An Iranian man reads a newspaper with a pictures of Iranian president Hassan Rouhani and US President Donald Trump on its front page in Tehran, Iran, 9 April 2019. EPA
An Iranian man reads a newspaper with a pictures of Iranian president Hassan Rouhani and US President Donald Trump on its front page in Tehran, Iran, 9 April 2019. EPA
An Iranian man reads a newspaper with a pictures of Iranian president Hassan Rouhani and US President Donald Trump on its front page in Tehran, Iran, 9 April 2019. EPA
An Iranian man reads a newspaper with a pictures of Iranian president Hassan Rouhani and US President Donald Trump on its front page in Tehran, Iran, 9 April 2019. EPA

US decision on Revolutionary Guards raises risk of military confrontation


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Beneath the US decision to designate Iran's Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist organisation is a much bigger battle: the proxy wars of the Middle East.

The current state of the region is largely a consequence of the US decision to invade Iraq in 2003. The Sunni-led dictatorship of Saddam Hussein fell quickly.

But conventional fighting did not end, and instead spiralled into a sectarian battlefield with hundreds of thousands of Iraqis and more than 4,000 American forces killed.

The Shiite leadership that replaced Saddam was a gift to Iran, allowing it to become the foreign power with most influence in Baghdad. Not foreseeing that was arguably the biggest mistake of many among those who planned the invasion.

Iran, as a neighbouring state, intervened at marginal cost. The US on the other hand has endured 16 years of irretrievable costs in Iraq.

Even now the bill is open-ended. The US embassy in Baghdad – the largest diplomatic mission in the world – has had as many as 16,000 staff and contractors spread over 40 hectares acres behind large walls.

Such expense was part of the reason that Donald Trump, as a presidential candidate in 2016, vowed to pull US forces out of the Middle East.

Three years later his aggressive stance against Iran, calibrated to reverse its sprawling activity, could end up pulling America deeper into the region.

The unprecedented designation of the Guards has raised the stakes at a time when the region has fragmented into a complicated patchwork of alliances.

The civil war in neighbouring Syria was in many ways a mirror image of what had happened in Iraq. A regime that leant towards Tehran did not break and now has the upper hand, having crushed rebel forces.

What President Bashar Al Assad lacks but desperately wants is full control of Syrian sovereign territory, leaving open the chances of a diplomatic settlement while at least some American troops remain.

Mr Trump's recent designation has the intention of curbing Iran's involvement in Syria and beyond but it is hard to see how he can do so without raising the risk to his own forces.

His gamble is that America's adversary will back off but history provides many examples to the contrary.

Israel, the main US ally in the region, is already hitting Iranian military targets in Syria. That low-level, sporadic engagement could intensify if Mr Trump's gambit does not work. So what could happen?

Diplomatic channels appear to be closed. The battle between Washington and Tehran is being played out in the open. US sanctions have been met by Iran's counter designation of the US Central Command as a terrorist entity.

The 5,200 American forces in Iraq as military trainers and advisers have a significant footprint.

Attacked in the past by Shiite militias, the US president's stance against their predominantly Iranian backers risks shattering the status quo in which American troops are not yet targets.

Those militias know where US personnel are stationed and could strike their positions. Iraq's politicians, who were previously a liaison point between America and Iran, appear to be bystanders, albeit interested ones.

While Iraqi governments in recent years have considered a US force desirable, particularly after the disaster where ISIS overran local forces in 2014, leaders in Baghdad are listening to Iran more than they are America.

Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi recently visited Tehran and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani made a reciprocal trip to Baghdad.

Mr Trump did not venture to the Iraqi capital after visiting US troops at Ain Al Assad Air Base, only about 180 kilometres to the west, in December.

The president's designation of the IRGC was also a rejection of Pentagon and CIA guidance. Both believed it would raise risks for US personnel.

But now that the decision has been taken Mr Trump is moving into a new phase of involvement in the Middle East. His military planners will be preparing a response to any attacks on its forces in Iraq or Syria.

Just as Shiite militias know where US forces are stationed, so does the Pentagon know where its adversaries are based.

Any strikes by one on the other are likely to be matched.

