grand Prix
1 Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes
2 Kimi Raikkonen, Ferrari
3 Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari
4 Max Verstappen, Red Bull
5 Kevin Magnussen, Haas
6 Romain Grosjean, Haas
7 Nico Hulkenberg, Renault
*8 Daniel Ricciardo, Red Bull
9 Carlos Sainz, Renault
10 Valtteri Bottas, Mercedes
11 Fernando Alonso, McLaren
12 Stoffel Vandoorne, McLaren
13 Sergio Perez, Force India
14 Lance Stroll, Williams
15 Esteban Ocon, Force India
16 Brendon Hartley, Toro Rosso
17 Marcus Ericsson, Sauber
18 Charles Leclerc, Sauber
19 Sergey Sirotkin, Williams
20 Pierre Gasly, Toro Rosso
* Daniel Ricciardo qualified fifth but had a three-place grid penalty for speeding in red flag conditions during practice
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The five pillars of Islam
Farasan Boat: 128km Away from Anchorage
Director: Mowaffaq Alobaid
Stars: Abdulaziz Almadhi, Mohammed Al Akkasi, Ali Al Suhaibani
Rating: 4/5
TV (UAE time);
OSN Sports: from 10am
Where to buy art books in the UAE
There are a number of speciality art bookshops in the UAE.
In Dubai, The Lighthouse at Dubai Design District has a wonderfully curated selection of art and design books. Alserkal Avenue runs a pop-up shop at their A4 space, and host the art-book fair Fully Booked during Art Week in March. The Third Line, also in Alserkal Avenue, has a strong book-publishing arm and sells copies at its gallery. Kinokuniya, at Dubai Mall, has some good offerings within its broad selection, and you never know what you will find at the House of Prose in Jumeirah. Finally, all of Gulf Photo Plus’s photo books are available for sale at their show.
In Abu Dhabi, Louvre Abu Dhabi has a beautiful selection of catalogues and art books, and Magrudy’s – across the Emirates, but particularly at their NYU Abu Dhabi site – has a great selection in art, fiction and cultural theory.
In Sharjah, the Sharjah Art Museum sells catalogues and art books at its museum shop, and the Sharjah Art Foundation has a bookshop that offers reads on art, theory and cultural history.
How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
Profile box
Company name: baraka
Started: July 2020
Founders: Feras Jalbout and Kunal Taneja
Based: Dubai and Bahrain
Sector: FinTech
Initial investment: $150,000
Current staff: 12
Stage: Pre-seed capital raising of $1 million
Investors: Class 5 Global, FJ Labs, IMO Ventures, The Community Fund, VentureSouq, Fox Ventures, Dr Abdulla Elyas (private investment)
FIXTURES
Monday, January 28
Iran v Japan, Hazza bin Zayed Stadium (6pm)
Tuesday, January 29
UAEv Qatar, Mohamed Bin Zayed Stadium (6pm)
Friday, February 1
Final, Zayed Sports City Stadium (6pm)
The biog
First Job: Abu Dhabi Department of Petroleum in 1974
Current role: Chairperson of Al Maskari Holding since 2008
Career high: Regularly cited on Forbes list of 100 most powerful Arab Businesswomen
Achievement: Helped establish Al Maskari Medical Centre in 1969 in Abu Dhabi’s Western Region
Future plan: Will now concentrate on her charitable work
Sour%20Grapes
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The specs
Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
Transmission: seven-speed
Power: 620bhp
Torque: 760Nm
Price: Dh898,000
On sale: now
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Abu Dhabi traffic facts
Drivers in Abu Dhabi spend 10 per cent longer in congested conditions than they would on a free-flowing road
The highest volume of traffic on the roads is found between 7am and 8am on a Sunday.
Travelling before 7am on a Sunday could save up to four hours per year on a 30-minute commute.
The day was the least congestion in Abu Dhabi in 2019 was Tuesday, August 13.
The highest levels of traffic were found on Sunday, November 10.
Drivers in Abu Dhabi lost 41 hours spent in traffic jams in rush hour during 2019
Aquaman%20and%20the%20Lost%20Kingdom
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Results
5pm: Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 1,400m; Winner: Faiza, Sandro Paiva (jockey), Ali Rashid Al Raihe (trainer).
5.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh90,000 1,400m; Winner: Greeley, Connor Beasley, Helal Al Alawi.
6pm: Emirates Fillies Classic Prestige (PA) Dh100,000 1,600m; Winner: Marzaga, Jim Crowley, Ana Mendez.
6.30pm: Emirates Colts Classic Prestige (PA) Dh100,000 1,600m; Winner: Jawaal, Jim Crowley, Majed Al Jahouri.
7pm: Wathba Stallions Cup Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 1,600m; Winner: AF Ashras, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel.
7.30pm: Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 2,200m; Winner: Somoud, Richard Mullen, Ahmed Al Mehairbi.
The Sky Is Pink
Director: Shonali Bose
Cast: Priyanka Chopra Jonas, Farhan Akhtar, Zaira Wasim, Rohit Saraf
Three stars
The specs
Engine: 3.0-litre six-cylinder turbo
Power: 398hp from 5,250rpm
Torque: 580Nm at 1,900-4,800rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed auto
Fuel economy, combined: 6.5L/100km
On sale: December
Price: From Dh330,000 (estimate)
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If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.
How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
'My Son'
Director: Christian Carion
Starring: James McAvoy, Claire Foy, Tom Cullen, Gary Lewis
Rating: 2/5
Walls
Louis Tomlinson
3 out of 5 stars
(Syco Music/Arista Records)