President Joe Biden told reporters the US did not want a more direct confrontation with Iran. AFP
President Joe Biden told reporters the US did not want a more direct confrontation with Iran. AFP
President Joe Biden told reporters the US did not want a more direct confrontation with Iran. AFP
President Joe Biden told reporters the US did not want a more direct confrontation with Iran. AFP

Biden determined to retaliate even as Iran-backed militia waves white flag


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Washington on Tuesday appeared primed to order retaliatory strikes against Iran-backed militias after three American troops were killed in Jordan.

That was despite one prominent Iraqi Shiite group ordering its forces to stop attacking US personnel.

President Joe Biden said he has decided how he will respond to Sunday's drone strike in north-east Jordan and blamed Iran for supplying weapons used in the attack.

Mr Biden did not go into details but stressed he did not want to see broader war in the region.

“I do hold [Tehran] responsible in the sense that they're supplying the weapons to the people who did it,” Mr Biden told reporters.

“I don’t think we need a wider war in the Middle East. That’s not what I’m looking for.”

The Islamic Resistance in Iraq, an umbrella title for pro-Iran groups, claimed responsibility for Sunday's attack that killed three US troops and injured about 40 when a drone struck the barracks of a remote base in Jordan.

Kataib Hezbollah, an armed group with close ties to Iran, has been the main focus of blame for the attack.

On Tuesday the group announced the suspension of all military operations against US troops in the region.

In a statement, the group said the decision had been made to prevent “embarrassment” to the Iraqi government.

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani is under intense domestic pressure to force US-led coalition forces to leave Iraq, a decade after their arrival to help fight ISIS.

Mr Al Sudani's critics say US strikes in Iraq are a breach of Iraqi sovereignty, so more action could undermine him.

Pentagon spokesman Maj Gen Pat Ryder appeared sceptical about the Kataib Hezbollah instruction for its fighters to stand down.

Maj Gen Ryder said there had been at least three other Iran-linked strikes in Iraq and Syria since Sunday's attack in Jordan, and more than 160 in recent months.

“Actions speak louder than words,” he told reporters.

He said Central Command is still assessing how the drone had passed US air defences around the Jordanian base.

Several US outlets have reported that it might have been misidentified as a returning US drone.

The attack marked the first time US personnel have been killed in an enemy strike in the region since the Israel-Gaza war began, marking a significant escalation.

It has also created another headache for Mr Biden, who is running for re-election.

Asked if a direct link to Iran has been established, he said: “We'll have that discussion.”

Iran has publicly denied involvement in the attack.

Maj Gen Ryder said he would not give clues as to any future US military operation, but stressed: “There will be consequences."

The Biden administration faces a balancing act as it decides on its response.

If the President overreacts, he could provoke a new round of retaliatory strikes and a further broadening of the Israel-Gaza war that has already included violence in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq, Syria and now Jordan.

If Mr Biden does not go far enough, hawkish Republicans will pressure him for appeasing Iran.

Some in Congress have even called for him to launch direct strikes on Iran.

US Army reservists Kennedy Sanders, Sgt William Jerome Rivers and Breonna Alexsondria Moffett, who were killed in the strike in Jordan. Army via AP
US Army reservists Kennedy Sanders, Sgt William Jerome Rivers and Breonna Alexsondria Moffett, who were killed in the strike in Jordan. Army via AP

Speaking to reporters on Air Force One, National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said US retaliation could involve more than one strike.

“It's fair for you to expect that we will respond in an appropriate fashion, and it is very possible that what you'll see is a tiered approach here, not just a single action,” he said.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Monday that the response “could be multi-levelled, come in stages, and be sustained over time”.

The attack on Saturday occurred on Tower 22, a US outpost on the Iraq-Syria-Jordan border, where about 350 troops are stationed.

Air-defence systems at the tower had thwarted two attacks in the past months, a US defence official said.

At least 40 US troops were injured in the attack, with eight evacuated for medical care. One was in a critical but stable condition, Maj Gen Ryder said.

Mr Kirby said the President had spoken to the families of the soldiers who died and that he would attend the “dignified transfer” of their bodies to an Air Force base in Delaware on Friday.

A satellite photo shows Tower 22 in north-eastern Jordan. Planet Labs PBC via AP
A satellite photo shows Tower 22 in north-eastern Jordan. Planet Labs PBC via AP
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Florida: The critical Sunshine State

Though mostly conservative, Florida is usually always “close” in presidential elections. In most elections, the candidate that wins the Sunshine State almost always wins the election, as evidenced in 2016 when Trump took Florida, a state which has not had a democratic governor since 1991. 

Joe Biden’s campaign has spent $100 million there to turn things around, understandable given the state’s crucial 29 electoral votes.

In 2016, Mr Trump’s democratic rival Hillary Clinton paid frequent visits to Florida though analysts concluded that she failed to appeal towards middle-class voters, whom Barack Obama won over in the previous election.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: January 31, 2024, 7:30 AM