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All times UAE ( 4 GMT)

Saturday
West Ham United v Tottenham Hotspur (3.30pm)
Burnley v Huddersfield Town (7pm)
Everton v Bournemouth (7pm)
Manchester City v Crystal Palace (7pm)
Southampton v Manchester United (7pm)
Stoke City v Chelsea (7pm)
Swansea City v Watford (7pm)
Leicester City v Liverpool (8.30pm)

Sunday
Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United (7pm)

Monday
Arsenal v West Bromwich Albion (11pm)

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How many games the top 10 have undertaken in the 2017 ATP season

1. Rafael Nadal 58 (49-9)

2. Andy Murray 35 (25-10)

3. Roger Federer 38 (35-3)

4. Stan Wawrinka 37 (26-11)

5. Novak Djokovic 40 (32-8)

6. Alexander Zverev 60 (46-14)

7. Marin Cilic 43 (29-14)

8. Dominic Thiem 60 (41-19)

9. Grigor Dimitrov 48 (34-14)

10. Kei Nishikori 43 (30-13)

Fitness problems in men's tennis

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Novak Djokovic - elbow

Roger Federer - back

Stan Wawrinka - knee

Kei Nishikori - wrist

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Schedule:

Pakistan v Sri Lanka:
28 Sep-2 Oct, 1st Test, Abu Dhabi
6-10 Oct, 2nd Test (day-night), Dubai
13 Oct, 1st ODI, Dubai
16 Oct, 2nd ODI, Abu Dhabi
18 Oct, 3rd ODI, Abu Dhabi
20 Oct, 4th ODI, Sharjah
23 Oct, 5th ODI, Sharjah
26 Oct, 1st T20I, Abu Dhabi
27 Oct, 2nd T20I, Abu Dhabi
29 Oct, 3rd T20I, Lahore

ASHES SCHEDULE

First Test
November 23-27 (The Gabba, Brisbane)
Second Test
December 2-6 (Adelaide Oval, Adelaide)
Third Test
December 14-18 (Waca Ground, Perth)
Fourth Test
December 26-30 (Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne)
Fifth Test
January 4-8, 2018 (Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney)

Sleep Well Beast
The National
4AD

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Andy Murray - hip

Novak Djokovic - elbow

Roger Federer - back

Stan Wawrinka - knee

Kei Nishikori - wrist

Marin Cilic - adductor

Arabian Gulf League fixtures:

Friday:

  • Emirates v Hatta, 5.15pm
  • Al Wahda v Al Dhafra, 5.25pm
  • Al Ain v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 8.15pm

Saturday:

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  • Sharjah v Al Wasl, 5.20pm
  • Al Jazira v Al Nasr, 8.15pm
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Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm

Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm

Transmission: 9-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km

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Twenty20 International series
Thu Oct 26, 1st T20I, Abu Dhabi
Fri Oct 27, 2nd T20I, Abu Dhabi
Sun Oct 29, 3rd T20I, Lahore

Tickets are available at www.q-tickets.com

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Stars: Adrien Brody, Felicity Jones, Guy Pearce, Joe Alwyn

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France, UK, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Malta, Luxembourg, San Marino and Andorra

 

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India
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New Zealand
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Vitamin D: Highly relevant in the UAE due to limited sun exposure; supports bone health, immunity and mood.Vitamin B12: Important for nerve health and energy production, especially for vegetarians, vegans and individuals with absorption issues.Iron: Useful only when deficiency or anaemia is confirmed; helps reduce fatigue and support immunity.Omega-3 (EPA/DHA): Supports heart health and reduces inflammation, especially for those who consume little fish.

The Bio

Name: Lynn Davison

Profession: History teacher at Al Yasmina Academy, Abu Dhabi

Children: She has one son, Casey, 28

Hometown: Pontefract, West Yorkshire in the UK

Favourite book: The Alchemist by Paulo Coelho

Favourite Author: CJ Sansom

Favourite holiday destination: Bali

Favourite food: A Sunday roast

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Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, Leon.

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

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Name: Sarah Al Senaani

Age: 35

Martial status: Married with three children - aged 8, 6 and 2

Education: Masters of arts in cultural communication and tourism

Favourite movie: Captain Corelli’s Mandolin

Favourite hobbies: Art and horseback ridding

Occupation: Communication specialist at a government agency and the owner of Atelier

Favourite cuisine: Definitely Emirati - harees is my favourite dish

Who was Alfred Nobel?

The Nobel Prize was created by wealthy Swedish chemist and entrepreneur Alfred Nobel.

  • In his will he dictated that the bulk of his estate should be used to fund "prizes to those who, during the preceding year, have conferred the greatest benefit to humankind".
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Director: Anurag Kashyap​​​​​​​
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Sarfraz Ahmed (captain), Fakhar Zaman, Ahmed Shahzad, Babar Azam, Shoaib Malik, Mohammed Hafeez, Imad Wasim, Shadab Khan, Mohammed Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Hasan Ali, Amir Yamin, Mohammed Amir (subject to fitness clearance), Rumman Raees, Usman Shinwari, Umar Amin

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The%20specs
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Native Invader
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